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Rankings
#78 of 107 in Division 6
#18 of 27 in Region 24
Strength of schedule #85 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #94 in D6 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #585 Catholic Cent. (Sprfd.) (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 1 (52%)
08/28 A #203 Tri-Village (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 40 (2%)
09/04 H #337 Ansonia (0-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 30 (5%)
09/11 A #629 Mississinawa Valley (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 10 (72%)
09/18 A #676 Dixie (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 26 (95%)
09/25 H #502 Arcanum (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 13 (20%)
10/02 A #608 Tri-County North (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 3 (58%)
10/09 H #643 Twin Valley South (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 17 (87%)
10/16 H #693 Bradford (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 37 (99%)
10/23 A #285 Preble Shawnee (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 36 (1%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
6.55 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R24 playoffs
Playoff chances now
26% (bubble if 6-4), 7% home (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 8.15 ( 0.35-23.05) 41% in, 12% home, 2% bye, proj. out (#1-out), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (0-0) 8%
Lose: 4.00 ( 0.00-19.30) 10% in, 2% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (0-0) 10%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 9W: 16.95 (14.75-20.20) 100% in, 99% home, 40% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#9), bye 40%
( 5%) 8W: 13.70 (10.95-18.00) 99% in, 61% home, 4% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (0-0) 7%
(13%) 7W: 10.90 ( 7.95-15.15) 83% in, 16% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (0-0) 9%
(17%) 6W: 8.60 ( 5.80-12.95) 41% in, 2% home, proj. out (#5-out), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (0-0) 10%
(18%) 5W: 6.55 ( 3.85-10.40) 9% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Anna (0-0) 10%
(16%) 4W: 4.65 ( 2.45- 8.75) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(13%) 3W: 2.95 ( 1.40- 8.10) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(10%) 2W: 1.50 ( 0.70- 5.05) out, proj. out
( 4%) 1W: 0.40 ( 0.35- 3.90) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (0-0) 8%
Anna (0-0) 7%
Zane Trace (0-0) 7%
Valley (0-0) 7%
Mechanicsburg (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Cincinnati College Prep (0-0) 14%
Tri-Village (0-0) 14%
St Henry (0-0) 11%
Zane Trace (0-0) 10%
Mechanicsburg (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 64.1, #586, D6 #78), 26% (bubble if 6-4), 7% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 64.4