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Rankings
#29 of 79 in Division 1
#8 of 18 in Region 1
Strength of schedule #54 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #30 in D1 (+47 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 24-22 A #104 Avon Lake (4-4) D2 R6, pick: L by 5 (41%), perf. rating 143
08/28 L 31-27 H #27 Highland (Medina) (7-1) D2 R5, pick: L by 16 (21%), perf. rating 155
09/04 L 38-21 A #50 Olmsted Falls (6-2) D2 R6, pick: L by 19 (14%), perf. rating 128
09/11 W 45-18 H #261 Cleveland Heights (1-7) D1 R1, pick: W by 26 (94%), perf. rating 153
09/18 W 35-7 A #205 Euclid (4-4) D1 R1, pick: W by 15 (83%), perf. rating 166
09/25 L 48-14 A #79 Riverside (Painesville) (5-3) D2 R5, pick: W by 14 (81%), perf. rating 94
10/02 W 56-30 H #64 Mentor (6-2) D1 R1, pick: L by 22 (8%), perf. rating 183
10/09 W 45-6 H #367 Lorain (2-6) D1 R1, pick: W by 35 (99%), perf. rating 156
10/16 A #428 Shaker Heights (1-7) D2 R5, pick: W by 39 (99%)
10/23 H #186 Brunswick (5-3) D1 R1, pick: W by 22 (93%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
21.35 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#7 seed in R1 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in, 93% home (maybe if 6-4)
Depending on the next game
Win: 21.30 (16.80-23.20) 100% in, 94% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#11), Brunswick (5-3) 45%
Lose: 20.20 (15.65-21.40) 100% in, 87% home, proj. #7 (#6-#10), Brunswick (5-3) 59%
Based on eventual number of wins
(92%) 7W: 21.35 (21.30-23.20) 100% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#8), Brunswick (5-3) 45%
( 8%) 6W: 17.45 (16.80-21.40) 100% in, 21% home, proj. #9 (#6-#11), Brunswick (5-3) 48%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(92%) WW: 21.35 (21.30-23.20) 100% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#8), Brunswick (5-3) 45%
( 7%) WL: 17.45 (16.80-18.70) 100% in, 12% home, proj. #10 (#7-#11), Brunswick (5-3) 46%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (4-3, 144.8, #69, D1 #31), appears locked in, 89% home (likely needs 7-3), proj. #7 at 7-3
Week 6 (3-3, 136.3, #118, D1 #40), appears locked in, 25% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. #9 at 6-4
Week 5 (3-2, 148.2, #67, D1 #29), appears locked in, 79% home (maybe if 6-4), 19% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #8 at 7-3
Week 4 (2-2, 141.6, #87, D1 #34), likely in, 53% home (maybe if 6-4), 8% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #8 at 7-3
Week 3 (1-2, 140.6, #88, D1 #33), 96% (bubble if 3-7), 61% home (maybe if 6-4), 13% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 7-3
Week 2 (1-1, 143.9, #77, D1 #29), 95% (bubble if 3-7), 70% home (maybe if 5-5), 16% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 6-4
Week 1 (1-0, 143.2, #80, D1 #32), 93% (bubble if 3-7), 70% home (maybe if 5-5), 32% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #7 at 6-4
Week 0 (0-0, 140.4, #92, D1 #35), 79% (bubble if 3-7), 54% home (maybe if 5-5), 21% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #7 at 5-5
Last season 138.7