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Rankings
#47 of 104 in Division 2
#13 of 27 in Region 7
Strength of schedule #81 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #56 in D2 (-230 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 27-16 H #67 Villa Angela-St Joseph (2-1) D3 R9, pick: L by 36 (5%), perf. rating 129
08/29 L 35-20 A #48 Canfield (4-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 15 (23%), perf. rating 131
09/05 L 6-0 A #110 Bishop Hartley (3-1) D3 R11, pick: L by 22 (11%), perf. rating 133
09/11 W 48-6 A #613 South (Columbus) (1-3) D3 R11, pick: W by 42 (99%), perf. rating 122
09/19 A #363 Marion-Franklin (1-3) D4 R15, pick: W by 21 (91%)
09/26 H #643 West (0-4) D3 R11, pick: W by 48 (99%)
10/03 A #536 Eastmoor Academy (2-2) D3 R11, pick: W by 36 (99%)
10/10 H #482 Briggs (2-2) D2 R7, pick: W by 35 (99%)
10/17 H #158 Africentric Early Coll. (3-1) D5 R19, pick: L by 4 (40%)
10/23 H #497 Independence (Cbus) (2-2) D3 R11, pick: W by 35 (99%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
15.17 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#10 seed in R7 playoffs
Playoff chances now
78% (bubble if 6-4), 33% home (likely needs 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 15.22 ( 4.98-20.01) 83% in, 36% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#4-out), Northland (2-2) 12%
Lose: 11.84 ( 4.48-17.54) 26% in, 4% home, proj. out (#6-out), Teays Valley (3-1) 10%
Based on eventual number of wins
(38%) 7W: 19.81 (19.46-20.01) 100% in, 81% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#12), Teays Valley (3-1) 12%
(50%) 6W: 15.17 (14.92-19.36) 77% in, 3% home, proj. #11 (#6-out), Northland (2-2) 12%
(10%) 5W: 11.84 (10.38-15.83) 9% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
( 1%) 4W: 8.51 ( 7.15-12.35) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(38%) WWWWWW: 19.81 (19.46-20.01) 100% in, 81% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#12), Teays Valley (3-1) 12%
( 2%) LWWWWW: 16.53 (15.98-17.54) 95% in, 20% home, proj. #10 (#6-out), Worthington Kilbourne (3-1) 11%
(47%) WWWWLW: 15.17 (14.92-16.48) 76% in, 2% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Northland (2-2) 12%
( 6%) LWWWLW: 11.84 (11.79-13.31) 6% in, proj. out (#11-out), Ashland (4-0) 31%
( 1%) WWWLLW: 11.08 (10.38-13.36) 2% in, proj. out (#11-out), Canal Winchester (4-0) 50%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (1-3, 124.7, #189, D2 #47), 78% (bubble if 6-4), 33% home (likely needs 7-3), proj. #10 at 6-4
Week 3 (0-3, 121.3, #207, D2 #51), 84% (bubble if 5-5), 32% home (likely needs 7-3), proj. #9 at 6-4
Week 2 (0-2, 115.3, #254, D2 #58), 71% (bubble if 5-5), 31% home (maybe if 6-4), 4% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #8 at 6-4
Week 1 (0-1, 118.3, #225, D2 #50), 87% (bubble if 4-6), 69% home (maybe if 5-5), 34% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #5 at 6-4
Week 0 (0-0, 109.1, #284, D2 #63), 69% (bubble if 4-6), 46% home (maybe if 6-4), 18% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #6 at 6-4
Last season 117.7