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Rankings
#34 of 103 in Division 7
#8 of 25 in Region 28
Strength of schedule #73 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #35 in D7 (-6 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 62-0 H #648 River View (0-7) D5 R19, pick: W by 20 (82%), perf. rating 102
08/28 L 43-12 A #351 Arcanum (6-1) D5 R20, pick: L by 1 (48%), perf. rating 58
09/04 L 49-13 H #260 Tri-Village (7-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 39 (1%), perf. rating 59
09/11 L 48-19 A #280 Ansonia (6-1) D7 R28, pick: L by 44 (1%), perf. rating 70
09/18 W 44-7 A #653 Bradford (2-5) D7 R28, pick: W by 21 (91%), perf. rating 97
09/25 W 49-6 H #674 Dixie (2-5) D6 R24, pick: W by 33 (98%), perf. rating 93
10/02 W 34-0 H #602 National Trail (3-4) D6 R24, pick: W by 10 (74%), perf. rating 107
10/09 A #501 Preble Shawnee (5-2) D5 R20, pick: L by 3 (42%)
10/16 H #686 Mississinawa Valley (0-7) D7 R28, pick: W by 40 (99%)
10/23 A #684 Twin Valley South (1-4) D7 R28, pick: W by 38 (99%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
6.69 Harbin points (divisor 98)
#8 seed in R28 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in, 75% home (maybe if 6-4)
Depending on the next game
Win: 9.48 ( 8.07-10.91) 100% in, 98% home, proj. #7 (#5-#10), Upper Scioto Valley (4-3) 37%
Lose: 6.69 ( 5.22- 7.86) 100% in, 57% home, proj. #8 (#7-#11), Fort Loramie (5-2) 52%
Based on eventual number of wins
(42%) 7W: 9.48 ( 9.43-10.91) 100% in, 98% home, proj. #7 (#5-#10), Upper Scioto Valley (4-3) 37%
(57%) 6W: 6.69 ( 6.64- 9.75) 100% in, 59% home, proj. #8 (#6-#11), Fort Loramie (5-2) 52%
( 1%) 5W: 6.03 ( 5.27- 8.07) 100% in, 17% home, proj. #9 (#7-#11), Fort Loramie (5-2) 53%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(42%) WWW: 9.48 ( 9.43-10.91) 100% in, 98% home, proj. #7 (#5-#10), Upper Scioto Valley (4-3) 37%
(56%) LWW: 6.69 ( 6.64- 7.86) 100% in, 58% home, proj. #8 (#7-#11), Fort Loramie (5-2) 52%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (4-3, 79.9, #505, D7 #34), appears locked in, 75% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. #8 at 6-4
Week 6 (3-3, 73.1, #538, D7 #41), likely in, 70% home (likely needs 6-4), proj. #7 at 6-4
Week 5 (2-3, 71.3, #545, D7 #42), 97% (bubble if 4-6), 49% home (likely needs 6-4), proj. #7 at 6-4
Week 4 (1-3, 63.1, #584, D7 #52), 84% (bubble if 4-6), 21% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. #11 at 5-5
Week 3 (1-2, 57.9, #602, D7 #60), 67% (likely needs 5-5), 11% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. #10 at 5-5
Week 2 (1-1, 56.9, #613, D7 #61), 57% (bubble if 5-5), 8% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. #11 at 5-5
Week 1 (1-0, 70.4, #561, D7 #48), 66% (bubble if 5-5), 30% home (maybe if 6-4), 5% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #8 at 6-4
Week 0 (0-0, 59.4, #608, D7 #61), 35% (bubble if 5-5), 12% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 63.1