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Rankings
#71 of 100 in Division 2
#20 of 25 in Region 7
Strength of schedule #75 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #72 in D2 (-491 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 14-0 A #213 East (Columbus) (7-1) D3 R11, pick: W by 18 (80%), perf. rating 102
08/28 L 41-6 A #45 DeSales (Columbus) (6-2) D2 R7, pick: L by 38 (3%), perf. rating 103
09/04 L 34-0 A #74 Hilliard Darby (4-4) D1 R2, pick: L by 12 (25%), perf. rating 95
09/11 L 6-0 A #409 South (Columbus) (8-0) D3 R11, pick: W by 25 (93%), perf. rating 86
09/17 L 26-12 A #321 Marion-Franklin (4-4) D4 R15, pick: L by 1 (48%), perf. rating 88
09/24 L 30-12 A #309 West (8-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 6 (35%), perf. rating 84
10/02 W 28-7 H #615 Eastmoor Academy (0-8) D3 R11, pick: W by 33 (98%), perf. rating 84
10/09 W 48-14 A #541 Briggs (3-5) D2 R8, pick: W by 17 (87%), perf. rating 125
10/16 A #458 Africentric Early Coll. (2-6) D5 R19, pick: W by 10 (74%)
10/23 A #542 Independence (Cbus) (1-7) D2 R7, pick: W by 23 (93%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
6.80 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R7 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 6.80 ( 5.00- 7.90) out, proj. out
Lose: 4.60 ( 2.90- 5.60) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
(70%) 4W: 6.80 ( 6.70- 7.90) out, proj. out
(27%) 3W: 4.60 ( 4.60- 6.30) out, proj. out
( 3%) 2W: 2.90 ( 2.90- 3.95) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(70%) WW: 6.80 ( 6.70- 7.90) out
( 4%) WL: 5.10 ( 5.00- 6.30) out
(23%) LW: 4.60 ( 4.60- 5.60) out
( 3%) LL: 2.90 ( 2.90- 3.95) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (1-6, 95.8, #391, D2 #73), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 4-6
Week 6 (0-6, 96.5, #387, D2 #73), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 4-6
Week 5 (0-5, 100.2, #363, D2 #71), 4% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 4-6
Week 4 (0-4, 101.4, #351, D2 #70), 27% (likely needs 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 5-5
Week 3 (0-3, 108.7, #299, D2 #60), 81% (bubble if 5-5), 46% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. #9 at 6-4
Week 2 (0-2, 115.7, #246, D2 #55), 82% (bubble if 5-5), 41% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. #8 at 7-3
Week 1 (0-1, 115.7, #243, D2 #55), 70% (bubble if 5-5), 26% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. #11 at 6-4
Week 0 (0-0, 128.7, #157, D2 #45), 89% (bubble if 5-5), 68% home (maybe if 7-3), 27% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 8-2
Last season 133.1