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Rankings
#24 of 106 in Division 5
#3 of 26 in Region 20
Strength of schedule #77 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #18 in D5 (+168 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 L 42-0 H #32 Ironton (6-1) D5 R19, pick: L by 37 (4%), perf. rating 97
08/28 W 34-14 A #399 New Richmond (3-4) D4 R16, pick: L by 1 (48%), perf. rating 127
09/04 W 27-14 H #385 Mariemont (3-4) D5 R20, pick: W by 15 (80%), perf. rating 114
09/11 W 28-12 A #251 Portsmouth West (6-1) D6 R24, pick: L by 11 (26%), perf. rating 141
09/18 W 49-14 A #554 Hillsboro (0-7) D3 R12, pick: W by 37 (99%), perf. rating 124
09/25 W 34-0 A #570 Clermont Northeastern (2-5) D5 R20, pick: W by 38 (99%), perf. rating 119
10/02 W 21-14 H #395 Roger Bacon (1-6) D4 R16, pick: W by 27 (96%), perf. rating 104
10/09 A #517 Blanchester (4-3) D5 R20, pick: W by 31 (98%)
10/16 H #692 East Clinton (0-7) D5 R20, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/23 H #600 Bethel-Tate (2-5) D5 R20, pick: W by 42 (99%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
19.20 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#2 seed in R20 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and home, likely bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 19.20 (15.50-22.40) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 99%
Lose: 16.58 (14.60-18.95) 100% home, 78% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#7), bye 78%
Based on eventual number of wins
(96%) 9W: 19.20 (16.75-22.40) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 99%
( 4%) 8W: 17.25 (14.60-20.05) 100% home, 87% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 87%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(96%) WWW: 19.20 (16.75-22.40) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 99%
( 2%) LWW: 16.60 (14.60-18.95) 100% home, 78% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#7), bye 78%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (6-1, 117.6, #235, D5 #24), appears locked in and home, likely bye, proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 6 (5-1, 122.8, #198, D5 #20), appears locked in and home, likely bye, proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 5 (4-1, 122.4, #201, D5 #19), appears locked in and home, 98% bye, proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 4 (3-1, 120.6, #212, D5 #22), appears locked in and likely home, 94% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 3 (2-1, 107.6, #307, D5 #34), 92% (bubble if 6-4), 70% home (maybe if 7-3), 21% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 8-2
Week 2 (1-1, 107.8, #306, D5 #35), 84% (bubble if 6-4), 63% home (maybe if 7-3), 24% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 1 (0-1, 99.4, #371, D5 #48), 71% (bubble if 5-5), 50% home (maybe if 6-4), 22% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 102.3, #345, D5 #45), 74% (bubble if 5-5), 56% home (maybe if 6-4), 28% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #4 at 7-3
Last season 106.8