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Rankings
#24 of 100 in Division 2
#8 of 25 in Region 5
Strength of schedule #25 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #32 in D2 (+50 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 35-14 A #34 Steubenville (2-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 16 (23%), perf. rating 133
08/28 W 40-13 H #189 Aurora (1-1) D3 R9, pick: W by 2 (54%), perf. rating 162
09/04 H #46 Austintown-Fitch (0-1) D1 R1, pick: L by 10 (28%)
09/10 A #270 Shaker Heights (1-1) D2 R5, pick: W by 26 (94%)
09/18 H #11 Mentor (2-0) D1 R1, pick: L by 27 (5%)
09/25 H #77 Strongsville (1-1) D1 R1, pick: W by 3 (57%)
10/02 A #200 Cleveland Heights (0-2) D1 R1, pick: W by 20 (90%)
10/09 A #163 Brunswick (1-1) D1 R1, pick: W by 15 (84%)
10/16 H #208 Euclid (1-1) D1 R1, pick: W by 24 (94%)
10/23 A #310 Lorain (1-1) D1 R1, pick: W by 30 (98%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
5.10 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#10 seed in R5 playoffs
Playoff chances now
85% (bubble if 4-6), 50% home (maybe if 6-4), 10% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 6.89 ( 2.27- 8.55) 98% in, 83% home, 29% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 30%
Lose: 5.06 ( 0.74- 7.63) 80% in, 37% home, 3% bye, proj. #10 (#2-out), Glenville (1-1) 14%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 9W: 8.21 ( 7.84- 8.55) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 98%
(16%) 8W: 7.05 ( 6.63- 7.63) 100% in, 99% home, 44% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#9), bye 44%
(28%) 7W: 6.10 ( 5.49- 6.66) 100% in, 90% home, 5% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#11), Brush (1-1) 15%
(24%) 6W: 5.10 ( 4.63- 5.64) 99% in, 27% home, proj. #9 (#5-out), Glenville (1-1) 17%
(16%) 5W: 4.15 ( 3.66- 4.72) 81% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Glenville (1-1) 15%
( 8%) 4W: 3.24 ( 2.88- 3.89) 30% in, proj. out (#10-out), Glenville (1-1) 16%
( 4%) 3W: 2.40 ( 2.05- 2.75) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) WWWWWWWW: 8.21 ( 7.84- 8.55) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 98%
(13%) WWLWWWWW: 7.01 ( 6.63- 7.41) 100% in, 99% home, 39% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#9), bye 39%
(20%) LWLWWWWW: 6.11 ( 5.73- 6.46) 100% in, 93% home, 5% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#11), Brush (1-1) 16%
( 4%) WWLLWWWW: 5.97 ( 5.49- 6.38) 100% in, 82% home, 4% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#11), Brush (1-1) 17%
(12%) LWLLWWWW: 5.07 ( 4.70- 5.57) 99% in, 26% home, proj. #9 (#6-out), Glenville (1-1) 19%
( 4%) LWLWWLWW: 5.06 ( 4.82- 5.49) 99% in, 30% home, proj. #9 (#5-out), Glenville (1-1) 15%
( 5%) LWLLWLWW: 4.08 ( 3.78- 4.53) 78% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), Mayfield (2-0) 17%
( 2%) LWLLLLWW: 3.19 ( 2.95- 3.50) 27% in, proj. out (#10-out), Villa Angela-St Joseph (1-1) 18%
Weekly summary info
Week 2 (1-1, 144.8, #76, D2 #24), 81% (bubble if 4-6), 46% home (maybe if 6-4), 9% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #9 at 6-4
Week 1 (0-1, 131.2, #142, D2 #40), 46% (bubble if 4-6), 25% home (maybe if 6-4), 7% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #12 at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 135.6, #116, D2 #34), 53% (bubble if 5-5), 32% home (maybe if 6-4), 13% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #10 at 5-5
Last season 138.6