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Rankings
#12 of 107 in Division 6
#4 of 27 in Region 22
Strength of schedule #12 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #42 in D6 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 H #182 Shawnee (Lima) (0-0) D3 R10, pick: W by 3 (55%)
08/29 H #405 St Johns (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 27 (91%)
09/04 A #349 Urbana (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 20 (87%)
09/11 A #80 Columbus Grove (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 21 (11%)
09/18 A #414 Allen East (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 26 (95%)
09/25 A #316 Fort Loramie (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 18 (87%)
10/02 A #145 Bluffton (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 8 (30%)
10/09 H #606 Jefferson (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 44 (99%)
10/16 A #496 Spencerville (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 33 (99%)
10/23 H #327 Crestview (Convoy) (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 22 (93%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
11.25 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#11 seed in R22 playoffs
Playoff chances now
63% (bubble if 6-4), 41% home (maybe if 8-2), 16% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 14.55 ( 0.90-26.40) 83% in, 61% home, 27% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 33%
Lose: 8.20 ( 0.00-21.60) 38% in, 17% home, 3% bye, proj. out (#2-out), bye 8%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 9%) 10W: 20.30 (14.70-26.40) 100% in, 99% home, 91% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#9), bye 91%
(17%) 9W: 17.00 (10.70-24.05) 99% in, 96% home, 42% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 42%
(19%) 8W: 13.90 ( 8.55-21.65) 97% in, 64% home, 8% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), bye 8%
(18%) 7W: 11.25 ( 5.95-19.05) 76% in, 21% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#2-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) 8%
(14%) 6W: 8.85 ( 4.60-16.50) 34% in, 3% home, proj. out (#5-out), Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) 9%
(10%) 5W: 6.80 ( 3.10-14.10) 6% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Patrick Henry (0-0) 11%
( 6%) 4W: 4.85 ( 1.90-11.25) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 4%) 3W: 3.30 ( 1.20- 8.90) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 2%) 2W: 1.85 ( 0.70- 6.40) out, proj. out
( 1%) 1W: 0.75 ( 0.35- 4.20) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) 6%
Paulding (0-0) 6%
Woodmore (0-0) 5%
Crestview (Ashland) (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Liberty Center (0-0) 18%
Columbus Grove (0-0) 14%
Patrick Henry (0-0) 9%
Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) 8%
Carey (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 124.6, #178, D6 #12), 63% (bubble if 6-4), 41% home (maybe if 8-2), 16% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #11 at 7-3
Last season 126.7