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Rankings
#35 of 105 in Division 5
#5 of 26 in Region 20
Strength of schedule #97 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #99 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #529 Madison (Middletown) (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 30 (92%)
08/28 A #337 Ansonia (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 4 (58%)
09/04 A #643 Twin Valley South (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 41 (99%)
09/11 H #676 Dixie (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 49 (99%)
09/18 A #502 Arcanum (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 26 (95%)
09/25 H #693 Bradford (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/02 A #629 Mississinawa Valley (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 39 (99%)
10/09 H #608 Tri-County North (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 38 (99%)
10/16 A #203 Tri-Village (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 12 (21%)
10/23 H #586 National Trail (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 36 (99%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
16.65 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#2 seed in R20 playoffs
Playoff chances now
92% (bubble if 6-4), 76% home (maybe if 7-3), 41% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 15.85 ( 1.30-24.40) 94% in, 79% home, 43% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 46%
Lose: 11.50 ( 0.35-20.05) 68% in, 39% home, 10% bye, proj. #10 (#1-out), bye 15%
Based on eventual number of wins
(21%) 10W: 20.30 (17.70-24.40) 100% home, 97% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#8), bye 97%
(31%) 9W: 16.65 (14.00-22.05) 100% in, 99% home, 56% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#11), bye 56%
(26%) 8W: 13.60 (11.00-18.95) 99% in, 78% home, 11% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 11%
(13%) 7W: 11.15 ( 8.25-16.00) 88% in, 30% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), Williamsburg (0-0) 6%
( 5%) 6W: 8.85 ( 6.10-12.80) 43% in, 3% home, proj. out (#6-out), Arcanum (0-0) 8%
( 2%) 5W: 6.70 ( 4.35-11.15) 9% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
( 1%) 4W: 4.80 ( 2.70- 9.55) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Arcanum (0-0) 3%
Purcell Marian (0-0) 3%
Mariemont (0-0) 3%
West Liberty-Salem (0-0) 3%
Most likely second round opponents
Brookville (0-0) 9%
Graham Local (0-0) 8%
Carlisle (0-0) 8%
Williamsburg (0-0) 8%
Greeneview (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 90.1, #442, D5 #61), 38% (bubble if 5-5), 23% home (maybe if 7-3), 11% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 108.2