Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions

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#37 Austintown-Fitch Falcons (0-0) 156.1

Updated Mon 10-Aug-2026 04:57 PM
Week 0 complete

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Rankings
#17 of 80 in Division 1
#4 of 19 in Region 1
Strength of schedule #42 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #1 in D1 (0 WP+)

Lists this team is on
Fantastic 50 Rankings
Key games this week
Playoff quirks

Schedule and results
08/21 H #41 Hudson (0-0) D1 R1, pick: W by 4 (56%)
09/04 A #116 Riverside (Painesville) (0-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 18 (84%)
09/11 H #142 Maple Heights (0-0) D3 R9, pick: W by 25 (93%)
09/18 H Butler PA (0-0) D1
09/25 H Erie PA (0-0) D1
10/02 H #98 Perry (Massillon) (0-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 18 (88%)
10/09 A McDowell PA (0-0) D1
10/16 H #129 Boardman (0-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 23 (93%)
10/23 H #118 Warren G Harding (0-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 22 (93%)

Regular season projections
6-3 record
23.65 Harbin points (divisor 87)
#3 seed in R1 playoffs

Playoff chances now
98% (bubble if 2-7), 90% home (maybe if 3-6), 62% bye (maybe if 5-4)

Depending on the next game
Win: 27.25 ( 2.79-47.37) 99% in, 98% home, 83% bye, proj. #2 (#1-out), bye 83%
Lose: 18.30 ( 0.00-38.43) 94% in, 78% home, 34% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 36%

Based on eventual number of wins
( 4%) 9W: 35.99 (22.03-47.37) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#5), bye 99%
(14%) 8W: 32.23 (20.96-42.69) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#6), bye 99%
(23%) 7W: 27.88 (13.68-38.52) 100% in, 99% home, 93% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#9), bye 93%
(22%) 6W: 23.65 (11.98-36.01) 100% in, 99% home, 73% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#9), bye 73%
(16%) 5W: 19.31 ( 9.13-28.62) 100% in, 97% home, 37% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#12), bye 37%
(11%) 4W: 15.08 ( 6.63-23.47) 99% in, 81% home, 8% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 8%
( 6%) 3W: 10.94 ( 4.24-19.53) 96% in, 43% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), St Ignatius (0-0) 9%
( 3%) 2W: 7.14 ( 1.91-12.31) 68% in, 7% home, proj. #11 (#5-out), Brunswick (0-0) 10%
( 1%) 1W: 3.71 ( 0.67- 6.70) 17% in, proj. out (#9-out)

Most likely first round opponents
St Ignatius (0-0) 3%
Brunswick (0-0) 3%
Cleveland Heights (0-0) 3%
Strongsville (0-0) 2%

Most likely second round opponents
Hudson (0-0) 12%
Canton McKinley (0-0) 11%
St Edward (0-0) 10%
Berea-Midpark (0-0) 9%
Strongsville (0-0) 8%

Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 156.1, #37, D1 #17), 98% (bubble if 2-7), 90% home (maybe if 3-6), 62% bye (maybe if 5-4), proj. #3 at 6-3
Last season 158.7