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Region 28 playoff probabilities
Region 28 seeding probabilities
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Rankings
#8 of 104 in Division 7
#4 of 26 in Region 28
Strength of schedule #7 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #85 in D7 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #646 Ponitz Tech (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 44 (98%)
08/28 H #414 Allen East (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 23 (88%)
09/04 H #63 Coldwater (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 27 (7%)
09/11 A #405 St Johns (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 18 (86%)
09/18 H #174 Versailles (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 7 (33%)
09/25 A #95 Anna (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 24 (6%)
10/02 A #32 Marion Local (0-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 34 (1%)
10/09 H #537 Parkway (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 34 (99%)
10/16 H #160 New Bremen (0-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 11 (23%)
10/23 A #163 Minster (0-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 14 (18%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
6.80 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#9 seed in R28 playoffs
Playoff chances now
55% (bubble if 5-5), 28% home (maybe if 6-4), 8% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 6.95 ( 0.55-24.20) 56% in, 29% home, 8% bye, proj. #12 (#1-out), bye 14%
Lose: 2.97 ( 0.00-14.11) 17% in, 5% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#3-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 19.86 (17.03-24.20) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 3%) 9W: 16.63 (12.74-21.68) 100% home, 87% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 87%
( 7%) 8W: 13.76 (10.22-19.67) 100% in, 99% home, 44% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#10), bye 44%
(12%) 7W: 11.13 ( 7.14-17.34) 99% in, 81% home, 10% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 10%
(17%) 6W: 8.81 ( 5.13-15.03) 93% in, 38% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), Ridgemont (0-0) 8%
(21%) 5W: 6.80 ( 3.26-12.45) 60% in, 8% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#4-out), New Bremen (0-0) 10%
(20%) 4W: 5.08 ( 2.10- 9.98) 22% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Ridgemont (0-0) 10%
(13%) 3W: 3.67 ( 1.30- 7.82) 5% in, proj. out (#9-out), Lehman Catholic (0-0) 12%
( 6%) 2W: 2.36 ( 0.80- 7.16) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 2%) 1W: 1.11 ( 0.35- 3.83) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
New Bremen (0-0) 7%
Ridgemont (0-0) 6%
Minster (0-0) 6%
Lehman Catholic (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Marion Local (0-0) 20%
Cincinnati Country Day (0-0) 15%
Ansonia (0-0) 13%
Lehman Catholic (0-0) 9%
Minster (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, -6.1, #700, D7 #103), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 1-3
Last season 121.2