Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions

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Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

#681 Fairfield Christian Knights (3-5) 26.9

Updated Sat 10-Oct-2026 10:44 PM
Week 8 in progress

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Rankings
#87 of 103 in Division 7
#20 of 27 in Region 27
Strength of schedule #99 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #81 in D7 (-494 WP+)

Schedule and results
08/21 L 28-0 H #642 Southeastern (4-4) D6 R24, pick: W by 13 (72%), perf. rating 1
08/28 L 42-0 H #643 Trimble (2-6) D7 R27, pick: L by 27 (9%), perf. rating -20
09/04 W 25-16 H #692 East Clinton (0-8) D5 R20, pick: W by 14 (78%), perf. rating 25
09/11 L 32-21 A #641 Fisher Catholic (6-2) D7 R27, pick: L by 24 (8%), perf. rating 31
09/18 L 48-7 A #339 Symmes Valley (8-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 49 (1%), perf. rating 45
09/25 W 21-0 H #687 Bishop Rosecrans (1-7) D7 R27, pick: W by 11 (76%), perf. rating 50
10/02 L 20-10 A #689 Miller (1-7) D7 R27, pick: W by 4 (60%), perf. rating 5
10/09 W 28-8 H #691 Millersport (2-6) D7 R27, pick: W by 9 (72%), perf. rating 43
10/16 A #583 Berne Union (5-3) D6 R23, pick: L by 31 (2%)
10/23 H #578 Grove City Christian (3-5) D5 R19, pick: L by 30 (2%)

Regular season projections
3-7 record
2.55 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R27 playoffs

Playoff chances now
unlikely to contend for playoffs

Depending on the next game
Win: 5.25 ( 5.25- 7.45) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Lose: 2.55 ( 2.55- 5.25) out, proj. out

Based on eventual number of wins
( 4%) 4W: 4.75 ( 4.05- 6.15) out, proj. out
(96%) 3W: 2.55 ( 2.55- 3.75) out, proj. out

Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) WL: 5.25 ( 5.25- 6.15) out
( 2%) LW: 4.40 ( 4.05- 5.25) out
(96%) LL: 2.55 ( 2.55- 3.75) out

Weekly summary info
Week 7 (2-5, 24.9, #685, D7 #91), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 3-7
Week 6 (2-4, 28.9, #681, D7 #87), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 4-6
Week 5 (1-4, 27.3, #681, D7 #87), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 4 (1-3, 24.4, #684, D7 #90), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (1-2, 21.3, #686, D7 #93), 2% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (0-2, 25.5, #682, D7 #92), 4% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (0-1, 31.5, #673, D7 #88), 11% (bubble if 5-5), 4% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 50.1, #638, D7 #73), 46% (bubble if 6-4), 27% home (maybe if 7-3), 10% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 53.0