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Rankings
#98 of 104 in Division 2
#23 of 23 in Region 8
Strength of schedule #104 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #84 in D2 (-482 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 41-32 H #394 Deer Park (4-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 14 (26%), perf. rating 81
08/30 L 38-0 H #356 Aiken (3-1) D2 R8, pick: L by 30 (7%), perf. rating 44
09/05 W 20-6 H #613 South (Columbus) (1-3) D3 R11, pick: W by 1 (52%), perf. rating 76
09/13 W 26-8 A #668 Gamble Montessori (2-2) D4 R16, pick: W by 26 (94%), perf. rating 67
09/18 A #547 Dunbar (0-4) D3 R12, pick: L by 5 (38%)
09/26 A #421 North College Hill (4-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 23 (7%)
10/02 H #688 Lockland (0-4) D7 R28, pick: W by 35 (99%)
10/09 A #616 Thurgood Marshall (1-3) D4 R16, pick: W by 11 (77%)
10/16 H #531 Meadowdale (1-3) D4 R16, pick: L by 4 (40%)
10/23 H #644 Ponitz Tech (0-4) D3 R12, pick: W by 21 (92%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
6.60 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R8 playoffs
Playoff chances now
14% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 9.70 ( 4.00-18.50) 29% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Xenia (3-1) 22%
Lose: 6.50 ( 2.35-15.10) 5% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Xenia (3-1) 23%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 8W: 14.70 (12.50-18.50) 98% in, 16% home, proj. #10 (#7-out), Lima Senior (2-2) 23%
(18%) 7W: 10.88 ( 9.20-15.95) 49% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Xenia (3-1) 25%
(28%) 6W: 8.55 ( 6.45-15.05) 8% in, proj. out (#9-out), Xenia (3-1) 25%
(29%) 5W: 6.60 ( 4.70-11.60) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
(17%) 4W: 5.05 ( 3.25- 9.10) out, proj. out
( 5%) 3W: 4.20 ( 3.05- 7.00) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 3%) WWWWWW: 14.70 (12.50-18.50) 98% in, 16% home, proj. #10 (#7-out), Lima Senior (2-2) 23%
(14%) WLWWWW: 10.65 ( 9.20-13.50) 42% in, proj. out (#9-out), Xenia (3-1) 28%
(13%) LLWWWW: 8.68 ( 7.10-11.95) 7% in, proj. out (#10-out), Xenia (3-1) 31%
(11%) WLWWLW: 8.15 ( 6.45-11.20) 3% in, proj. out (#11-out), Kings (4-0) 26%
( 4%) LLWLWW: 6.85 ( 5.05- 9.40) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Xenia (3-1) 100%
(19%) LLWWLW: 6.50 ( 4.80- 9.20) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Harrison (3-1) 50%
(12%) LLWLLW: 4.90 ( 3.25- 7.15) out
( 4%) LLWLLL: 4.20 ( 3.05- 6.10) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (2-2, 69.7, #563, D2 #98), 14% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 5-5
Week 3 (1-2, 68.8, #572, D2 #96), 16% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 5-5
Week 2 (0-2, 63.3, #592, D2 #97), 10% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 1 (0-1, 64.8, #587, D2 #97), 15% (bubble if 7-3), 2% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 64.5, #587, D2 #98), 23% (bubble if 7-3), 6% home (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 67.6