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Rankings
#65 of 105 in Division 5
#15 of 27 in Region 19
Strength of schedule #72 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #79 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #488 Grove City Christian (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 1 (52%)
08/28 H #509 Bexley (0-0) D3 R11, pick: W by 9 (67%)
09/04 A #208 Centerburg (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 30 (5%)
09/11 H #569 Newark Catholic (0-0) D6 R23, pick: W by 19 (87%)
09/18 H #211 Columbus Academy (0-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 28 (4%)
09/25 A #663 Berne Union (0-0) D6 R23, pick: W by 33 (98%)
10/02 H #441 Grandview Heights (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 3 (42%)
10/09 H #226 Orrville (0-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 26 (4%)
10/16 H #580 Dayton Christian (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 21 (92%)
10/23 A #505 Waverly (0-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 4 (60%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
9.57 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R19 playoffs
Playoff chances now
46% (bubble if 5-5), 24% home (maybe if 7-3), 7% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 13.00 ( 0.45-31.40) 70% in, 41% home, 13% bye, proj. #10 (#1-out), bye 19%
Lose: 6.30 ( 0.00-27.00) 21% in, 7% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Grove City Christian (0-0) 10%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 23.80 (16.95-31.40) 100% home, 90% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#7), bye 90%
( 4%) 9W: 20.70 (13.70-28.30) 100% in, 99% home, 66% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#10), bye 66%
( 9%) 8W: 17.70 ( 9.95-25.70) 99% in, 88% home, 27% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 27%
(13%) 7W: 14.85 ( 7.35-22.90) 96% in, 56% home, 5% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Ridgewood (0-0) 8%
(16%) 6W: 12.10 ( 6.35-19.40) 76% in, 18% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), Ridgewood (0-0) 10%
(16%) 5W: 9.57 ( 4.05-17.15) 36% in, 3% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Portsmouth (0-0) 11%
(14%) 4W: 7.35 ( 2.55-13.25) 9% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Portsmouth (0-0) 12%
(12%) 3W: 5.20 ( 1.65-10.85) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 9%) 2W: 3.20 ( 0.80- 7.35) out, proj. out
( 5%) 1W: 1.45 ( 0.40- 4.55) out, proj. out
( 2%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Ridgewood (0-0) 7%
Portsmouth (0-0) 7%
Grove City Christian (0-0) 6%
Dawson-Bryant (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Wheelersburg (0-0) 16%
Ironton (0-0) 14%
Columbus Academy (0-0) 9%
Fort Frye (0-0) 9%
Africentric Early Coll. (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 147.0, #67, D5 #6), likely in, 94% home (maybe if 6-4), 76% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #1 at 9-1
Last season 83.3