Region 28 home page
Region 28 projections
Region 28 playoff probabilities
Region 28 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 28 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#70 of 107 in Division 7
#18 of 27 in Region 28
Strength of schedule #47 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #61 in D7 (-192 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 49-16 A #190 Brookville (4-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 43 (2%), perf. rating 77
08/29 L 35-14 H #489 Arcanum (4-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 8 (34%), perf. rating 48
09/05 L 56-12 A #271 Tri-Village (4-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 41 (1%), perf. rating 52
09/12 L 52-6 H #330 Ansonia (3-1) D7 R28, pick: L by 37 (1%), perf. rating 40
09/19 H #700 Bradford (0-4) D7 R28, pick: W by 32 (98%)
09/26 A #682 Dixie (0-4) D6 R24, pick: W by 19 (89%)
10/03 A #625 National Trail (0-4) D6 R24, pick: L by 4 (40%)
10/09 H #231 Preble Shawnee (4-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 42 (1%)
10/17 A #600 Mississinawa Valley (3-1) D7 R28, pick: L by 9 (28%)
10/24 H #637 Twin Valley South (1-3) D7 R28, pick: W by 2 (55%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
2.55 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R28 playoffs
Playoff chances now
2% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 2.60 ( 0.35-10.40) 2% in, proj. out (#9-out), Cincinnati Country Day (3-1) 18%
Lose: 1.50 ( 0.00- 5.25) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
(13%) 5W: 5.60 ( 5.50- 9.15) 14% in, proj. out (#9-out), Cincinnati Country Day (3-1) 20%
(24%) 4W: 4.05 ( 3.65- 7.70) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(31%) 3W: 2.55 ( 2.15- 5.75) out, proj. out
(25%) 2W: 1.10 ( 1.05- 4.30) out, proj. out
( 6%) 1W: 0.35 ( 0.35- 3.95) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(13%) WWWLWW: 5.60 ( 5.50- 7.35) 12% in, proj. out (#10-out), Cincinnati College Prep (2-2) 19%
( 7%) WWLLWW: 4.10 ( 4.00- 5.35) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Eastern (Beaver) (4-0) 50%
(12%) WWWLLW: 3.75 ( 3.65- 4.85) out
( 5%) WWLLWL: 2.65 ( 2.60- 3.75) out
( 8%) WWWLLL: 2.25 ( 2.25- 3.50) out
(16%) WWLLLW: 2.20 ( 2.15- 3.45) out
(21%) WWLLLL: 1.10 ( 1.10- 2.00) out
( 6%) WLLLLL: 0.35 ( 0.35- 1.15) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (0-4, 53.5, #636, D7 #70), 2% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (0-3, 52.8, #631, D7 #73), 3% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (0-2, 53.2, #627, D7 #67), 6% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (0-1, 59.5, #606, D7 #62), 18% (bubble if 5-5), 3% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 56.2, #620, D7 #64), 14% (bubble if 5-5), 3% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 50.3