Region 23 home page
Region 23 projections
Region 23 playoff probabilities
Region 23 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 23 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#89 of 107 in Division 6
#25 of 27 in Region 23
Strength of schedule #106 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #55 in D6 (-212 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 34-14 H #685 River Valley (Bidwell) (0-4) D5 R19, pick: W by 21 (83%), perf. rating 58
08/29 L 36-0 A #478 Trimble (3-1) D7 R27, pick: L by 29 (7%), perf. rating 30
09/05 W 35-13 H #673 Lakewood (Hebron) (0-4) D4 R15, pick: L by 10 (28%), perf. rating 67
09/12 W 20-18 H #587 Miller (3-1) D7 R27, pick: L by 18 (14%), perf. rating 65
09/19 A #693 Millersport (2-2) D7 R27, pick: W by 27 (95%)
09/26 A #560 Worthington Christian (1-3) D5 R19, pick: L by 17 (14%)
10/03 H #491 Grove City Christian (3-1) D6 R23, pick: L by 22 (8%)
10/10 A #652 Fisher Catholic (3-1) D7 R27, pick: W by 8 (70%)
10/17 A #647 Fairfield Christian (2-2) D7 R27, pick: W by 5 (63%)
10/24 H #650 Bishop Rosecrans (2-2) D7 R27, pick: W by 9 (72%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
9.22 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R23 playoffs
Playoff chances now
20% (bubble if 7-3), 3% home (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 9.62 ( 3.87-16.98) 21% in, 4% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#3-out), Ridgewood (4-0) 13%
Lose: 6.60 ( 2.82-14.46) 2% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 9W: 15.22 (14.41-16.98) 100% in, 68% home, 3% bye, proj. #8 (#3-#11), Newcomerstown (2-2) 11%
(10%) 8W: 13.05 (11.38-15.78) 80% in, 18% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), Ridgewood (4-0) 12%
(29%) 7W: 11.29 ( 9.11-14.01) 32% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Ridgewood (4-0) 14%
(28%) 6W: 9.22 ( 6.94-12.15) 2% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(20%) 5W: 7.20 ( 5.38-10.13) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(10%) 4W: 5.34 ( 3.87- 8.22) out, proj. out
( 1%) 3W: 4.23 ( 2.82- 6.15) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) WWWWWW: 15.22 (14.41-16.98) 100% in, 68% home, 3% bye, proj. #8 (#3-#11), Newcomerstown (2-2) 11%
(23%) WLLWWW: 11.29 (10.58-14.01) 33% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Ridgewood (4-0) 16%
(10%) WLLWLW: 9.37 ( 8.31-12.15) 2% in, proj. out (#11-out), Ridgewood (4-0) 24%
( 7%) WLLLWW: 9.12 ( 8.06-10.89) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Centerburg (3-1) 22%
( 7%) WLLWWL: 9.07 ( 7.96-11.54) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out), Northmor (2-2) 20%
( 8%) WLLLLW: 7.20 ( 5.79- 9.02) out
( 8%) WLLLLL: 5.29 ( 3.87- 7.51) out
( 1%) LLLLLL: 4.23 ( 2.82- 6.15) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (3-1, 55.2, #628, D6 #89), 20% (bubble if 7-3), 3% home (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 6-4
Week 3 (2-1, 50.3, #638, D6 #88), 7% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 5-5
Week 2 (1-1, 38.0, #668, D6 #97), 2% (bubble if 8-2), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (1-0, 40.9, #667, D6 #95), 6% (bubble if 7-3), 2% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 38.4, #671, D6 #99), 8% (bubble if 7-3), 3% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 40.9