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Rankings
#100 of 107 in Division 3
#25 of 26 in Region 11
Strength of schedule #102 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #96 in D3 (-670 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 53-0 H #683 Mifflin (0-4) D2 R7, pick: W by 28 (90%), perf. rating 91
08/29 L 21-6 H #564 Centennial (2-2) D3 R11, pick: W by 5 (60%), perf. rating 45
09/05 L 20-6 A #563 Belmont (2-2) D2 R8, pick: L by 1 (48%), perf. rating 51
09/11 L 48-6 H #189 Walnut Ridge (1-3) D2 R7, pick: L by 42 (1%), perf. rating 60
09/19 A #497 Independence (Cbus) (2-2) D3 R11, pick: L by 23 (8%)
09/26 H #536 Eastmoor Academy (2-2) D3 R11, pick: L by 15 (17%)
10/03 H #482 Briggs (2-2) D2 R7, pick: L by 21 (9%)
10/09 A #158 Africentric Early Coll. (3-1) D5 R19, pick: L by 48 (1%)
10/17 A #643 West (0-4) D3 R11, pick: W by 6 (65%)
10/24 H #363 Marion-Franklin (1-3) D4 R15, pick: L by 33 (1%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
1.15 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R11 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 4.93 ( 2.20-14.95) 2% in, proj. out (#9-out)
Lose: 1.15 ( 0.60-12.05) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 5W: 9.00 ( 7.65-11.15) 6% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 6%) 4W: 6.15 ( 4.90- 9.30) out, proj. out
(20%) 3W: 3.40 ( 2.75- 8.00) out, proj. out
(43%) 2W: 1.15 ( 1.15- 5.85) out, proj. out
(30%) 1W: 0.60 ( 0.60- 2.35) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) LWWLWL: 6.25 ( 5.70- 8.30) out
( 2%) WWLLWL: 5.50 ( 5.50- 7.30) out
( 5%) LLWLWL: 4.05 ( 3.50- 5.80) out
( 3%) WLLLWL: 3.80 ( 3.30- 5.65) out
(10%) LWLLWL: 2.80 ( 2.80- 5.05) out
( 3%) LWLLLL: 2.25 ( 2.25- 4.00) out
(36%) LLLLWL: 1.15 ( 1.15- 2.90) out
(30%) LLLLLL: 0.60 ( 0.60- 2.35) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (1-3, 57.6, #613, D3 #100), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 3 (1-2, 58.8, #610, D3 #103), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 2 (1-1, 64.4, #590, D3 #103), 3% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (1-0, 71.7, #555, D3 #96), 15% (bubble if 6-4), 5% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 65.3, #583, D3 #99), 8% (bubble if 7-3), 3% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 59.7