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Rankings
#59 of 107 in Division 6
#14 of 27 in Region 24
Strength of schedule #38 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #84 in D6 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #502 Arcanum (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 7 (63%)
08/28 A #160 New Bremen (0-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 35 (4%)
09/04 H #273 Graham Local (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 24 (9%)
09/11 H #380 Miami East (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 12 (24%)
09/18 A #506 Riverside (DeGraff) (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 4 (60%)
09/25 A #670 Troy Christian (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 35 (99%)
10/02 H #582 Bethel (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 20 (90%)
10/09 A #446 Northridge (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 7 (32%)
10/16 H #494 Milton-Union (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 5 (63%)
10/23 A #339 Lehman Catholic (0-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 21 (8%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
8.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R24 playoffs
Playoff chances now
40% (bubble if 5-5), 19% home (maybe if 7-3), 5% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 9.55 ( 0.80-25.35) 55% in, 28% home, 8% bye, proj. #12 (#1-out), bye 15%
Lose: 3.60 ( 0.00-21.70) 14% in, 4% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Anna (0-0) 8%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 21.25 (17.60-25.35) 100% home, 93% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#7), bye 93%
( 3%) 9W: 19.05 (14.20-24.75) 100% in, 99% home, 69% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#10), bye 69%
( 7%) 8W: 16.20 (10.65-20.45) 99% in, 92% home, 26% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 26%
(11%) 7W: 13.35 ( 7.80-19.05) 98% in, 58% home, 4% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Anna (0-0) 7%
(14%) 6W: 10.55 ( 6.40-16.40) 79% in, 13% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (0-0) 9%
(16%) 5W: 8.00 ( 4.50-14.45) 34% in, 2% home, proj. out (#5-out), Zane Trace (0-0) 10%
(16%) 4W: 5.85 ( 3.00-10.95) 6% in, proj. out (#9-out), Zane Trace (0-0) 12%
(13%) 3W: 3.90 ( 1.60- 8.80) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(11%) 2W: 2.15 ( 0.85- 6.60) out, proj. out
( 6%) 1W: 0.75 ( 0.35- 4.05) out, proj. out
( 2%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (0-0) 6%
Anna (0-0) 6%
Zane Trace (0-0) 6%
Valley (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Tri-Village (0-0) 15%
Cincinnati College Prep (0-0) 12%
St Henry (0-0) 11%
Zane Trace (0-0) 9%
St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 83.9, #479, D6 #59), 40% (bubble if 5-5), 19% home (maybe if 7-3), 5% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 89.3