Region 28 home page
Region 28 projections
Region 28 playoff probabilities
Region 28 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 28 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#17 of 104 in Division 7
#6 of 26 in Region 28
Strength of schedule #5 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #48 in D7 (-25 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 35-14 A #645 Ponitz Tech (0-2) D3 R12, pick: W by 44 (98%), perf. rating 78
08/28 L 28-21 H #312 Allen East (2-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 12 (73%), perf. rating 95
09/04 H #59 Coldwater (2-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 35 (3%)
09/11 A #321 St Johns (1-1) D7 R26, pick: L by 8 (32%)
09/18 H #119 Versailles (2-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 29 (3%)
09/25 A #173 Anna (1-1) D6 R24, pick: L by 26 (5%)
10/02 A #31 Marion Local (2-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 44 (1%)
10/09 H #420 Parkway (1-1) D6 R22, pick: W by 10 (74%)
10/16 H #113 New Bremen (2-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 29 (3%)
10/23 A #129 Minster (2-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 30 (2%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
1.05 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R28 playoffs
Playoff chances now
16% (likely needs 4-6), 3% home (maybe if 5-5)
Depending on the next game
Win: 2.16 ( 1.20- 4.66) 76% in, 29% home, 6% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out)
Lose: 1.05 ( 0.55- 3.80) 14% in, 2% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Waynesfield-Goshen (1-1) 14%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 5W: 2.62 ( 2.43- 3.02) 100% in, 50% home, proj. #8 (#6-#12), Waynesfield-Goshen (1-1) 16%
( 9%) 4W: 2.05 ( 1.92- 2.48) 85% in, 3% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Fort Loramie (1-1) 15%
(24%) 3W: 1.52 ( 1.42- 1.95) 19% in, proj. out (#9-out), Waynesfield-Goshen (1-1) 17%
(42%) 2W: 1.05 ( 0.94- 1.48) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(22%) 1W: 0.61 ( 0.55- 0.82) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) LWLWLWLL: 2.00 ( 1.93- 2.19) 82% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), Minster (2-0) 22%
( 2%) LLLWLWLL: 1.57 ( 1.48- 1.81) 21% in, proj. out (#11-out), Waynesfield-Goshen (1-1) 35%
(14%) LWLLLWLL: 1.48 ( 1.42- 1.65) 14% in, proj. out (#10-out), New Bremen (2-0) 18%
(35%) LLLLLWLL: 1.05 ( 1.00- 1.27) out
( 4%) LWLLLLLL: 0.99 ( 0.94- 1.21) out
(22%) LLLLLLLL: 0.61 ( 0.55- 0.82) out
Weekly summary info
Week 2 (1-1, 99.4, #367, D7 #17), 21% (bubble if 3-7), 5% home (maybe if 5-5), proj. out at 2-8
Week 1 (1-0, 106.8, #312, D7 #13), 54% (bubble if 3-7), 24% home (maybe if 5-5), 5% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 115.7, #238, D7 #8), 56% (bubble if 5-5), 29% home (maybe if 6-4), 8% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #9 at 5-5
Last season 121.2