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Rankings
#83 of 108 in Division 6
#23 of 26 in Region 23
Strength of schedule #90 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #64 in D6 (-240 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 40-6 A #644 River Valley (Bidwell) (2-6) D5 R19, pick: W by 12 (71%), perf. rating 96
08/28 L 34-7 A #424 Huntington (5-3) D6 R24, pick: L by 23 (12%), perf. rating 53
09/04 L 56-7 A #339 Symmes Valley (8-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 36 (2%), perf. rating 43
09/11 W 41-8 A #689 Miller (1-7) D7 R27, pick: W by 27 (95%), perf. rating 69
09/18 W 55-8 H #691 Millersport (2-6) D7 R27, pick: W by 33 (98%), perf. rating 76
09/25 L 56-17 H #322 Worthington Christian (5-3) D5 R19, pick: L by 29 (3%), perf. rating 46
10/02 W 19-16 A #578 Grove City Christian (3-5) D5 R19, pick: L by 8 (30%), perf. rating 71
10/09 W 23-7 H #641 Fisher Catholic (6-2) D7 R27, pick: W by 20 (91%), perf. rating 67
10/16 H #681 Fairfield Christian (3-5) D7 R27, pick: W by 31 (98%)
10/23 A #687 Bishop Rosecrans (1-7) D7 R27, pick: W by 32 (98%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
11.35 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#12 seed in R23 playoffs
Playoff chances now
92% (bubble if 6-4), no home game
Depending on the next game
Win: 11.35 ( 9.65-12.35) 93% in, proj. #11 (#9-out), Waterford (6-2) 30%
Lose: 9.85 ( 8.40-10.50) 22% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
(96%) 7W: 11.35 (10.60-12.35) 94% in, proj. #11 (#9-out), Waterford (6-2) 30%
( 4%) 6W: 9.90 ( 9.10-10.85) 32% in, proj. out (#11-out), Newcomerstown (6-2) 29%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(96%) WW: 11.35 (10.60-12.35) 94% in, proj. #11 (#9-out), Waterford (6-2) 30%
( 2%) WL: 10.30 ( 9.65-10.85) 42% in, proj. out (#11-out), Newcomerstown (6-2) 26%
( 2%) LW: 9.85 ( 9.10-10.50) 23% in, proj. out (#11-out), Newcomerstown (6-2) 33%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (4-3, 64.4, #580, D6 #82), 83% (likely needs 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. #11 at 7-3
Week 6 (3-3, 61.1, #596, D6 #86), 33% (likely needs 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 6-4
Week 5 (3-2, 63.5, #588, D6 #85), 33% (bubble if 7-3), 2% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 6-4
Week 4 (2-2, 61.0, #591, D6 #86), 23% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 6-4
Week 3 (1-2, 54.7, #616, D6 #92), 23% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 6-4
Week 2 (1-1, 52.8, #626, D6 #97), 14% (bubble if 7-3), 2% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 6-4
Week 1 (1-0, 51.5, #635, D6 #97), 15% (bubble if 7-3), 3% home (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 40.3, #663, D6 #101), 8% (bubble if 7-3), 2% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 40.8