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Rankings
#73 of 105 in Division 5
#17 of 26 in Region 20
Strength of schedule #90 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #80 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #479 Covington (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 7 (37%)
08/28 H #608 Tri-County North (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 21 (85%)
09/04 A #676 Dixie (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 34 (97%)
09/11 H #693 Bradford (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 43 (99%)
09/18 H #285 Preble Shawnee (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 26 (5%)
09/25 A #586 National Trail (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 13 (80%)
10/02 A #643 Twin Valley South (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 26 (95%)
10/09 H #629 Mississinawa Valley (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 26 (96%)
10/16 A #337 Ansonia (0-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 24 (6%)
10/23 H #203 Tri-Village (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 31 (2%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
8.95 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R20 playoffs
Playoff chances now
46% (bubble if 6-4), 22% home (maybe if 7-3), 6% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 11.60 ( 1.15-23.50) 72% in, 41% home, 14% bye, proj. #10 (#1-out), bye 19%
Lose: 7.10 ( 0.00-20.00) 30% in, 10% home, 2% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Preble Shawnee (0-0) 7%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 10W: 20.85 (18.00-23.50) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 98%
( 5%) 9W: 17.30 (14.15-21.25) 100% in, 99% home, 61% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#11), bye 61%
(12%) 8W: 14.20 (10.85-18.30) 99% in, 77% home, 12% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 12%
(19%) 7W: 11.55 ( 8.20-16.15) 88% in, 29% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), Preble Shawnee (0-0) 7%
(22%) 6W: 8.95 ( 5.90-13.20) 43% in, 3% home, proj. out (#5-out), Preble Shawnee (0-0) 9%
(18%) 5W: 6.70 ( 4.05-11.40) 7% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Preble Shawnee (0-0) 12%
(11%) 4W: 4.80 ( 2.55- 8.35) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 7%) 3W: 3.00 ( 1.85- 6.50) out, proj. out
( 3%) 2W: 1.50 ( 1.05- 4.70) out, proj. out
( 1%) 1W: 0.70 ( 0.35- 3.90) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Preble Shawnee (0-0) 7%
Williamsburg (0-0) 6%
Purcell Marian (0-0) 6%
Miami East (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Brookville (0-0) 11%
Carlisle (0-0) 9%
Preble Shawnee (0-0) 9%
Graham Local (0-0) 8%
Greeneview (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 85.0, #470, D5 #65), 47% (bubble if 5-5), 25% home (maybe if 7-3), 7% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 79.5