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Rankings
#65 of 105 in Division 5
#15 of 27 in Region 19
Strength of schedule #72 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #79 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #488 Grove City Christian (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 1 (52%)
08/28 H #509 Bexley (0-0) D3 R11, pick: W by 9 (67%)
09/04 A #208 Centerburg (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 30 (5%)
09/11 H #569 Newark Catholic (0-0) D6 R23, pick: W by 19 (87%)
09/18 H #211 Columbus Academy (0-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 28 (4%)
09/25 A #663 Berne Union (0-0) D6 R23, pick: W by 33 (98%)
10/02 H #441 Grandview Heights (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 3 (42%)
10/09 H #226 Orrville (0-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 26 (4%)
10/16 H #580 Dayton Christian (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 21 (92%)
10/23 A #505 Waverly (0-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 4 (60%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
9.70 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R19 playoffs
Playoff chances now
47% (bubble if 5-5), 25% home (maybe if 7-3), 7% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 13.05 ( 0.80-32.50) 69% in, 41% home, 12% bye, proj. #10 (#1-out), bye 18%
Lose: 6.35 ( 0.00-28.90) 22% in, 7% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Grove City Christian (0-0) 10%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 24.05 (16.60-32.50) 100% home, 88% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#7), bye 88%
( 4%) 9W: 20.60 (13.90-28.90) 100% in, 99% home, 66% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#11), bye 66%
( 9%) 8W: 17.65 (11.50-26.65) 99% in, 89% home, 25% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 25%
(14%) 7W: 14.75 ( 6.80-22.95) 96% in, 56% home, 5% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), Ridgewood (0-0) 8%
(15%) 6W: 12.15 ( 6.05-20.75) 75% in, 19% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), Portsmouth (0-0) 9%
(15%) 5W: 9.70 ( 4.90-16.20) 39% in, 3% home, proj. out (#6-out), Ridgewood (0-0) 9%
(14%) 4W: 7.35 ( 2.65-13.55) 9% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Portsmouth (0-0) 11%
(12%) 3W: 5.25 ( 1.70-10.00) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 8%) 2W: 3.25 ( 0.80- 7.40) out, proj. out
( 5%) 1W: 1.45 ( 0.40- 4.50) out, proj. out
( 2%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Ridgewood (0-0) 7%
Portsmouth (0-0) 7%
Grove City Christian (0-0) 6%
Dawson-Bryant (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Wheelersburg (0-0) 15%
Ironton (0-0) 15%
Columbus Academy (0-0) 10%
Fort Frye (0-0) 9%
Africentric Early Coll. (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 146.9, #67, D5 #6), likely in, 95% home (maybe if 6-4), 77% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #1 at 9-1
Last season 83.3