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Rankings
#62 of 107 in Division 6
#20 of 27 in Region 22
Strength of schedule #13 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #49 in D6 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #95 Anna (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 40 (3%)
08/28 A #473 Wayne Trace (0-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 7 (36%)
09/04 A #506 Riverside (DeGraff) (0-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 1 (48%)
09/11 H #327 Crestview (Convoy) (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 21 (11%)
09/18 H #80 Columbus Grove (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 42 (1%)
09/25 A #145 Bluffton (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 38 (1%)
10/02 A #316 Fort Loramie (0-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 25 (5%)
10/09 H #414 Allen East (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 11 (23%)
10/16 H #178 Lima Central Catholic (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 33 (1%)
10/22 A #606 Jefferson (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 18 (88%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
1.90 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R22 playoffs
Playoff chances now
6% (bubble if 6-4), 2% home (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 7.70 ( 0.75-21.65) 31% in, 14% home, 3% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Crestview (Ashland) (0-0) 8%
Lose: 2.55 ( 0.00-21.05) 5% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) 8%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 8W: 14.45 (10.70-19.00) 98% in, 74% home, 8% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), Seneca East (0-0) 8%
( 3%) 7W: 11.55 ( 8.20-16.50) 79% in, 23% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), Carey (0-0) 8%
( 6%) 6W: 9.00 ( 5.15-13.95) 33% in, 2% home, proj. out (#6-out), Paulding (0-0) 10%
( 9%) 5W: 6.80 ( 2.20-12.80) 5% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Carey (0-0) 9%
(13%) 4W: 5.05 ( 2.10- 9.90) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(17%) 3W: 3.40 ( 1.05- 8.20) out, proj. out
(20%) 2W: 1.90 ( 0.70- 5.95) out, proj. out
(19%) 1W: 0.75 ( 0.35- 4.15) out, proj. out
(12%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) 8%
Woodmore (0-0) 7%
Crestview (Ashland) (0-0) 7%
Paulding (0-0) 7%
Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) 7%
Most likely second round opponents
Liberty Center (0-0) 24%
Columbus Grove (0-0) 14%
Patrick Henry (0-0) 10%
Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) 8%
Carey (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 80.1, #496, D6 #62), 6% (bubble if 6-4), 2% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 78.3