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Rankings
#83 of 105 in Division 5
#20 of 26 in Region 20
Strength of schedule #92 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #81 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #416 New Richmond (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 23 (15%)
08/28 H #580 Dayton Christian (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 7 (64%)
09/04 H #538 North College Hill (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 1 (48%)
09/11 H #362 Goshen (0-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 25 (7%)
09/18 A #379 Batavia (0-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 26 (5%)
09/25 A #678 Norwood (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 31 (98%)
10/02 H #689 East Clinton (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 38 (99%)
10/09 A #639 Clermont Northeastern (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 19 (89%)
10/16 H #550 Blanchester (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 2 (55%)
10/23 A #345 Williamsburg (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 29 (3%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
8.06 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R20 playoffs
Playoff chances now
38% (bubble if 6-4), 18% home (maybe if 7-3), 6% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 12.49 ( 1.06-27.78) 73% in, 48% home, 20% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), bye 28%
Lose: 6.89 ( 0.00-25.76) 32% in, 13% home, 3% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 9%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 20.51 (15.51-27.78) 100% home, 91% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#8), bye 91%
( 3%) 9W: 17.88 (11.47-25.76) 100% in, 97% home, 63% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#11), bye 63%
( 7%) 8W: 15.01 ( 9.71-22.34) 99% in, 83% home, 27% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 27%
(11%) 7W: 12.49 ( 6.48-19.01) 93% in, 50% home, 5% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), Preble Shawnee (0-0) 7%
(16%) 6W: 10.27 ( 4.67-17.19) 69% in, 17% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), Preble Shawnee (0-0) 9%
(17%) 5W: 8.06 ( 3.31-15.23) 28% in, 2% home, proj. out (#5-out), Preble Shawnee (0-0) 10%
(17%) 4W: 5.89 ( 2.35-11.90) 4% in, proj. out (#9-out), Preble Shawnee (0-0) 10%
(14%) 3W: 4.03 ( 1.40- 9.94) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 9%) 2W: 2.31 ( 0.90- 7.06) out, proj. out
( 4%) 1W: 0.95 ( 0.45- 3.83) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Preble Shawnee (0-0) 7%
Williamsburg (0-0) 5%
Greeneview (0-0) 5%
Mariemont (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Brookville (0-0) 11%
Preble Shawnee (0-0) 10%
Graham Local (0-0) 9%
Carlisle (0-0) 8%
Miami East (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 79.1, #502, D5 #73), 46% (bubble if 6-4), 22% home (maybe if 7-3), 6% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 6-4
Last season 70.0