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Rankings
#48 of 104 in Division 3
#12 of 26 in Region 10
Strength of schedule #24 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #45 in D3 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #147 South Range (0-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 14 (26%)
08/28 A #117 Benedictine (0-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 22 (13%)
09/04 H #328 Bedford (0-0) D3 R9, pick: W by 13 (77%)
09/11 A #386 Sandusky (0-0) D2 R6, pick: W by 15 (81%)
09/18 H #407 Kenmore-Garfield (0-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 22 (92%)
09/25 A #276 Elyria Catholic (0-0) D3 R10, pick: W by 2 (55%)
10/02 H #125 Notre Dame-Cath. Latin (0-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 18 (12%)
10/09 A #61 Lake Catholic (0-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 30 (2%)
10/16 A #23 Cuyahoga Val. Christian (0-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 38 (1%)
10/23 H #252 Holy Name (0-0) D3 R10, pick: W by 3 (57%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
8.07 Harbin points (divisor 98)
out of R10 playoffs
Playoff chances now
48% (bubble if 4-6), 27% home (maybe if 6-4), 9% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 14.62 ( 0.76-40.19) 81% in, 57% home, 25% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), bye 30%
Lose: 6.89 ( 0.00-32.96) 36% in, 16% home, 3% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 10%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 29.89 (22.69-40.19) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 2%) 9W: 24.70 (16.63-32.96) 100% home, 92% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#8), bye 92%
( 5%) 8W: 20.57 (12.62-27.51) 99% in, 98% home, 64% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 64%
( 9%) 7W: 17.17 (10.33-26.14) 99% in, 90% home, 25% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 25%
(13%) 6W: 13.86 ( 6.10-22.23) 96% in, 57% home, 5% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Buchtel (0-0) 8%
(15%) 5W: 10.81 ( 5.04-18.82) 74% in, 19% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#2-out), Maumee (0-0) 8%
(16%) 4W: 8.07 ( 2.91-16.39) 36% in, 3% home, proj. out (#5-out), Cloverleaf (0-0) 7%
(14%) 3W: 5.73 ( 1.70-11.44) 8% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Lexington (0-0) 8%
(11%) 2W: 3.70 ( 1.10- 8.60) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 8%) 1W: 1.72 ( 0.55- 5.65) out, proj. out
( 5%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Buchtel (0-0) 6%
Maumee (0-0) 6%
Cloverleaf (0-0) 6%
Ontario (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Wapakoneta (0-0) 15%
Lexington (0-0) 11%
Ontario (0-0) 9%
Copley (0-0) 8%
St Marys Memorial (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 133.1, #134, D3 #21), 79% (bubble if 5-5), 61% home (maybe if 6-4), 34% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 7-3
Last season 108.7