Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions

Follow the Fantastic 50 on Twitter/X for the latest updates.

Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

#700 Bradford Railroaders (0-4) 16.5

Updated Sat 13-Sep-2025 10:57 PM
Week 4 complete

Region 28 home page
Region 28 projections
Region 28 playoff probabilities
Region 28 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 28 page
Eitel team page
Team history page

Rankings
#102 of 107 in Division 7
#24 of 27 in Region 28
Strength of schedule #52 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #103 in D7 (-820 WP+)

Schedule and results
08/22 L 54-0 A #578 Catholic Cent. (Sprfd.) (3-1) D7 R28, pick: L by 16 (23%), perf. rating 6
08/29 L 42-8 H #637 Twin Valley South (1-3) D7 R28, pick: L by 28 (8%), perf. rating 1
09/04 L 45-0 A #600 Mississinawa Valley (3-1) D7 R28, pick: L by 29 (5%), perf. rating 0
09/12 L 61-0 H #489 Arcanum (4-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 40 (1%), perf. rating 16
09/19 A #636 Tri-County North (0-4) D7 R28, pick: L by 32 (2%)
09/26 H #231 Preble Shawnee (4-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/03 H #330 Ansonia (3-1) D7 R28, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/10 A #271 Tri-Village (4-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/17 H #625 National Trail (0-4) D6 R24, pick: L by 31 (2%)
10/24 A #682 Dixie (0-4) D6 R24, pick: L by 18 (12%)

Regular season projections
0-10 record
0.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R28 playoffs

Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance)

Depending on the next game
Win: 1.15 ( 0.35- 4.20) out, proj. out
Lose: 0.00 ( 0.00- 7.45) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)

Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 2W: 1.90 ( 1.10- 7.45) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(19%) 1W: 0.40 ( 0.35- 3.95) out, proj. out
(79%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out

Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) LLLLWL: 0.80 ( 0.40- 2.05) out
( 1%) WLLLLL: 0.75 ( 0.35- 1.85) out
(13%) LLLLLW: 0.40 ( 0.40- 1.15) out
(79%) LLLLLL: 0.00 out

Weekly summary info
Week 4 (0-4, 16.5, #700, D7 #102), 1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 3 (0-3, 16.2, #700, D7 #103), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 0-10
Week 2 (0-2, 20.2, #696, D7 #98), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 1 (0-1, 23.9, #692, D7 #96), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 0 (0-0, 36.6, #676, D7 #87), 4% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Last season 31.1