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Rankings
#25 of 108 in Division 6
#7 of 27 in Region 24
Strength of schedule #84 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #18 in D6 (+116 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 21-3 A #504 Bethel (1-6) D3 R12, pick: W by 38 (96%), perf. rating 109
08/28 W 38-7 H #602 National Trail (3-4) D6 R24, pick: W by 27 (91%), perf. rating 102
09/04 W 49-13 A #505 Tri-County North (4-3) D7 R28, pick: W by 39 (99%), perf. rating 135
09/11 W 47-8 H #514 Belmont (3-4) D2 R8, pick: W by 32 (97%), perf. rating 134
09/18 W 29-22 H #280 Ansonia (6-1) D7 R28, pick: W by 3 (56%), perf. rating 120
09/25 W 61-0 A #686 Mississinawa Valley (0-7) D7 R28, pick: W by 49 (99%), perf. rating 89
10/02 W 58-7 H #674 Dixie (2-5) D6 R24, pick: W by 49 (99%), perf. rating 93
10/09 A #653 Bradford (2-5) D7 R28, pick: W by 47 (99%)
10/16 H #501 Preble Shawnee (5-2) D5 R20, pick: W by 30 (98%)
10/23 A #351 Arcanum (6-1) D5 R20, pick: W by 9 (72%)
Regular season projections
10-0 record
22.95 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#1 seed in R24 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and likely home, 98% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 22.75 (15.25-23.95) 100% in, 99% home, 98% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#9), bye 98%
Based on eventual number of wins
(72%) 10W: 22.95 (20.80-23.95) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(27%) 9W: 19.80 (17.45-22.40) 100% home, 96% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 96%
( 2%) 8W: 17.05 (15.25-19.65) 100% in, 98% home, 27% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#9), bye 27%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(72%) WWW: 22.95 (20.80-23.95) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 1%) WLW: 20.05 (18.30-21.55) 100% home, 96% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#5), bye 96%
(25%) WWL: 19.75 (17.45-20.85) 100% home, 96% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 96%
( 1%) WLL: 16.75 (15.25-18.45) 100% in, 98% home, 16% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#9), Covington (4-3) 21%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (7-0, 114.1, #260, D6 #25), appears locked in and likely home, 98% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 6 (6-0, 116.4, #243, D6 #19), appears locked in and likely home, likely bye, proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 5 (5-0, 123.3, #196, D6 #12), appears locked in and home, likely bye, proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 4 (4-0, 119.8, #219, D6 #13), likely in and likely home, 94% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 3 (3-0, 115.0, #257, D6 #20), likely in and likely home, 81% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 114.3, #259, D6 #23), likely in, 92% home (maybe if 8-2), 43% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 112.9, #266, D6 #20), 97% (bubble if 6-4), 86% home (maybe if 8-2), 54% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 0 (0-0, 119.9, #203, D6 #15), 98% (bubble if 6-4), 91% home (maybe if 7-3), 62% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #3 at 9-1
Last season 125.0