Region 16 home page
Region 16 projections
Region 16 playoff probabilities
Region 16 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 16 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#89 of 105 in Division 4
#20 of 26 in Region 16
Strength of schedule #95 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #104 in D4 (-882 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 53-34 H #379 New Richmond (2-2) D4 R16, pick: L by 14 (26%), perf. rating 69
08/29 L 28-25 A #518 Dayton Christian (3-1) D6 R24, pick: W by 19 (83%), perf. rating 75
09/05 L 32-20 A #421 North College Hill (4-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 20 (13%), perf. rating 77
09/12 L 53-19 A #306 Goshen (3-1) D3 R12, pick: L by 33 (2%), perf. rating 60
09/19 H #332 Batavia (2-2) D3 R12, pick: L by 26 (5%)
09/26 H #655 Norwood (0-4) D5 R20, pick: W by 28 (96%)
10/03 A #696 East Clinton (0-4) D6 R24, pick: W by 38 (99%)
10/10 H #634 Clermont Northeastern (1-3) D5 R20, pick: W by 21 (92%)
10/17 A #567 Blanchester (1-3) D6 R24, pick: W by 2 (55%)
10/24 H #242 Williamsburg (4-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 33 (1%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
4.70 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R16 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 6.85 ( 3.05-12.50) 3% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Lose: 4.30 ( 0.00-10.35) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 5%) 5W: 7.75 ( 5.80-10.35) 6% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(47%) 4W: 4.70 ( 3.95- 8.90) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(38%) 3W: 3.15 ( 2.00- 7.00) out, proj. out
( 9%) 2W: 2.00 ( 0.85- 4.95) out, proj. out
( 1%) 1W: 0.75 ( 0.40- 1.70) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) LWWWWW: 9.10 ( 8.20-10.35) 13% in, proj. out (#10-out), Roger Bacon (2-2) 23%
( 3%) WWWWWL: 7.25 ( 5.80- 9.60) 2% in, proj. out (#11-out), Wyoming (3-1) 33%
(45%) LWWWWL: 4.70 ( 3.95- 6.60) out
( 1%) LLWWWL: 3.90 ( 3.50- 4.90) out
( 4%) LWWLWL: 3.15 ( 2.00- 4.45) out
(32%) LWWWLL: 3.10 ( 2.40- 5.25) out
( 2%) LLWWLL: 2.30 ( 1.60- 3.20) out
( 6%) LWWLLL: 1.55 ( 0.85- 2.95) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (0-4, 73.3, #540, D4 #89), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 4-6
Week 3 (0-3, 69.5, #569, D4 #95), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (0-2, 66.6, #582, D4 #95), 3% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (0-1, 74.0, #541, D4 #90), 21% (bubble if 6-4), 5% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 78.5, #523, D4 #89), 29% (bubble if 8-2), 11% home (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 6-4
Last season 75.0