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Rankings
#19 of 105 in Division 5
#12 of 25 in Region 18
Strength of schedule #21 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #38 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #138 Bath (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 8 (36%)
08/28 A #504 Fairbanks (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 33 (95%)
09/04 A #414 Allen East (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 25 (92%)
09/11 A #51 London (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 28 (5%)
09/18 H #274 Bellefontaine (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 13 (79%)
09/25 H #304 North Union (0-0) D5 R18, pick: W by 18 (87%)
10/02 A #536 Shawnee (Springfield) (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 35 (99%)
10/09 H #301 Benjamin Logan (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 18 (88%)
10/16 H #273 Graham Local (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 13 (80%)
10/23 A #442 Northwestern (Sprfd.) (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 27 (96%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
15.30 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#10 seed in R18 playoffs
Playoff chances now
61% (bubble if 6-4), 39% home (maybe if 8-2), 16% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 19.45 ( 1.00-33.50) 87% in, 68% home, 35% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 41%
Lose: 12.40 ( 0.00-29.20) 46% in, 22% home, 5% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 11%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 5%) 10W: 26.35 (19.20-33.50) 100% in, 99% home, 94% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#9), bye 94%
(15%) 9W: 22.10 (14.10-30.55) 100% in, 97% home, 58% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#12), bye 58%
(20%) 8W: 18.60 (10.10-27.75) 98% in, 72% home, 14% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 15%
(18%) 7W: 15.30 ( 8.25-23.30) 82% in, 26% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#1-out), Margaretta (0-0) 8%
(15%) 6W: 12.25 ( 6.55-19.45) 41% in, 4% home, proj. out (#5-out), Bluffton (0-0) 8%
(11%) 5W: 9.48 ( 4.40-16.25) 9% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Bluffton (0-0) 9%
( 8%) 4W: 6.95 ( 3.15-13.95) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 4%) 3W: 4.90 ( 1.85- 9.70) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 3%) 2W: 3.10 ( 0.95- 7.05) out, proj. out
( 1%) 1W: 1.50 ( 0.45- 3.65) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Bluffton (0-0) 6%
Margaretta (0-0) 6%
Eastwood (0-0) 5%
Norwayne (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Liberty-Benton (0-0) 11%
Coldwater (0-0) 10%
Triway (0-0) 9%
Galion (0-0) 8%
Oak Harbor (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 123.4, #189, D5 #18), 67% (bubble if 6-4), 45% home (maybe if 8-2), 24% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #11 at 7-3
Last season 123.9