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Rankings
#22 of 107 in Division 6
#5 of 27 in Region 24
Strength of schedule #99 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #37 in D6 (+10 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 68-12 H #658 Troy Christian (0-4) D6 R24, pick: W by 48 (99%), perf. rating 103
08/29 W 42-0 A #625 National Trail (0-4) D6 R24, pick: W by 33 (95%), perf. rating 120
09/05 W 56-12 H #636 Tri-County North (0-4) D7 R28, pick: W by 41 (99%), perf. rating 114
09/12 W 55-0 A #637 Twin Valley South (1-3) D7 R28, pick: W by 38 (99%), perf. rating 118
09/19 A #330 Ansonia (3-1) D7 R28, pick: W by 6 (65%)
09/26 H #600 Mississinawa Valley (3-1) D7 R28, pick: W by 39 (99%)
10/03 A #682 Dixie (0-4) D6 R24, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/10 H #700 Bradford (0-4) D7 R28, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/17 A #231 Preble Shawnee (4-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 7 (32%)
10/24 H #489 Arcanum (4-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 29 (97%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
14.60 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#3 seed in R24 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 97% home (maybe if 7-3), 66% bye (likely needs 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 14.80 ( 8.90-20.15) 100% in, 99% home, 91% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#9), bye 91%
Lose: 11.25 ( 5.90-16.35) 99% in, 91% home, 22% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 22%
Based on eventual number of wins
(26%) 10W: 18.45 (18.20-20.15) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(42%) 9W: 14.60 (14.30-18.55) 100% home, 90% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 90%
(28%) 8W: 11.25 (10.95-15.15) 100% in, 97% home, 8% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#11), Perry (Lima) (2-2) 14%
( 3%) 7W: 8.50 ( 8.00-12.75) 99% in, 42% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-out), Anna (3-1) 17%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(26%) WWWWWW: 18.45 (18.20-20.15) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 7%) LWWWWW: 15.15 (14.95-16.35) 100% home, 95% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 95%
(34%) WWWWLW: 14.55 (14.30-15.85) 100% home, 89% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 89%
( 1%) WWWWLL: 11.50 (10.95-12.80) 100% in, 97% home, 8% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#9), Anna (3-1) 16%
(25%) LWWWLW: 11.25 (11.05-12.95) 100% in, 96% home, 5% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#11), Perry (Lima) (2-2) 15%
( 2%) LWWWLL: 8.15 ( 8.00- 9.40) 99% in, 24% home, proj. #9 (#6-out), Anna (3-1) 19%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (4-0, 112.5, #271, D6 #22), likely in, 97% home (maybe if 7-3), 66% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 3 (3-0, 111.1, #280, D6 #21), likely in, 98% home (maybe if 7-3), 62% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 110.9, #286, D6 #20), likely in, 97% home (maybe if 7-3), 61% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 107.7, #307, D6 #21), likely in, 90% home (maybe if 7-3), 42% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #6 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 110.4, #271, D6 #15), 97% (bubble if 5-5), 86% home (maybe if 7-3), 47% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #2 at 9-1
Last season 106.5