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Rankings
#3 of 108 in Division 6
#2 of 27 in Region 22
Strength of schedule #12 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #1 in D6 (+771 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 W 51-20 H #190 Shawnee (Lima) (3-4) D3 R10, pick: W by 3 (55%), perf. rating 169
08/29 W 41-0 H #460 St Johns (1-6) D7 R26, pick: W by 25 (90%), perf. rating 144
09/04 W 37-34 A #151 Urbana (5-2) D4 R16, pick: W by 20 (87%), perf. rating 136
09/11 W 13-6 A #95 Columbus Grove (6-1) D6 R22, pick: W by 1 (52%), perf. rating 152
09/18 W 55-14 A #222 Allen East (4-3) D6 R22, pick: W by 22 (92%), perf. rating 182
09/25 W 42-7 A #258 Fort Loramie (5-2) D7 R28, pick: W by 27 (96%), perf. rating 168
10/02 W 26-21 A #87 Bluffton (6-1) D5 R18, pick: W by 6 (65%), perf. rating 151
10/09 H #401 Jefferson (3-4) D7 R26, pick: W by 41 (99%)
10/16 A #594 Spencerville (0-7) D6 R22, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/23 H #430 Crestview (Convoy) (2-5) D6 R22, pick: W by 43 (99%)
Regular season projections
10-0 record
24.30 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#2 seed in R22 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and home bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 24.30 (22.15-26.20) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#3), bye 100%
Lose: 21.95 (21.05-23.50) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#4), bye 100%
Based on eventual number of wins
(97%) 10W: 24.30 (22.75-26.20) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 3%) 9W: 22.98 (21.05-25.00) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#4), bye 100%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(97%) WWW: 24.30 (22.75-26.20) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 1%) WLW: 23.77 (22.40-25.00) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 1%) WWL: 22.85 (22.15-24.25) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 1%) LWW: 21.95 (21.05-23.50) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#4), bye 100%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (7-0, 151.0, #53, D6 #3), appears locked in and home bye, proj. #2 at 10-0
Week 6 (6-0, 150.1, #58, D6 #3), appears locked in and home, likely bye, proj. #2 at 10-0
Week 5 (5-0, 148.5, #65, D6 #4), appears locked in and likely home, 98% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 4 (4-0, 144.5, #77, D6 #5), likely in and likely home, 91% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 3 (3-0, 145.3, #68, D6 #4), likely in, 93% home (maybe if 7-3), 75% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 148.0, #61, D6 #3), 98% (bubble if 6-4), 88% home (maybe if 7-3), 64% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 138.9, #100, D6 #6), 88% (bubble if 6-4), 71% home (maybe if 7-3), 40% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #6 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 124.6, #178, D6 #12), 63% (bubble if 6-4), 41% home (maybe if 8-2), 17% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #11 at 7-3
Last season 126.7