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Region 24 playoff probabilities
Region 24 seeding probabilities
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Rankings
#106 of 108 in Division 6
#26 of 27 in Region 24
Strength of schedule #76 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #95 in D6 (-531 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 28-0 H #693 New Miami (0-7) D7 R28, pick: W by 10 (68%), perf. rating 50
08/28 W 27-26 A #686 Mississinawa Valley (0-7) D7 R28, pick: W by 1 (52%), perf. rating 28
09/04 L 47-7 H #351 Arcanum (6-1) D5 R20, pick: L by 31 (4%), perf. rating 41
09/11 L 60-19 A #501 Preble Shawnee (5-2) D5 R20, pick: L by 39 (1%), perf. rating 21
09/18 L 33-0 H #602 National Trail (3-4) D6 R24, pick: L by 32 (2%), perf. rating 7
09/25 L 49-6 A #505 Tri-County North (4-3) D7 R28, pick: L by 33 (2%), perf. rating 19
10/02 L 58-7 A #260 Tri-Village (7-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 49 (1%), perf. rating 54
10/09 H #280 Ansonia (6-1) D7 R28, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/16 H #684 Twin Valley South (1-4) D7 R28, pick: W by 9 (72%)
10/23 A #653 Bradford (2-5) D7 R28, pick: L by 9 (28%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
1.76 Harbin points (divisor 98)
out of R24 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 5.47 ( 4.16- 6.70) out, proj. out
Lose: 1.76 ( 0.70- 3.64) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
(24%) 4W: 2.47 ( 2.47- 5.63) out, proj. out
(51%) 3W: 1.76 ( 1.41- 4.52) out, proj. out
(24%) 2W: 0.70 ( 0.70- 1.82) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(24%) LWW: 2.47 ( 2.47- 3.64) out
( 5%) LLW: 1.76 ( 1.76- 2.58) out
(46%) LWL: 1.41 ( 1.41- 2.63) out
(24%) LLL: 0.70 ( 0.70- 1.82) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (2-5, 32.6, #674, D6 #106), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 3-7
Week 6 (2-4, 29.4, #679, D6 #107), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 3-7
Week 5 (2-3, 31.7, #673, D6 #107), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 3-7
Week 4 (2-2, 32.7, #667, D6 #104), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (2-1, 36.2, #659, D6 #103), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (2-0, 43.0, #649, D6 #102), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 4-6
Week 1 (1-0, 42.6, #652, D6 #100), 2% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 32.8, #676, D6 #104), 3% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Last season 34.0