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Rankings
#103 of 105 in Division 5
#25 of 26 in Region 20
Strength of schedule #103 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #88 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #644 Miami Valley Christian (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 25 (13%)
08/28 A #503 Cedarville (0-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 42 (2%)
09/04 A #638 Fairfield Christian (0-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 28 (6%)
09/11 H #548 McClain (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 37 (1%)
09/17 A #673 Gamble Montessori (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 17 (14%)
09/25 H #550 Blanchester (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 37 (1%)
10/02 A #551 Bethel-Tate (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 38 (1%)
10/09 A #697 Fayetteville (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 13 (80%)
10/16 A #345 Williamsburg (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/23 H #639 Clermont Northeastern (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 26 (4%)
Regular season projections
1-9 record
0.76 Harbin points (divisor 98)
out of R20 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 3.65 ( 0.40-18.43) 6% in, 2% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Preble Shawnee (0-0) 10%
Lose: 0.86 ( 0.00-14.98) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out), Preble Shawnee (0-0) 9%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 7W: 9.94 ( 6.21-13.87) 64% in, 14% home, proj. #12 (#5-out)
( 1%) 6W: 8.26 ( 4.54-13.21) 29% in, 3% home, proj. out (#6-out)
( 3%) 5W: 6.64 ( 2.82-12.30) 6% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out)
( 6%) 4W: 4.92 ( 2.01-10.48) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(12%) 3W: 3.44 ( 1.20- 9.26) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(22%) 2W: 2.02 ( 0.75- 6.36) out, proj. out
(33%) 1W: 0.76 ( 0.35- 4.58) out, proj. out
(22%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Preble Shawnee (0-0) 9%
Williamsburg (0-0) 7%
Purcell Marian (0-0) 7%
Mariemont (0-0) 6%
Miami East (0-0) 6%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 65.5, #580, D5 #89), 27% (bubble if 6-4), 12% home (maybe if 8-2), 3% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 15.5