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Rankings
#99 of 102 in Division 3
#25 of 26 in Region 12
Strength of schedule #91 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #100 in D3 (-826 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 35-14 H #278 Fort Recovery (2-4) D7 R28, pick: L by 44 (2%), perf. rating 79
08/28 L 46-0 H #256 North College Hill (5-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 14 (24%), perf. rating 50
09/04 L 15-14 A #539 Carroll (2-4) D3 R12, pick: L by 29 (5%), perf. rating 73
09/11 L 48-0 H #240 Monroe (4-2) D3 R12, pick: L by 39 (1%), perf. rating 52
09/25 L 40-8 A #461 Dunbar (3-2) D4 R16, pick: L by 25 (6%), perf. rating 40
10/01 H #662 Thurgood Marshall (1-5) D3 R12, pick: W by 22 (92%)
10/10 A #540 Meadowdale (2-4) D4 R16, pick: L by 17 (13%)
10/16 H #233 East (Columbus) (5-1) D3 R11, pick: L by 41 (1%)
10/21 H #526 Belmont (2-4) D2 R8, pick: L by 15 (16%)
Regular season projections
1-8 record
1.12 Harbin points (divisor 88)
out of R12 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 2-7 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 1.12 ( 1.12-12.22) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Lose: 0.00 ( 0.00- 5.90) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 4%) 3W: 6.32 ( 5.81-10.24) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(24%) 2W: 3.78 ( 2.98- 7.70) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(65%) 1W: 1.12 ( 1.12- 5.90) out, proj. out
( 7%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 4%) WWLW: 6.21 ( 5.81- 7.46) out
(13%) WLLW: 3.78 ( 3.38- 4.91) out
(10%) WWLL: 2.98 ( 2.98- 5.31) out
(64%) WLLL: 1.12 ( 1.12- 2.37) out
( 7%) LLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 6 (0-5, 57.9, #607, D3 #99), 1% (must have at least 2-7 for any chance), proj. out at 1-8
Week 5 (0-4, 59.5, #599, D3 #99), 1% (must have at least 3-6 for any chance), proj. out at 1-8
Week 4 (0-4, 58.1, #601, D3 #98), 1% (must have at least 2-7 for any chance), proj. out at 1-8
Week 3 (0-3, 55.4, #615, D3 #99), 1% (must have at least 2-7 for any chance), proj. out at 1-8
Week 2 (0-2, 44.5, #645, D3 #102), 1% (must have at least 2-7 for any chance), proj. out at 1-8
Week 1 (0-1, 56.7, #620, D3 #100), 7% (bubble if 5-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-7
Week 0 (0-0, 47.9, #646, D3 #101), 7% (bubble if 4-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-8
Last season 48.6