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Rankings
#75 of 80 in Division 1
#20 of 20 in Region 3
Strength of schedule #79 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #44 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #184 Newark (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 26 (12%)
08/28 H #262 Bishop Ready (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 13 (26%)
09/04 A #186 Sheridan (0-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 26 (7%)
09/11 H #205 Buckeye Valley (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 20 (12%)
09/18 A #532 Northridge (0-0) D6 R23, pick: W by 21 (91%)
09/25 H #574 Zanesville (0-0) D3 R11, pick: W by 28 (96%)
10/02 A #220 Watkins Memorial (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 22 (8%)
10/09 H #85 Licking Valley (0-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 33 (1%)
10/16 H #287 Mount Vernon (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 10 (26%)
10/23 A #158 Granville (0-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 28 (3%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
4.95 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R3 playoffs
Playoff chances now
21% (bubble if 5-5), 7% home (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 12.90 ( 0.65-33.75) 64% in, 30% home, 7% bye, proj. #11 (#1-out), bye 11%
Lose: 4.55 ( 0.00-32.15) 16% in, 4% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 9%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 9W: 25.35 (17.90-33.75) 100% home, 49% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#8), bye 49%
( 2%) 8W: 21.40 (15.20-29.25) 100% in, 89% home, 16% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#12), bye 16%
( 4%) 7W: 17.50 (10.65-25.70) 97% in, 49% home, 2% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 9%
( 7%) 6W: 14.10 ( 7.60-23.25) 84% in, 15% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#4-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 9%
(11%) 5W: 10.80 ( 5.20-17.40) 48% in, 2% home, proj. out (#6-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 11%
(15%) 4W: 7.80 ( 3.00-14.70) 12% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Pickerington North (0-0) 12%
(20%) 3W: 4.95 ( 1.45-11.65) 2% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
(21%) 2W: 2.65 ( 0.90-10.80) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(13%) 1W: 0.90 ( 0.40- 5.45) out, proj. out
( 4%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Groveport Madison (0-0) 9%
Worthington Kilbourne (0-0) 7%
Westerville South (0-0) 7%
Olentangy Berlin (0-0) 7%
Olentangy (0-0) 7%
Most likely second round opponents
Olentangy Orange (0-0) 15%
Pickerington North (0-0) 12%
Pickerington Central (0-0) 11%
Upper Arlington (0-0) 11%
Olentangy Liberty (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 97.5, #385, D1 #75), 21% (bubble if 5-5), 7% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 93.4