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Rankings
#73 of 101 in Division 4
#17 of 26 in Region 16
Strength of schedule #90 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #84 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 H #451 Independence (Cbus) (0-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 1 (52%)
08/28 A #196 Talawanda (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 31 (6%)
09/04 A #422 Purcell Marian (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 8 (33%)
09/11 A #538 North College Hill (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 12 (76%)
09/18 A #388 Cincinnati College Prep (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 13 (21%)
09/26 A #661 Thurgood Marshall (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 34 (98%)
10/02 A #168 Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 33 (2%)
10/10 H #646 Ponitz Tech (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 32 (98%)
10/15 H #575 Belmont (0-0) D2 R8, pick: W by 22 (93%)
10/22 A #501 Dunbar (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 5 (63%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
11.66 Harbin points (divisor 98)
#8 seed in R16 playoffs
Playoff chances now
55% (bubble if 5-5), 32% home (maybe if 6-4), 10% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 15.99 ( 0.60-35.20) 77% in, 51% home, 18% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), bye 24%
Lose: 8.27 ( 0.00-28.99) 32% in, 12% home, 2% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Wyoming (0-0) 8%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 28.16 (21.22-35.20) 100% home, 95% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 95%
( 5%) 9W: 24.55 (16.99-31.23) 100% in, 99% home, 80% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#9), bye 80%
(10%) 8W: 21.09 (14.30-28.23) 99% in, 97% home, 41% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 41%
(14%) 7W: 17.84 (10.64-24.93) 99% in, 76% home, 9% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 9%
(15%) 6W: 14.63 ( 8.31-20.55) 92% in, 34% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Wyoming (0-0) 8%
(16%) 5W: 11.66 ( 6.12-17.39) 58% in, 6% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#4-out), Wyoming (0-0) 10%
(15%) 4W: 8.68 ( 3.83-15.42) 13% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out), Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 12%
(12%) 3W: 5.68 ( 2.26-11.80) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 8%) 2W: 3.14 ( 1.05- 8.04) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 3%) 1W: 1.11 ( 0.50- 5.09) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Wyoming (0-0) 6%
Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 5%
Clinton-Massie (0-0) 5%
Washington (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
London (0-0) 13%
Taft (0-0) 12%
Clinton-Massie (0-0) 12%
Wyoming (0-0) 11%
Valley View (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 71.3, #548, D4 #87), 9% (bubble if 7-3), 2% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 85.3