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Rankings
#79 of 104 in Division 2
#22 of 27 in Region 7
Strength of schedule #73 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #101 in D2 (-900 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 56-21 H #278 Newark (2-2) D1 R3, pick: L by 8 (36%), perf. rating 58
08/29 L 30-0 A #236 Bishop Ready (1-3) D4 R15, pick: L by 24 (11%), perf. rating 75
09/05 L 21-19 H #298 Sheridan (2-2) D3 R11, pick: L by 12 (25%), perf. rating 104
09/12 L 21-13 H #173 Buckeye Valley (4-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 34 (2%), perf. rating 113
09/19 H #673 Lakewood (Hebron) (0-4) D4 R15, pick: W by 42 (99%)
09/26 A #99 Licking Valley (4-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 36 (1%)
10/03 H #165 Granville (3-1) D3 R11, pick: L by 27 (4%)
10/10 A #297 Mount Vernon (2-2) D2 R7, pick: L by 16 (15%)
10/17 H #233 Watkins Memorial (1-3) D2 R7, pick: L by 20 (9%)
10/24 A #569 Zanesville (0-4) D3 R11, pick: W by 24 (94%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
1.05 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R7 playoffs
Playoff chances now
unlikely to contend for playoffs
Depending on the next game
Win: 1.05 ( 0.50-15.60) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
Lose: 0.55 ( 0.00- 5.75) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 6%) 4W: 6.60 ( 5.65-11.00) out, proj. out
(24%) 3W: 3.35 ( 2.75- 7.05) out, proj. out
(62%) 2W: 1.05 ( 1.05- 5.75) out, proj. out
( 8%) 1W: 0.50 ( 0.50- 1.35) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) WLWWLW: 7.65 ( 6.55- 9.80) out
( 3%) WLLWWW: 6.15 ( 5.65- 7.60) out
( 2%) WLWLLW: 4.75 ( 3.70- 6.90) out
(12%) WLLWLW: 3.35 ( 3.35- 5.50) out
( 9%) WLLLWW: 3.25 ( 2.75- 5.55) out
(60%) WLLLLW: 1.05 ( 1.05- 2.80) out
( 7%) WLLLLL: 0.50 ( 0.50- 1.35) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (0-4, 95.7, #397, D2 #79), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 2-8
Week 3 (0-3, 86.5, #452, D2 #86), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 2 (0-2, 85.0, #465, D2 #87), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 1 (0-1, 96.5, #388, D2 #79), 13% (bubble if 5-5), 4% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 110.0, #276, D2 #59), 42% (bubble if 5-5), 24% home (maybe if 7-3), 10% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 112.0