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Rankings
#5 of 107 in Division 6
#2 of 27 in Region 22
Strength of schedule #8 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #32 in D6 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 H #228 Pandora-Gilboa (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 26 (88%)
08/28 A #62 Liberty-Benton (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 6 (38%)
09/04 H #139 Patrick Henry (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 14 (78%)
09/11 H #178 Lima Central Catholic (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 21 (89%)
09/18 A #496 Spencerville (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 42 (99%)
09/25 H #606 Jefferson (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/02 A #414 Allen East (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 36 (99%)
10/09 H #316 Fort Loramie (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 32 (98%)
10/16 A #327 Crestview (Convoy) (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 31 (98%)
10/23 A #145 Bluffton (0-0) D5 R18, pick: W by 11 (77%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
17.70 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#2 seed in R22 playoffs
Playoff chances now
89% (bubble if 5-5), 79% home (maybe if 7-3), 60% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 19.70 ( 1.45-30.45) 93% in, 84% home, 65% bye, proj. #3 (#1-out), bye 70%
Lose: 11.25 ( 0.00-25.50) 62% in, 42% home, 20% bye, proj. #10 (#1-out), bye 33%
Based on eventual number of wins
(20%) 10W: 25.65 (18.95-30.45) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(25%) 9W: 21.40 (15.55-27.75) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#7), bye 98%
(20%) 8W: 17.70 (12.35-24.60) 100% in, 99% home, 64% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#12), bye 64%
(14%) 7W: 14.35 (10.15-21.10) 99% in, 79% home, 12% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), bye 12%
( 9%) 6W: 11.25 ( 6.85-18.15) 82% in, 20% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) 8%
( 6%) 5W: 8.55 ( 4.55-14.20) 26% in, 2% home, proj. out (#6-out), Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) 9%
( 3%) 4W: 6.30 ( 3.65-11.65) 3% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
( 1%) 3W: 4.10 ( 2.15- 9.05) out, proj. out
( 1%) 2W: 2.25 ( 1.05- 7.90) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) 3%
Crestview (Ashland) (0-0) 2%
Paulding (0-0) 2%
Woodmore (0-0) 2%
Most likely second round opponents
Patrick Henry (0-0) 10%
Lima Central Catholic (0-0) 9%
Carey (0-0) 8%
Delta (0-0) 7%
Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 143.7, #80, D6 #5), 89% (bubble if 5-5), 79% home (maybe if 7-3), 60% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 8-2
Last season 141.7