Region 24 home page
Region 24 projections
Region 24 playoff probabilities
Region 24 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 24 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#59 of 107 in Division 6
#10 of 27 in Region 24
Strength of schedule #30 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #76 in D6 (-425 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 14-13 A #489 Arcanum (4-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 16 (23%), perf. rating 81
08/29 L 49-0 H #139 New Bremen (4-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 43 (2%), perf. rating 69
09/05 L 49-8 A #222 Graham Local (4-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 34 (3%), perf. rating 60
09/12 L 22-21 A #373 Miami East (3-1) D5 R20, pick: L by 33 (2%), perf. rating 100
09/19 H #450 Riverside (DeGraff) (2-2) D7 R28, pick: L by 5 (38%)
09/26 H #658 Troy Christian (0-4) D6 R24, pick: W by 31 (98%)
10/03 A #550 Bethel (2-2) D4 R16, pick: W by 4 (60%)
10/10 H #460 Northridge (0-3) D5 R20, pick: L by 4 (40%)
10/17 A #483 Milton-Union (0-4) D5 R20, pick: L by 5 (37%)
10/24 H #245 Lehman Catholic (4-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 30 (2%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
3.47 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R24 playoffs
Playoff chances now
16% (bubble if 4-6), 2% home (likely needs 6-4)
Depending on the next game
Win: 5.59 ( 1.61-13.16) 38% in, 4% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (3-1) 15%
Lose: 1.71 ( 0.00-10.38) 3% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Dayton Christian (3-1) 14%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 6W: 11.39 (10.63-13.16) 100% in, 81% home, 2% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#11), Anna (3-1) 16%
(11%) 5W: 7.40 ( 7.00-11.85) 91% in, 5% home, proj. #11 (#5-out), Dayton Christian (3-1) 14%
(20%) 4W: 5.49 ( 4.48- 9.63) 23% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (3-1) 19%
(24%) 3W: 3.47 ( 2.56- 7.01) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(25%) 2W: 1.71 ( 1.25- 4.44) out, proj. out
(18%) 1W: 0.40 ( 0.40- 3.58) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) WWWWWW: 11.39 (10.63-13.16) 100% in, 81% home, 2% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#11), Anna (3-1) 16%
( 9%) WWWWWL: 7.40 ( 7.00- 9.22) 90% in, 2% home, proj. #11 (#6-out), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (3-1) 15%
( 7%) LWWWWL: 4.83 ( 4.73- 6.55) 7% in, proj. out (#11-out), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (3-1) 26%
( 7%) LWWWLL: 3.37 ( 2.97- 5.19) out
( 6%) LWWLWL: 3.02 ( 2.97- 5.14) out
(12%) LWWLLL: 1.66 ( 1.66- 3.02) out
(17%) LWLLLL: 0.40 ( 0.40- 1.31) out
( 1%) LLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (0-4, 78.2, #513, D6 #59), 16% (bubble if 4-6), 2% home (likely needs 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (0-3, 65.9, #584, D6 #77), 5% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 2 (0-2, 68.4, #571, D6 #74), 13% (bubble if 4-6), 4% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 2-8
Week 1 (0-1, 65.7, #583, D6 #77), 11% (bubble if 4-6), 4% home (maybe if 5-5), proj. out at 2-8
Week 0 (0-0, 61.0, #604, D6 #85), 16% (bubble if 5-5), 7% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 69.5