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Rankings
#85 of 107 in Division 6
#25 of 27 in Region 22
Strength of schedule #5 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #89 in D6 (-420 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 60-0 H #143 Anna (2-1) D6 R24, pick: L by 40 (3%), perf. rating 67
08/28 L 55-0 A #353 Wayne Trace (2-1) D7 R26, pick: L by 6 (38%), perf. rating 42
09/04 L 35-0 A #383 Riverside (DeGraff) (2-1) D7 R28, pick: L by 31 (4%), perf. rating 47
09/11 H #447 Crestview (Convoy) (0-3) D6 R22, pick: L by 24 (8%)
09/18 H #78 Columbus Grove (3-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 49 (1%)
09/25 A #96 Bluffton (3-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/02 A #203 Fort Loramie (2-1) D7 R28, pick: L by 43 (1%)
10/09 H #231 Allen East (3-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 40 (1%)
10/16 H #68 Lima Central Catholic (3-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/22 A #401 Jefferson (3-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 30 (2%)
Regular season projections
0-10 record
0.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R22 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 0.40 ( 0.40- 8.20) out, proj. out
Lose: 0.00 ( 0.00- 9.20) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 2W: 2.75 ( 1.85- 7.35) out, proj. out
(14%) 1W: 1.50 ( 0.40- 4.30) out, proj. out
(84%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) LLLLLWL: 3.70 ( 2.15- 4.15) out
( 1%) LLWLLLL: 3.50 ( 2.35- 4.30) out
( 1%) LWLLLLL: 3.15 ( 1.60- 3.95) out
( 1%) LLLLWLL: 2.35 ( 1.60- 3.95) out
( 1%) WLLLLLW: 2.35 ( 2.30- 3.15) out
( 3%) LLLLLLW: 1.95 ( 1.55- 2.80) out
( 7%) WLLLLLL: 0.40 ( 0.40- 1.95) out
(84%) LLLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (0-3, 60.2, #597, D6 #85), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 0-10
Week 2 (0-2, 60.8, #602, D6 #88), 1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 1 (0-1, 79.1, #498, D6 #64), 3% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 0 (0-0, 80.1, #496, D6 #62), 5% (bubble if 6-4), 2% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 78.3