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Rankings
#82 of 105 in Division 5
#19 of 26 in Region 20
Strength of schedule #62 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #83 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #357 Greeneview (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 26 (12%)
08/28 A #453 Cincinnati Country Day (0-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 18 (18%)
09/04 A #529 Madison (Middletown) (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 6 (37%)
09/11 H #123 Clinton-Massie (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 42 (1%)
09/18 H #362 Goshen (0-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 25 (6%)
09/25 A #689 East Clinton (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 37 (99%)
10/02 H #639 Clermont Northeastern (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 22 (92%)
10/09 H #345 Williamsburg (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 26 (4%)
10/16 A #551 Bethel-Tate (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 2 (44%)
10/23 A #196 Talawanda (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 38 (1%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
4.70 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R20 playoffs
Playoff chances now
21% (bubble if 5-5), 10% home (maybe if 6-4), 3% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 10.38 ( 1.25-31.05) 59% in, 37% home, 16% bye, proj. #11 (#1-out), bye 28%
Lose: 4.57 ( 0.00-29.30) 16% in, 6% home, 2% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 10%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 9W: 21.85 (16.60-29.30) 100% home, 95% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#7), bye 95%
( 2%) 8W: 18.00 (10.95-26.50) 100% in, 98% home, 66% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#11), bye 66%
( 4%) 7W: 14.90 ( 7.85-22.90) 99% in, 84% home, 27% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 28%
( 7%) 6W: 11.90 ( 6.45-18.35) 89% in, 40% home, 3% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), Miami East (0-0) 7%
(12%) 5W: 9.15 ( 4.90-16.75) 50% in, 8% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#3-out), Preble Shawnee (0-0) 10%
(18%) 4W: 6.75 ( 2.70-13.35) 11% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Preble Shawnee (0-0) 10%
(22%) 3W: 4.70 ( 1.45-10.70) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(21%) 2W: 2.65 ( 0.80- 7.80) out, proj. out
(11%) 1W: 0.85 ( 0.45- 4.90) out, proj. out
( 2%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Preble Shawnee (0-0) 7%
Miami East (0-0) 6%
Purcell Marian (0-0) 5%
Williamsburg (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Brookville (0-0) 12%
Carlisle (0-0) 10%
Preble Shawnee (0-0) 9%
Graham Local (0-0) 8%
Miami East (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 113.4, #257, D5 #27), 44% (bubble if 5-5), 28% home (maybe if 6-4), 13% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 70.7