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Rankings
#90 of 103 in Division 7
#21 of 25 in Region 28
Strength of schedule #70 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #71 in D7 (-408 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 41-0 A #603 Troy Christian (3-4) D6 R24, pick: W by 10 (68%), perf. rating -1
08/28 L 28-8 H #653 Bradford (2-5) D7 R28, pick: W by 4 (57%), perf. rating 8
09/18 W 12-6 H #686 Mississinawa Valley (0-7) D7 R28, pick: L by 6 (35%), perf. rating 32
09/25 L 70-0 A #280 Ansonia (6-1) D7 R28, pick: L by 49 (1%), perf. rating 51
10/02 L 54-0 H #351 Arcanum (6-1) D5 R20, pick: L by 48 (1%), perf. rating 38
10/09 A #602 National Trail (3-4) D6 R24, pick: L by 29 (3%)
10/16 A #674 Dixie (2-5) D6 R24, pick: L by 9 (28%)
10/23 H #505 Tri-County North (4-3) D7 R28, pick: L by 38 (1%)
Regular season projections
1-7 record
0.44 Harbin points (divisor 80)
out of R28 playoffs
Playoff chances now
2% (likely needs 3-5), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 3.19 ( 2.31- 7.56) 38% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), New Bremen (3-4) 35%
Lose: 0.44 ( 0.44- 5.69) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 3W: 4.12 ( 3.69- 5.75) 81% in, proj. #11 (#10-out), New Bremen (3-4) 41%
(29%) 2W: 1.81 ( 1.81- 4.31) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(69%) 1W: 0.44 ( 0.44- 1.00) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) WWL: 4.12 ( 3.69- 5.12) 77% in, proj. #12 (#10-out), New Bremen (3-4) 36%
( 2%) WLL: 2.75 ( 2.31- 3.31) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Riverside (DeGraff) (6-1) 100%
(27%) LWL: 1.81 ( 1.81- 2.81) out
(69%) LLL: 0.44 ( 0.44- 1.00) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (1-4, 26.1, #684, D7 #90), 2% (likely needs 3-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-7
Week 6 (1-3, 24.6, #684, D7 #90), 2% (likely needs 3-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-7
Week 5 (1-2, 22.5, #686, D7 #92), 3% (likely needs 3-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-7
Week 4 (0-2, 16.6, #691, D7 #96), 2% (likely needs 3-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 0-8
Week 3 (0-2, 18.8, #689, D7 #95), 2% (bubble if 3-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 0-8
Week 2 (0-2, 19.5, #689, D7 #94), 2% (bubble if 3-7), home game unlikely, proj. out at 0-10
Week 1 (0-1, 24.6, #681, D7 #90), 3% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Week 0 (0-0, 48.7, #643, D7 #77), 20% (bubble if 5-5), 6% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 42.9