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Rankings
#92 of 100 in Division 2
#25 of 25 in Region 8
Strength of schedule #98 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #85 in D2 (-610 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 32-23 H #456 Dunbar (4-4) D4 R16, pick: L by 14 (26%), perf. rating 71
08/28 L 42-36 A #341 Dublin Scioto (1-7) D1 R2, pick: L by 37 (3%), perf. rating 96
09/04 W 52-6 H #669 Whetstone (0-8) D2 R7, pick: W by 29 (95%), perf. rating 95
09/11 L 36-6 H #458 Africentric Early Coll. (2-6) D5 R19, pick: L by 17 (16%), perf. rating 40
09/17 W 46-13 H #615 Eastmoor Academy (0-8) D3 R11, pick: W by 17 (86%), perf. rating 102
09/25 W 16-14 A #542 Independence (Cbus) (1-7) D2 R7, pick: W by 4 (60%), perf. rating 77
10/05 L 20-7 H #409 South (Columbus) (8-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 14 (18%), perf. rating 72
10/09 L 48-14 H #373 Walnut Ridge (2-6) D2 R7, pick: L by 17 (13%), perf. rating 46
10/16 A #321 Marion-Franklin (4-4) D4 R15, pick: L by 30 (2%)
10/23 A #309 West (8-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 31 (2%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
3.45 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R8 playoffs
Playoff chances now
unlikely to contend for playoffs
Depending on the next game
Win: 6.20 ( 5.55-12.35) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Lose: 3.45 ( 2.85- 9.75) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 4%) 4W: 7.95 ( 5.55- 9.75) out, proj. out
(96%) 3W: 3.45 ( 2.85- 4.65) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) LW: 8.55 ( 7.95- 9.75) out
( 2%) WL: 6.15 ( 5.55- 7.30) out
(96%) LL: 3.45 ( 2.85- 4.65) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (3-4, 76.8, #521, D2 #89), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 3-7
Week 6 (3-3, 75.7, #524, D2 #88), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 5 (2-3, 75.6, #523, D2 #88), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 4 (1-3, 72.0, #541, D2 #90), 2% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (1-2, 77.3, #519, D2 #89), 11% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (0-2, 75.0, #530, D2 #89), 6% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (0-1, 63.5, #594, D2 #96), 3% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 0 (0-0, 63.3, #592, D2 #97), 5% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Last season 52.1