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Rankings
#29 of 107 in Division 6
#11 of 27 in Region 22
Strength of schedule #14 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #34 in D6 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #308 Paulding (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 1 (52%)
08/28 A #163 Minster (0-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 24 (11%)
09/04 H #473 Wayne Trace (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 21 (88%)
09/11 A #496 Spencerville (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 21 (89%)
09/18 A #316 Fort Loramie (0-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 3 (43%)
09/25 H #414 Allen East (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 12 (78%)
10/02 A #606 Jefferson (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 33 (98%)
10/09 H #145 Bluffton (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 24 (6%)
10/16 H #80 Columbus Grove (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 31 (2%)
10/23 A #178 Lima Central Catholic (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 22 (7%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
7.60 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R22 playoffs
Playoff chances now
33% (bubble if 6-4), 16% home (maybe if 7-3), 5% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 10.30 ( 1.10-24.90) 54% in, 28% home, 9% bye, proj. #12 (#1-out), bye 18%
Lose: 4.45 ( 0.00-19.80) 11% in, 3% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Paulding (0-0) 8%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 21.25 (17.55-24.90) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 98%
( 4%) 9W: 18.30 (14.00-22.80) 100% in, 99% home, 66% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#9), bye 66%
( 8%) 8W: 15.35 (11.15-23.35) 99% in, 85% home, 17% bye, proj. #6 (#2-out), bye 17%
(13%) 7W: 12.55 ( 8.15-17.85) 93% in, 35% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Van Buren (0-0) 8%
(15%) 6W: 9.90 ( 6.30-16.00) 49% in, 5% home, proj. out (#5-out), Woodmore (0-0) 9%
(17%) 5W: 7.60 ( 4.05-13.25) 10% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Paulding (0-0) 12%
(15%) 4W: 5.55 ( 2.90-10.45) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(13%) 3W: 3.70 ( 1.40- 8.90) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 9%) 2W: 1.90 ( 0.70- 7.40) out, proj. out
( 5%) 1W: 0.75 ( 0.35- 3.90) out, proj. out
( 2%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Woodmore (0-0) 7%
W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) 6%
Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) 6%
Van Buren (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Liberty Center (0-0) 22%
Columbus Grove (0-0) 14%
Patrick Henry (0-0) 8%
Carey (0-0) 8%
Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 103.9, #327, D6 #29), 33% (bubble if 6-4), 16% home (maybe if 7-3), 5% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 103.9