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Rankings
#78 of 106 in Division 5
#18 of 26 in Region 20
Strength of schedule #78 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #63 in D5 (-268 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 35-28 H #465 Greeneview (5-3) D5 R20, pick: L by 26 (12%), perf. rating 73
08/28 W 41-20 A #602 Cincinnati Country Day (4-4) D7 R28, pick: L by 9 (33%), perf. rating 93
09/04 W 36-26 A #590 Madison (Middletown) (0-8) D5 R20, pick: W by 13 (77%), perf. rating 78
09/11 L 40-18 H #327 Clinton-Massie (2-6) D4 R16, pick: L by 26 (6%), perf. rating 70
09/18 L 47-14 H #191 Goshen (8-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 26 (5%), perf. rating 73
09/25 W 41-0 A #692 East Clinton (0-8) D5 R20, pick: W by 42 (99%), perf. rating 77
10/02 W 46-36 H #567 Clermont Northeastern (3-5) D5 R20, pick: W by 10 (74%), perf. rating 81
10/09 L 69-18 H #222 Williamsburg (7-1) D5 R20, pick: L by 31 (2%), perf. rating 55
10/16 A #603 Bethel-Tate (2-6) D5 R20, pick: W by 15 (84%)
10/23 A #166 Talawanda (6-2) D2 R8, pick: L by 38 (1%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
7.10 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R20 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 7.10 ( 6.59-12.35) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out)
Lose: 5.59 ( 5.18-10.43) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
(83%) 5W: 7.10 ( 6.59-10.43) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
(16%) 4W: 5.59 ( 5.18- 7.05) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(83%) WL: 7.10 ( 6.59- 8.46) out
(16%) LL: 5.59 ( 5.18- 7.05) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (4-3, 77.2, #516, D5 #78), 3% (likely needs 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 5-5
Week 6 (3-3, 76.8, #518, D5 #77), 2% (likely needs 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 5-5
Week 5 (2-3, 77.1, #514, D5 #78), 2% (likely needs 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 5-5
Week 4 (2-2, 85.4, #463, D5 #65), 10% (likely needs 6-4), 4% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 5-5
Week 3 (2-1, 88.9, #439, D5 #56), 28% (likely needs 6-4), 10% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 2 (1-1, 88.9, #435, D5 #60), 40% (bubble if 5-5), 16% home (maybe if 6-4), 3% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 5-5
Week 1 (0-1, 76.6, #514, D5 #77), 24% (bubble if 5-5), 9% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 70.9, #550, D5 #82), 21% (bubble if 5-5), 10% home (maybe if 6-4), 3% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 70.7