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Rankings
#35 of 80 in Division 1
#8 of 19 in Region 1
Strength of schedule #44 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #19 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #81 Avon Lake (0-0) D2 R6, pick: L by 5 (41%)
08/28 H #9 Highland (Medina) (0-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 30 (7%)
09/04 A #45 Olmsted Falls (0-0) D2 R6, pick: L by 15 (20%)
09/11 H #133 Cleveland Heights (0-0) D1 R1, pick: W by 9 (70%)
09/18 A #231 Euclid (0-0) D1 R1, pick: W by 22 (92%)
09/25 A #116 Riverside (Painesville) (0-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 3 (58%)
10/02 H #17 Mentor (0-0) D1 R1, pick: L by 25 (5%)
10/09 H #290 Lorain (0-0) D1 R1, pick: W by 29 (97%)
10/16 A #307 Shaker Heights (0-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 28 (97%)
10/23 H #155 Brunswick (0-0) D1 R1, pick: W by 13 (80%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
12.45 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#7 seed in R1 playoffs
Playoff chances now
79% (bubble if 3-7), 55% home (maybe if 5-5), 21% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 18.75 ( 0.60-41.15) 94% in, 78% home, 37% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 40%
Lose: 9.55 ( 0.00-34.80) 69% in, 39% home, 9% bye, proj. #10 (#1-out), bye 13%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 10W: 33.75 (27.55-41.15) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 5%) 9W: 28.80 (21.00-36.95) 100% home, 97% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 97%
(10%) 8W: 24.10 (17.50-32.30) 100% in, 99% home, 75% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#9), bye 75%
(14%) 7W: 19.88 (13.20-27.55) 100% in, 99% home, 35% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#11), bye 35%
(15%) 6W: 16.20 ( 9.45-24.15) 100% in, 89% home, 9% bye, proj. #7 (#2-#12), bye 9%
(15%) 5W: 12.45 ( 6.80-19.85) 99% in, 55% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Berea-Midpark (0-0) 9%
(14%) 4W: 8.85 ( 4.40-16.90) 89% in, 13% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#4-out), Berea-Midpark (0-0) 10%
(11%) 3W: 5.75 ( 2.45-13.90) 47% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Hudson (0-0) 12%
( 8%) 2W: 3.20 ( 1.25- 8.85) 10% in, proj. out (#9-out), Cleveland Heights (0-0) 16%
( 4%) 1W: 1.25 ( 0.60- 6.35) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 2%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Cleveland Heights (0-0) 6%
Brunswick (0-0) 6%
Berea-Midpark (0-0) 6%
St Ignatius (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Mentor (0-0) 15%
St Edward (0-0) 14%
Austintown-Fitch (0-0) 13%
Canton McKinley (0-0) 12%
Hudson (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 140.4, #92, D1 #35), 79% (bubble if 3-7), 55% home (maybe if 5-5), 21% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #7 at 5-5
Last season 138.7