Region 20 home page
Region 20 projections
Region 20 playoff probabilities
Region 20 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 20 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#78 of 106 in Division 5
#18 of 26 in Region 20
Strength of schedule #78 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #64 in D5 (-250 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 35-28 H #462 Greeneview (4-3) D5 R20, pick: L by 26 (12%), perf. rating 73
08/28 W 41-20 A #618 Cincinnati Country Day (3-4) D7 R28, pick: L by 9 (33%), perf. rating 88
09/04 W 36-26 A #587 Madison (Middletown) (0-7) D5 R20, pick: W by 13 (77%), perf. rating 79
09/11 L 40-18 H #333 Clinton-Massie (2-5) D4 R16, pick: L by 26 (6%), perf. rating 70
09/18 L 47-14 H #169 Goshen (7-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 26 (5%), perf. rating 76
09/25 W 41-0 A #692 East Clinton (0-7) D5 R20, pick: W by 42 (99%), perf. rating 75
10/02 W 46-36 H #570 Clermont Northeastern (2-5) D5 R20, pick: W by 10 (74%), perf. rating 80
10/09 H #235 Williamsburg (6-1) D5 R20, pick: L by 31 (2%)
10/16 A #600 Bethel-Tate (2-5) D5 R20, pick: W by 16 (85%)
10/23 A #185 Talawanda (6-1) D2 R8, pick: L by 37 (1%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
6.95 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R20 playoffs
Playoff chances now
3% (likely needs 6-4), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 11.15 ( 9.25-15.95) 98% in, 17% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-out), Arcanum (6-1) 20%
Lose: 6.95 ( 4.20-12.35) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 6W: 11.25 ( 9.80-12.35) 100% in, 18% home, proj. #9 (#7-#12), Arcanum (6-1) 21%
(82%) 5W: 6.95 ( 6.05-10.75) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
(15%) 4W: 5.55 ( 4.20- 6.55) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) WWL: 11.15 (10.25-12.15) 100% in, 17% home, proj. #9 (#7-#12), Arcanum (6-1) 20%
(82%) LWL: 6.95 ( 6.05- 8.40) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Summit Country Day (4-2) 100%
(15%) LLL: 5.55 ( 4.20- 6.55) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (4-3, 77.2, #517, D5 #78), 3% (likely needs 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 5-5
Week 6 (3-3, 76.8, #518, D5 #77), 2% (likely needs 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 5-5
Week 5 (2-3, 77.1, #514, D5 #78), 2% (likely needs 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 5-5
Week 4 (2-2, 85.4, #463, D5 #65), 10% (likely needs 6-4), 4% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 5-5
Week 3 (2-1, 88.9, #439, D5 #56), 28% (likely needs 6-4), 10% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 2 (1-1, 88.9, #435, D5 #60), 40% (bubble if 5-5), 16% home (maybe if 6-4), 3% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 5-5
Week 1 (0-1, 76.6, #514, D5 #77), 24% (bubble if 5-5), 9% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 70.9, #550, D5 #82), 21% (bubble if 5-5), 10% home (maybe if 6-4), 3% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 70.7