Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions

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Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

#37 Austintown-Fitch Falcons (0-0) 156.0

Updated Fri 14-Aug-2026 12:23 PM
Week 0 complete

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Rankings
#17 of 80 in Division 1
#4 of 19 in Region 1
Strength of schedule #42 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #1 in D1 (0 WP+)

Lists this team is on
Fantastic 50 Rankings
Key games this week
Playoff quirks

Schedule and results
08/21 H #41 Hudson (0-0) D1 R1, pick: W by 4 (56%)
09/04 A #116 Riverside (Painesville) (0-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 18 (84%)
09/11 H #142 Maple Heights (0-0) D3 R9, pick: W by 25 (93%)
09/18 H Butler PA (0-0) D1
09/25 H Erie PA (0-0) D1
10/02 H #98 Perry (Massillon) (0-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 18 (88%)
10/09 A McDowell PA (0-0) D1
10/16 H #129 Boardman (0-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 23 (93%)
10/23 H #118 Warren G Harding (0-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 22 (93%)

Regular season projections
6-3 record
23.54 Harbin points (divisor 87)
#3 seed in R1 playoffs

Playoff chances now
97% (bubble if 2-7), 90% home (maybe if 3-6), 62% bye (maybe if 5-4)

Depending on the next game
Win: 27.25 ( 2.22-47.20) 99% in, 98% home, 83% bye, proj. #2 (#1-out), bye 83%
Lose: 18.25 ( 0.00-43.03) 94% in, 78% home, 34% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 36%

Based on eventual number of wins
( 4%) 9W: 36.05 (25.42-47.20) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(14%) 8W: 32.00 (20.10-43.03) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#6), bye 99%
(23%) 7W: 27.83 (18.17-37.60) 100% home, 94% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#8), bye 94%
(22%) 6W: 23.54 (11.98-34.17) 100% in, 99% home, 71% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#11), bye 71%
(16%) 5W: 19.25 ( 9.94-27.47) 100% in, 97% home, 36% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#12), bye 36%
(10%) 4W: 15.02 ( 6.05-23.24) 99% in, 82% home, 10% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), bye 10%
( 6%) 3W: 11.02 ( 4.53-17.58) 95% in, 43% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-out), Brunswick (0-0) 9%
( 3%) 2W: 7.02 ( 2.48-12.83) 67% in, 7% home, proj. #12 (#6-out), Brunswick (0-0) 9%
( 1%) 1W: 3.71 ( 0.67- 7.10) 16% in, proj. out (#9-out)

Most likely first round opponents
St Ignatius (0-0) 3%
Brunswick (0-0) 3%
Cleveland Heights (0-0) 3%
Euclid (0-0) 3%

Most likely second round opponents
Hudson (0-0) 12%
Canton McKinley (0-0) 10%
St Edward (0-0) 10%
Berea-Midpark (0-0) 9%
Strongsville (0-0) 8%

Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 156.0, #37, D1 #17), 97% (bubble if 2-7), 90% home (maybe if 3-6), 62% bye (maybe if 5-4), proj. #3 at 6-3
Last season 158.7