Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions

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Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

#205 Ansonia Tigers (3-0) 122.4

Updated Sun 06-Sep-2026 12:41 PM
Week 3 complete

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Rankings
#8 of 103 in Division 7
#5 of 25 in Region 28
Strength of schedule #64 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #5 in D7 (+620 WP+)

Lists this team is on
Most improved teams

Schedule and results
08/21 W 32-8 A #383 Riverside (DeGraff) (2-1) D7 R28, pick: W by 22 (84%), perf. rating 135
08/28 W 40-8 H #441 Preble Shawnee (2-1) D5 R20, pick: W by 7 (64%), perf. rating 134
09/04 W 48-13 A #547 National Trail (1-2) D6 R24, pick: W by 34 (97%), perf. rating 127
09/11 H #602 Tri-County North (1-2) D7 R28, pick: W by 44 (99%)
09/18 A #257 Tri-Village (3-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 5 (62%)
09/25 H #689 Twin Valley South (0-2) D7 R28, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/02 H #647 Bradford (2-1) D7 R28, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/09 A #659 Dixie (2-1) D6 R24, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/16 H #473 Arcanum (2-1) D5 R20, pick: W by 32 (98%)
10/23 A #677 Mississinawa Valley (0-3) D7 R28, pick: W by 49 (99%)

Regular season projections
10-0 record
23.19 Harbin points (divisor 98)
#2 seed in R28 playoffs

Playoff chances now
appears locked in and home, likely bye

Depending on the next game
Win: 22.47 (12.66-24.26) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 99%
Lose: 16.88 (10.72-22.07) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 98%

Based on eventual number of wins
(58%) 10W: 23.19 (20.58-24.26) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#3), bye 100%
(38%) 9W: 19.06 (16.31-23.70) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 4%) 8W: 16.47 (13.56-22.89) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 99%

Under certain win/loss scenarios
(58%) WWWWWWW: 23.19 (20.58-24.26) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 1%) WWLWWWW: 22.43 (20.03-23.70) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#2), bye 100%
( 1%) WWWWWWL: 22.38 (20.44-23.65) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 1%) WWWLWWW: 21.56 (19.01-22.94) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 1%) WWWWLWW: 21.54 (18.96-22.58) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 1%) WWWWWLW: 20.24 (17.99-21.77) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#3), bye 100%
(34%) WLWWWWW: 19.01 (16.31-20.49) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 2%) WLWWWLW: 15.86 (13.56-17.34) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 99%

Most likely first round opponents
Upper Scioto Valley (2-1) 1%
Southeastern Local (2-1) 1%
Bradford (2-1) 1%
Cedarville (1-2) 1%

Most likely second round opponents
Fort Loramie (2-1) 18%
Cincinnati Country Day (1-2) 12%
Riverside (DeGraff) (2-1) 11%
New Bremen (2-1) 9%
Waynesfield-Goshen (1-2) 8%

Weekly summary info
Week 3 (3-0, 122.4, #205, D7 #8), appears locked in and home, likely bye, proj. #2 at 10-0
Week 2 (2-0, 122.0, #205, D7 #7), appears locked in and home, likely bye, proj. #2 at 10-0
Week 1 (1-0, 106.4, #317, D7 #15), likely in, 97% home (maybe if 6-4), 80% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 0 (0-0, 103.0, #337, D7 #14), 96% (bubble if 5-5), 88% home (maybe if 6-4), 56% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 8-2
Last season 99.8