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Rankings
#104 of 107 in Division 6
#26 of 27 in Region 24
Strength of schedule #100 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #105 in D6 (-968 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 50-6 A #580 Huntington (2-2) D6 R24, pick: L by 12 (29%), perf. rating 5
08/29 L 40-0 H #506 Cedarville (2-2) D7 R28, pick: L by 38 (3%), perf. rating 17
09/05 L 41-13 H #647 Fairfield Christian (2-2) D7 R27, pick: L by 22 (11%), perf. rating 5
09/12 L 54-0 A #571 McClain (3-1) D4 R16, pick: L by 34 (2%), perf. rating 7
09/19 H #668 Gamble Montessori (2-2) D4 R16, pick: L by 18 (13%)
09/26 A #567 Blanchester (1-3) D6 R24, pick: L by 38 (1%)
10/03 H #540 Bethel-Tate (0-4) D4 R16, pick: L by 38 (1%)
10/10 H #705 Fayetteville (0-4) D7 R28, pick: W by 18 (88%)
10/17 H #242 Williamsburg (4-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/24 A #634 Clermont Northeastern (1-3) D5 R20, pick: L by 31 (2%)
Regular season projections
1-9 record
0.35 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R24 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 1-9 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 1.55 ( 1.20- 8.80) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
Lose: 0.35 ( 0.00- 8.50) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 3W: 2.75 ( 2.30- 6.70) 6% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(16%) 2W: 1.55 ( 0.85- 5.60) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(70%) 1W: 0.35 ( 0.35- 4.80) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(13%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(11%) WLLWLL: 1.55 ( 1.55- 3.20) out
( 2%) LLLWLW: 1.50 ( 1.50- 2.85) out
(68%) LLLWLL: 0.35 ( 0.35- 1.70) out
(13%) LLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (0-4, 18.2, #696, D6 #104), 1% (must have at least 1-9 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 3 (0-3, 23.7, #689, D6 #102), 1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 2 (0-2, 25.8, #690, D6 #104), 2% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Week 1 (0-1, 25.6, #688, D6 #104), 3% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 0 (0-0, 40.6, #668, D6 #97), 20% (bubble if 5-5), 8% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 32.7