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Region 12 playoff probabilities
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Rankings
#106 of 107 in Division 3
#26 of 26 in Region 12
Strength of schedule #57 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #98 in D3 (-705 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 72-0 A #158 Africentric Early Coll. (3-1) D5 R19, pick: L by 37 (4%), perf. rating 70
08/29 L 62-0 A #138 Beavercreek (2-2) D1 R2, pick: L by 38 (3%), perf. rating 73
09/05 L 55-0 H #357 Taylor (2-2) D4 R16, pick: L by 30 (5%), perf. rating 38
09/13 L 30-7 A #616 Thurgood Marshall (1-3) D4 R16, pick: W by 16 (83%), perf. rating 25
09/19 H #383 Northwest (Cincy) (1-3) D2 R8, pick: L by 36 (1%)
09/26 H #356 Aiken (3-1) D2 R8, pick: L by 38 (1%)
10/03 A #49 Withrow (4-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/10 A #377 Hughes (2-2) D3 R12, pick: L by 38 (1%)
10/17 H #464 Western Hills (1-3) D1 R4, pick: L by 28 (3%)
10/24 A #46 Taft (4-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 49 (1%)
Regular season projections
0-10 record
0.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R12 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 2.30 ( 1.15- 6.90) out, proj. out
Lose: 0.00 ( 0.00-10.35) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 8%) 1W: 1.70 ( 1.15- 5.90) out, proj. out
(91%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 4%) LLLLWL: 1.15 ( 1.15- 2.75) out
(91%) LLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (0-4, 48.5, #646, D3 #106), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 0-10
Week 3 (0-3, 61.3, #600, D3 #102), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 1-9
Week 2 (0-2, 64.6, #589, D3 #102), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 1 (0-1, 61.4, #601, D3 #102), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 0 (0-0, 63.9, #592, D3 #102), 2% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Last season 61.9