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Rankings
#89 of 108 in Division 6
#19 of 27 in Region 24
Strength of schedule #77 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #70 in D6 (-312 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 53-8 H #695 Catholic Cent. (Sprfd.) (0-4) D7 R28, pick: W by 1 (52%), perf. rating 66
08/28 L 38-7 A #260 Tri-Village (7-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 27 (9%), perf. rating 70
09/04 L 48-13 H #280 Ansonia (6-1) D7 R28, pick: L by 34 (3%), perf. rating 57
09/11 W 40-0 A #686 Mississinawa Valley (0-7) D7 R28, pick: W by 33 (98%), perf. rating 86
09/18 W 33-0 A #674 Dixie (2-5) D6 R24, pick: W by 32 (98%), perf. rating 84
09/25 L 42-0 H #351 Arcanum (6-1) D5 R20, pick: L by 19 (11%), perf. rating 38
10/02 L 34-0 A #505 Tri-County North (4-3) D7 R28, pick: L by 10 (26%), perf. rating 31
10/09 H #684 Twin Valley South (1-4) D7 R28, pick: W by 29 (97%)
10/16 H #653 Bradford (2-5) D7 R28, pick: W by 20 (91%)
10/23 A #501 Preble Shawnee (5-2) D5 R20, pick: L by 23 (7%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
4.43 Harbin points (divisor 95)
out of R24 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 4.43 ( 2.92- 8.09) out, proj. out
Lose: 3.34 ( 1.84- 6.53) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 8%) 6W: 6.93 ( 6.83- 8.09) out, proj. out
(82%) 5W: 4.43 ( 4.38- 6.53) out, proj. out
(10%) 4W: 2.98 ( 2.92- 5.02) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 8%) WWW: 6.93 ( 6.83- 8.09) out
(81%) WWL: 4.43 ( 4.38- 5.33) out
( 2%) LWL: 3.66 ( 3.29- 4.19) out
( 8%) WLL: 2.92 ( 2.92- 3.66) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (3-4, 58.4, #602, D6 #89), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 5-5
Week 6 (3-3, 64.9, #579, D6 #81), 1% (must have at least 7-3 for any chance), proj. out at 5-5
Week 5 (3-2, 76.2, #521, D6 #69), 14% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 6-4
Week 4 (2-2, 74.4, #525, D6 #72), 10% (likely needs 8-2), home game unlikely, proj. out at 6-4
Week 3 (1-2, 72.5, #547, D6 #74), 18% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 6-4
Week 2 (1-1, 76.4, #519, D6 #71), 29% (bubble if 7-3), 3% home (likely needs 9-1), proj. out at 6-4
Week 1 (1-0, 84.4, #464, D6 #60), 43% (bubble if 7-3), 14% home (maybe if 8-2), 2% bye (likely needs 10-0), proj. out at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 64.1, #586, D6 #78), 25% (bubble if 6-4), 7% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 64.4