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Rankings
#61 of 104 in Division 7
#16 of 26 in Region 28
Strength of schedule #62 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #100 in D7 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #659 River View (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 20 (82%)
08/28 A #502 Arcanum (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 21 (15%)
09/04 H #203 Tri-Village (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 41 (1%)
09/11 A #337 Ansonia (0-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 35 (2%)
09/18 A #693 Bradford (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 32 (98%)
09/25 H #676 Dixie (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 26 (95%)
10/02 H #586 National Trail (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 3 (42%)
10/09 A #285 Preble Shawnee (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 38 (1%)
10/16 H #629 Mississinawa Valley (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 9 (72%)
10/23 A #643 Twin Valley South (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 9 (72%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
5.40 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R28 playoffs
Playoff chances now
34% (bubble if 5-5), 12% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 5.40 ( 0.45-21.10) 39% in, 14% home, 2% bye, proj. out (#1-out), New Bremen (0-0) 8%
Lose: 2.60 ( 0.00-16.40) 11% in, 2% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), New Bremen (0-0) 11%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 9W: 16.25 (14.85-18.40) 100% home, 83% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 83%
( 3%) 8W: 13.00 (10.80-17.35) 100% in, 98% home, 27% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#10), bye 27%
(10%) 7W: 9.95 ( 8.20-14.65) 99% in, 58% home, 2% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), New Bremen (0-0) 9%
(18%) 6W: 7.45 ( 5.85-11.90) 79% in, 11% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), Ridgemont (0-0) 8%
(22%) 5W: 5.40 ( 4.00- 9.60) 26% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), New Bremen (0-0) 9%
(20%) 4W: 3.80 ( 2.55- 8.40) 3% in, proj. out (#9-out), Ansonia (0-0) 16%
(15%) 3W: 2.50 ( 1.50- 7.20) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 8%) 2W: 1.45 ( 0.80- 5.10) out, proj. out
( 3%) 1W: 0.45 ( 0.35- 4.05) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
New Bremen (0-0) 8%
Ridgemont (0-0) 7%
Minster (0-0) 7%
Lehman Catholic (0-0) 7%
Upper Scioto Valley (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Marion Local (0-0) 21%
Cincinnati Country Day (0-0) 15%
Ansonia (0-0) 13%
Lehman Catholic (0-0) 10%
Minster (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 67.9, #570, D7 #49), 63% (bubble if 5-5), 43% home (maybe if 6-4), 18% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #8 at 6-4
Last season 63.1