Region 28 home page
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Region 28 playoff probabilities
Region 28 seeding probabilities
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Team history page
Rankings
#14 of 104 in Division 7
#6 of 26 in Region 28
Strength of schedule #61 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #79 in D7 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #506 Riverside (DeGraff) (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 22 (84%)
08/28 H #285 Preble Shawnee (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 4 (42%)
09/04 A #586 National Trail (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 30 (95%)
09/11 H #608 Tri-County North (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 35 (98%)
09/18 A #203 Tri-Village (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 19 (12%)
09/25 H #643 Twin Valley South (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 40 (99%)
10/02 H #693 Bradford (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/09 A #676 Dixie (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 45 (99%)
10/16 H #502 Arcanum (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 24 (94%)
10/23 A #629 Mississinawa Valley (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 36 (99%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
14.15 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#3 seed in R28 playoffs
Playoff chances now
96% (bubble if 5-5), 88% home (maybe if 6-4), 56% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 15.10 ( 0.70-24.35) 98% in, 93% home, 63% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 64%
Lose: 10.60 ( 0.00-20.75) 84% in, 60% home, 20% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 24%
Based on eventual number of wins
(13%) 10W: 21.20 (18.25-24.35) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(25%) 9W: 17.40 (14.25-23.50) 100% home, 95% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 95%
(29%) 8W: 14.15 (10.70-19.15) 100% in, 99% home, 58% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#10), bye 58%
(18%) 7W: 11.60 ( 8.10-16.60) 99% in, 92% home, 17% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 17%
( 9%) 6W: 9.15 ( 5.85-13.40) 97% in, 50% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#3-out), New Bremen (0-0) 7%
( 4%) 5W: 7.00 ( 4.40-11.90) 67% in, 9% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), New Bremen (0-0) 8%
( 2%) 4W: 4.95 ( 2.45- 8.85) 15% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out)
( 1%) 3W: 3.35 ( 1.80- 6.95) 3% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Most likely first round opponents
Manchester (0-0) 3%
Fort Recovery (0-0) 3%
Ridgemont (0-0) 3%
New Bremen (0-0) 2%
Most likely second round opponents
New Bremen (0-0) 12%
Minster (0-0) 11%
Lehman Catholic (0-0) 10%
Marion Local (0-0) 8%
Fort Recovery (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 64.6, #585, D7 #54), 31% (bubble if 6-4), 13% home (maybe if 7-3), 3% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 99.8