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Rankings
#104 of 105 in Division 5
#25 of 26 in Region 20
Strength of schedule #103 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #102 in D5 (-965 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 40-0 H #591 Miami Valley Christian (2-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 25 (13%), perf. rating 2
08/28 L 55-12 A #536 Cedarville (1-1) D7 R28, pick: L by 43 (2%), perf. rating 13
09/04 A #682 Fairfield Christian (0-2) D7 R27, pick: L by 14 (22%)
09/11 H #413 McClain (2-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 48 (1%)
09/17 A #631 Gamble Montessori (2-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 32 (2%)
09/25 H #435 Blanchester (1-1) D5 R20, pick: L by 47 (1%)
10/02 A #638 Bethel-Tate (0-2) D5 R20, pick: L by 30 (3%)
10/09 A #686 Fayetteville (1-1) D6 R24, pick: L by 13 (20%)
10/16 A #306 Williamsburg (1-1) D5 R20, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/23 H #653 Clermont Northeastern (0-2) D5 R20, pick: L by 24 (6%)
Regular season projections
0-10 record
0.00 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R20 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 0.84 ( 0.35- 2.70) out, proj. out
Lose: 0.00 ( 0.00- 3.11) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 4%) 3W: 1.46 ( 1.28- 1.99) out, proj. out
(11%) 2W: 0.94 ( 0.79- 1.42) out, proj. out
(28%) 1W: 0.47 ( 0.35- 0.83) out, proj. out
(54%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) LLLLLWLW: 1.00 ( 0.93- 1.13) out
( 4%) WLLLLWLL: 0.89 ( 0.79- 1.01) out
( 4%) LLLLLLLW: 0.49 ( 0.45- 0.62) out
(12%) LLLLLWLL: 0.47 ( 0.44- 0.64) out
( 9%) WLLLLLLL: 0.39 ( 0.35- 0.58) out
(54%) LLLLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 2 (0-2, 13.9, #694, D5 #104), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 1 (0-1, 11.7, #692, D5 #103), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 0 (0-0, 19.3, #689, D5 #103), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Last season 15.5