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Rankings
#102 of 107 in Division 6
#25 of 27 in Region 24
Strength of schedule #84 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #97 in D6 (-785 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 12-0 H #595 Perry (Lima) (2-2) D6 R24, pick: L by 15 (25%), perf. rating 42
08/29 L 34-3 H #600 Mississinawa Valley (3-1) D7 R28, pick: L by 11 (28%), perf. rating 13
09/04 L 53-13 A #489 Arcanum (4-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 40 (1%), perf. rating 23
09/12 L 51-7 H #231 Preble Shawnee (4-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 49 (1%), perf. rating 53
09/19 A #625 National Trail (0-4) D6 R24, pick: L by 24 (7%)
09/26 H #636 Tri-County North (0-4) D7 R28, pick: L by 19 (11%)
10/03 H #271 Tri-Village (4-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/10 A #330 Ansonia (3-1) D7 R28, pick: L by 48 (1%)
10/17 A #637 Twin Valley South (1-3) D7 R28, pick: L by 22 (7%)
10/24 H #700 Bradford (0-4) D7 R28, pick: W by 18 (88%)
Regular season projections
1-9 record
0.35 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R24 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 1.50 ( 0.40- 7.05) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Lose: 0.35 ( 0.00- 7.80) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 5%) 3W: 2.50 ( 2.10- 5.55) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(19%) 2W: 1.40 ( 1.05- 4.20) out, proj. out
(63%) 1W: 0.35 ( 0.35- 3.40) out, proj. out
(13%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) WWLLLW: 2.50 ( 2.15- 3.35) out
( 2%) LWLLWW: 2.45 ( 2.10- 3.70) out
( 4%) WLLLLW: 1.45 ( 1.10- 2.25) out
( 8%) LWLLLW: 1.40 ( 1.05- 2.60) out
( 6%) LLLLWW: 1.40 ( 1.05- 2.65) out
(61%) LLLLLW: 0.35 ( 0.35- 1.20) out
(13%) LLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (0-4, 32.1, #682, D6 #102), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 3 (0-3, 20.6, #693, D6 #104), 1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 2 (0-2, 21.1, #694, D6 #106), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 1 (0-1, 32.3, #678, D6 #100), 3% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Week 0 (0-0, 33.1, #684, D6 #102), 4% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Last season 31.5