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Rankings
#90 of 104 in Division 2
#24 of 27 in Region 7
Strength of schedule #95 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #75 in D2 (-393 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 34-6 H #234 Grandview Heights (4-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 1 (48%), perf. rating 74
08/29 W 32-8 A #683 Mifflin (0-4) D2 R7, pick: W by 39 (97%), perf. rating 68
09/05 W 13-2 A #604 Whetstone (1-3) D2 R7, pick: W by 27 (93%), perf. rating 78
09/12 L 34-0 A #158 Africentric Early Coll. (3-1) D5 R19, pick: L by 40 (1%), perf. rating 82
09/18 A #536 Eastmoor Academy (2-2) D3 R11, pick: W by 5 (62%)
09/26 H #497 Independence (Cbus) (2-2) D3 R11, pick: W by 4 (60%)
10/03 A #613 South (Columbus) (1-3) D3 R11, pick: W by 21 (91%)
10/10 A #189 Walnut Ridge (1-3) D2 R7, pick: L by 35 (1%)
10/17 H #363 Marion-Franklin (1-3) D4 R15, pick: L by 18 (12%)
10/24 H #643 West (0-4) D3 R11, pick: W by 28 (97%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
7.35 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R7 playoffs
Playoff chances now
2% (must have at least 6-4 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 10.05 ( 4.00-17.55) 3% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Hoover (4-0) 13%
Lose: 5.68 ( 2.35-14.45) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
(11%) 7W: 12.75 (12.65-16.05) 11% in, proj. out (#9-out), Ashland (4-0) 14%
(32%) 6W: 10.05 ( 9.40-13.25) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(31%) 5W: 7.35 ( 6.75-10.60) out, proj. out
(18%) 4W: 5.15 ( 4.55- 9.00) out, proj. out
( 6%) 3W: 3.45 ( 2.90- 6.70) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(10%) WWWLWW: 12.75 (12.65-14.45) 9% in, proj. out (#9-out), Ashland (4-0) 16%
( 2%) LWWLWW: 10.55 ( 9.40-12.25) out
(27%) WWWLLW: 10.05 (10.05-12.25) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Louisville (4-0) 50%
( 2%) WLWLWW: 10.05 ( 9.45-11.75) out
(12%) LWWLLW: 7.85 ( 7.30-10.00) out
(15%) WLWLLW: 7.35 ( 6.80- 9.55) out
(13%) LLWLLW: 5.10 ( 4.60- 6.80) out
( 4%) LLLLLW: 3.42 ( 2.90- 4.95) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (2-2, 81.2, #482, D2 #90), 2% (must have at least 6-4 for any chance), proj. out at 5-5
Week 3 (2-1, 77.3, #513, D2 #91), 4% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 5-5
Week 2 (1-1, 79.8, #501, D2 #88), 7% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 1 (0-1, 83.8, #483, D2 #87), 27% (bubble if 6-4), 9% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 97.7, #377, D2 #78), 62% (bubble if 6-4), 38% home (maybe if 7-3), 15% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #11 at 6-4
Last season 99.1