Region 24 home page
Region 24 projections
Region 24 playoff probabilities
Region 24 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 24 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#74 of 107 in Division 6
#12 of 27 in Region 24
Strength of schedule #41 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #75 in D6 (-410 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 40-6 A #396 Greeneview (2-2) D5 R20, pick: L by 32 (7%), perf. rating 47
08/29 W 56-49 H #510 Cincinnati Country Day (3-1) D7 R28, pick: L by 5 (40%), perf. rating 87
09/05 L 32-15 H #514 Madison (Middletown) (1-3) D5 R20, pick: L by 3 (43%), perf. rating 51
09/12 L 49-7 A #172 Clinton-Massie (3-1) D4 R16, pick: L by 43 (1%), perf. rating 67
09/19 A #306 Goshen (3-1) D3 R12, pick: L by 33 (2%)
09/26 H #696 East Clinton (0-4) D6 R24, pick: W by 38 (99%)
10/02 A #634 Clermont Northeastern (1-3) D5 R20, pick: W by 13 (80%)
10/10 A #242 Williamsburg (4-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 37 (1%)
10/17 H #540 Bethel-Tate (0-4) D4 R16, pick: L by 2 (45%)
10/24 H #171 Talawanda (4-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 40 (1%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
5.90 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#12 seed in R24 playoffs
Playoff chances now
62% (bubble if 3-7), 4% home (likely needs 5-5)
Depending on the next game
Win: 10.35 ( 6.45-15.15) 99% in, 57% home, 3% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Anna (3-1) 21%
Lose: 6.35 ( 2.60-17.05) 61% in, 3% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#2-out), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (3-1) 15%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 5W: 11.80 ( 9.00-15.60) 100% in, 84% home, 7% bye, proj. #7 (#2-#11), Anna (3-1) 22%
(36%) 4W: 7.70 ( 5.65-12.95) 95% in, 6% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), Dayton Christian (3-1) 15%
(45%) 3W: 5.90 ( 4.35-10.65) 53% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#7-out), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (3-1) 22%
(16%) 2W: 4.35 ( 2.60- 8.40) 4% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) WWWLWL: 10.85 ( 9.00-13.30) 100% in, 71% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#11), Anna (3-1) 25%
(35%) LWWLWL: 7.70 ( 5.65- 9.20) 94% in, 3% home, proj. #11 (#6-out), Dayton Christian (3-1) 14%
(40%) LWWLLL: 5.90 ( 4.50- 7.40) 54% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (3-1) 22%
( 5%) LWLLWL: 5.80 ( 4.35- 7.10) 49% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (3-1) 23%
(15%) LWLLLL: 4.35 ( 2.60- 5.75) 4% in, proj. out (#11-out), St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (3-1) 28%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (1-3, 68.9, #567, D6 #74), 62% (bubble if 3-7), 4% home (likely needs 5-5), proj. #12 at 3-7
Week 3 (1-2, 70.2, #561, D6 #71), 74% (bubble if 3-7), 13% home (likely needs 5-5), proj. #10 at 4-6
Week 2 (1-1, 80.0, #500, D6 #61), 84% (bubble if 3-7), 35% home (maybe if 5-5), 6% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #9 at 4-6
Week 1 (0-1, 76.0, #534, D6 #67), 47% (bubble if 3-7), 23% home (maybe if 5-5), 6% bye (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 78.2, #526, D6 #63), 50% (bubble if 4-6), 29% home (maybe if 5-5), 10% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #10 at 4-6
Last season 73.9