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Rankings
#79 of 101 in Division 4
#19 of 26 in Region 16
Strength of schedule #96 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #79 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #592 Briggs (0-0) D2 R8, pick: W by 14 (74%)
08/27 A #692 Dayton Stivers (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 41 (98%)
09/04 H #388 Cincinnati College Prep (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 16 (19%)
09/12 A #444 St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 12 (24%)
09/18 A #575 Belmont (0-0) D2 R8, pick: W by 11 (75%)
09/25 H #646 Ponitz Tech (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 28 (96%)
10/02 A #39 Trotwood-Madison (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/08 H #376 Northwest (Cincy) (0-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 18 (12%)
10/17 H #661 Thurgood Marshall (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 32 (98%)
10/22 H #458 Meadowdale (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 5 (37%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
12.12 Harbin points (divisor 97)
#7 seed in R16 playoffs
Playoff chances now
47% (bubble if 6-4), 22% home (maybe if 7-3), 4% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 12.22 ( 0.60-30.77) 56% in, 27% home, 6% bye, proj. #12 (#1-out), bye 10%
Lose: 6.26 ( 0.00-28.26) 19% in, 5% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Wyoming (0-0) 8%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 24.45 (18.76-30.77) 100% in, 99% home, 79% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#9), bye 79%
( 5%) 9W: 21.76 (14.91-28.78) 100% in, 97% home, 47% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#11), bye 47%
(11%) 8W: 18.38 (11.68-27.04) 99% in, 78% home, 13% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 13%
(15%) 7W: 15.22 ( 8.39-23.19) 92% in, 40% home, 2% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 7%
(18%) 6W: 12.12 ( 6.09-19.54) 63% in, 9% home, proj. #12 (#5-out), Wyoming (0-0) 8%
(18%) 5W: 9.27 ( 3.58-16.88) 23% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Wyoming (0-0) 10%
(15%) 4W: 6.58 ( 2.67-13.13) 3% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Valley View (0-0) 14%
(10%) 3W: 4.28 ( 1.60- 9.59) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 5%) 2W: 2.47 ( 0.95- 6.88) out, proj. out
( 2%) 1W: 1.17 ( 0.45- 5.03) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Wyoming (0-0) 6%
Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 6%
Clinton-Massie (0-0) 6%
Valley View (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
London (0-0) 16%
Taft (0-0) 13%
Clinton-Massie (0-0) 12%
Valley View (0-0) 11%
Wyoming (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 135.0, #123, D4 #10), 90% (bubble if 5-5), 78% home (maybe if 6-4), 47% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 8-2
Last season 79.9