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Rankings
#79 of 101 in Division 4
#19 of 26 in Region 16
Strength of schedule #96 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #79 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #592 Briggs (0-0) D2 R8, pick: W by 14 (74%)
08/27 A #693 Dayton Stivers (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 41 (98%)
09/04 H #388 Cincinnati College Prep (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 16 (19%)
09/12 A #444 St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 12 (24%)
09/18 A #575 Belmont (0-0) D2 R8, pick: W by 11 (75%)
09/25 H #646 Ponitz Tech (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 28 (96%)
10/02 A #39 Trotwood-Madison (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/08 H #376 Northwest (Cincy) (0-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 18 (12%)
10/17 H #661 Thurgood Marshall (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 32 (98%)
10/22 H #458 Meadowdale (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 5 (37%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
9.52 Harbin points (divisor 96)
out of R16 playoffs
Playoff chances now
47% (bubble if 6-4), 22% home (maybe if 7-3), 5% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 12.31 ( 0.60-33.53) 57% in, 28% home, 6% bye, proj. #12 (#1-out), bye 11%
Lose: 6.43 ( 0.00-22.85) 19% in, 5% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Wyoming (0-0) 8%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 24.26 (19.84-33.53) 100% home, 75% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 75%
( 5%) 9W: 21.79 (13.24-29.60) 99% in, 96% home, 46% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 46%
(10%) 8W: 18.52 (11.76-26.65) 99% in, 80% home, 15% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 16%
(15%) 7W: 15.37 ( 8.65-22.76) 92% in, 42% home, 2% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), Wyoming (0-0) 7%
(18%) 6W: 12.31 ( 6.28-19.86) 66% in, 11% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), Wyoming (0-0) 9%
(19%) 5W: 9.52 ( 3.85-16.41) 26% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out), Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 10%
(15%) 4W: 6.79 ( 3.19-12.88) 4% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Wyoming (0-0) 14%
(10%) 3W: 4.52 ( 1.60-10.72) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 5%) 2W: 2.77 ( 1.00- 7.41) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 2%) 1W: 1.18 ( 0.45- 4.20) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Wyoming (0-0) 7%
Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 6%
Clinton-Massie (0-0) 5%
Taylor (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
London (0-0) 16%
Taft (0-0) 13%
Clinton-Massie (0-0) 12%
Valley View (0-0) 11%
Wyoming (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 135.1, #123, D4 #10), 90% (bubble if 5-5), 77% home (maybe if 6-4), 47% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 8-2
Last season 79.9