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Rankings
#45 of 105 in Division 5
#7 of 26 in Region 20
Strength of schedule #73 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #105 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 H #44 Ironton (0-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 37 (4%)
08/28 A #416 New Richmond (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 7 (64%)
09/04 H #393 Mariemont (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 7 (65%)
09/11 A #415 Portsmouth West (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 7 (66%)
09/18 A #460 Hillsboro (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 14 (81%)
09/25 A #639 Clermont Northeastern (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 37 (99%)
10/02 H #312 Roger Bacon (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 1 (47%)
10/09 A #550 Blanchester (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 26 (96%)
10/16 H #690 East Clinton (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/23 H #551 Bethel-Tate (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 29 (97%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
13.75 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#4 seed in R20 playoffs
Playoff chances now
73% (bubble if 5-5), 54% home (maybe if 6-4), 27% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 19.45 ( 3.45-29.35) 96% in, 92% home, 71% bye, proj. #3 (#1-out), bye 74%
Lose: 12.90 ( 0.00-27.05) 73% in, 53% home, 25% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), bye 34%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 10W: 22.05 (14.55-29.35) 100% home, 97% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 97%
(17%) 9W: 18.80 (12.40-28.85) 100% in, 99% home, 79% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#11), bye 79%
(19%) 8W: 16.25 ( 9.95-25.45) 99% in, 94% home, 46% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 46%
(17%) 7W: 13.75 ( 7.85-21.65) 98% in, 72% home, 14% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 14%
(14%) 6W: 11.25 ( 5.95-17.90) 83% in, 32% home, 2% bye, proj. #10 (#2-out), Mariemont (0-0) 7%
(12%) 5W: 9.00 ( 3.20-14.45) 48% in, 5% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Preble Shawnee (0-0) 8%
( 9%) 4W: 6.80 ( 2.85-11.70) 9% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Preble Shawnee (0-0) 12%
( 6%) 3W: 4.65 ( 1.90-10.00) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
( 3%) 2W: 2.70 ( 0.95- 6.45) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 1%) 1W: 0.90 ( 0.45- 3.65) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Arcanum (0-0) 4%
Greeneview (0-0) 4%
Purcell Marian (0-0) 4%
Summit Country Day (0-0) 4%
Most likely second round opponents
Preble Shawnee (0-0) 10%
Brookville (0-0) 10%
Carlisle (0-0) 8%
Graham Local (0-0) 8%
Greeneview (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 99.8, #371, D5 #50), 62% (bubble if 5-5), 42% home (maybe if 6-4), 20% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #9 at 6-4
Last season 106.8