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Rankings
#99 of 102 in Division 3
#25 of 26 in Region 12
Strength of schedule #88 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #96 in D3 (-695 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 35-14 H #275 Fort Recovery (2-5) D7 R28, pick: L by 44 (2%), perf. rating 79
08/28 L 46-0 H #231 North College Hill (6-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 14 (24%), perf. rating 54
09/04 L 15-14 A #536 Carroll (2-5) D3 R12, pick: L by 29 (5%), perf. rating 74
09/11 L 48-0 H #229 Monroe (5-2) D3 R12, pick: L by 39 (1%), perf. rating 54
09/25 L 40-8 A #439 Dunbar (3-3) D4 R16, pick: L by 25 (6%), perf. rating 43
10/01 W 24-16 H #650 Thurgood Marshall (1-6) D3 R12, pick: W by 22 (92%), perf. rating 51
10/10 A #540 Meadowdale (2-5) D4 R16, pick: L by 18 (12%)
10/16 H #224 East (Columbus) (6-1) D3 R11, pick: L by 41 (1%)
10/21 H #514 Belmont (3-4) D2 R8, pick: L by 18 (12%)
Regular season projections
1-8 record
1.12 Harbin points (divisor 89)
out of R12 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 3-6 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 3.53 ( 2.96-12.11) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Lose: 1.12 ( 1.12-10.65) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 4%) 3W: 6.27 ( 6.16-10.65) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(19%) 2W: 3.75 ( 2.96- 7.63) out, proj. out
(77%) 1W: 1.12 ( 1.12- 2.30) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 3%) WLW: 6.27 ( 6.16- 6.83) out
(10%) LLW: 3.75 ( 3.75- 4.87) out
( 8%) WLL: 2.96 ( 2.96- 4.76) out
(77%) LLL: 1.12 ( 1.12- 2.30) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (1-5, 57.6, #606, D3 #99), 1% (must have at least 3-6 for any chance), proj. out at 1-8
Week 6 (0-5, 57.9, #607, D3 #99), 1% (must have at least 2-7 for any chance), proj. out at 1-8
Week 5 (0-4, 59.5, #599, D3 #99), 1% (must have at least 3-6 for any chance), proj. out at 1-8
Week 4 (0-4, 58.1, #601, D3 #98), 1% (must have at least 2-7 for any chance), proj. out at 1-8
Week 3 (0-3, 55.4, #615, D3 #99), 1% (must have at least 2-7 for any chance), proj. out at 1-8
Week 2 (0-2, 44.5, #645, D3 #102), 1% (must have at least 2-7 for any chance), proj. out at 1-8
Week 1 (0-1, 56.7, #620, D3 #100), 7% (bubble if 5-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-7
Week 0 (0-0, 47.9, #646, D3 #101), 7% (bubble if 4-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-8
Last season 48.6