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Rankings
#93 of 106 in Division 5
#23 of 26 in Region 20
Strength of schedule #73 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #91 in D5 (-525 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 49-18 A #383 New Richmond (4-4) D4 R16, pick: L by 23 (15%), perf. rating 52
08/28 L 36-6 H #434 Dayton Christian (5-3) D5 R20, pick: W by 7 (64%), perf. rating 42
09/04 L 53-0 H #227 North College Hill (7-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 31 (4%), perf. rating 54
09/11 L 42-7 H #191 Goshen (8-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 44 (1%), perf. rating 70
09/18 L 24-20 A #509 Batavia (1-7) D3 R12, pick: L by 24 (7%), perf. rating 74
09/25 W 21-15 A #666 Norwood (1-7) D4 R16, pick: W by 22 (92%), perf. rating 47
10/02 W 40-6 H #692 East Clinton (0-8) D5 R20, pick: W by 34 (99%), perf. rating 63
10/09 L 13-9 A #567 Clermont Northeastern (3-5) D5 R20, pick: L by 10 (26%), perf. rating 64
10/16 H #521 Blanchester (4-4) D5 R20, pick: L by 15 (16%)
10/23 A #222 Williamsburg (7-1) D5 R20, pick: L by 42 (1%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
1.40 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R20 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 3.57 ( 3.57- 7.81) out, proj. out
Lose: 1.40 ( 1.40- 6.15) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
(16%) 3W: 3.57 ( 3.57- 6.15) out, proj. out
(83%) 2W: 1.40 ( 1.40- 2.41) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(16%) WL: 3.57 ( 3.57- 4.68) out
(83%) LL: 1.40 ( 1.40- 2.41) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (2-5, 58.8, #600, D5 #94), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 6 (1-5, 57.1, #611, D5 #96), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 2-8
Week 5 (0-5, 60.0, #597, D5 #93), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 2-8
Week 4 (0-4, 54.6, #614, D5 #95), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 3 (0-3, 49.3, #635, D5 #96), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (0-2, 48.5, #638, D5 #96), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (0-1, 65.5, #581, D5 #86), 23% (bubble if 6-4), 7% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 70.7, #551, D5 #83), 38% (bubble if 6-4), 19% home (maybe if 7-3), 6% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 70.0