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Rankings
#47 of 102 in Division 4
#14 of 26 in Region 15
Strength of schedule #82 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #60 in D4 (-277 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 21-0 H #125 Westerville Central (4-3) D1 R3, pick: L by 22 (16%), perf. rating 101
08/28 L 28-27 H #365 Bishop Hartley (2-5) D3 R11, pick: L by 27 (9%), perf. rating 96
09/04 L 42-7 A #160 Groveport Madison (5-2) D1 R3, pick: L by 25 (8%), perf. rating 78
09/11 W 49-14 A #544 Independence (Cbus) (1-6) D2 R7, pick: W by 8 (68%), perf. rating 127
09/17 W 26-12 H #391 Walnut Ridge (1-6) D2 R7, pick: W by 1 (52%), perf. rating 115
09/25 W 27-8 H #452 Africentric Early Coll. (2-5) D5 R19, pick: W by 18 (87%), perf. rating 113
10/02 L 26-22 H #292 West (7-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 1 (47%), perf. rating 102
10/08 A #608 Eastmoor Academy (0-7) D3 R11, pick: W by 35 (99%)
10/16 H #521 Briggs (3-4) D2 R8, pick: W by 27 (96%)
10/23 H #410 South (Columbus) (7-0) D3 R11, pick: W by 13 (80%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
14.92 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#9 seed in R15 playoffs
Playoff chances now
75% (likely needs 6-4), 9% home
Depending on the next game
Win: 14.87 ( 6.69-16.68) 76% in, 9% home, proj. #11 (#5-out), Beaver Local (4-3) 16%
Lose: 13.81 ( 6.30-15.63) 45% in, 3% home, proj. out (#6-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
(77%) 6W: 14.92 (14.71-16.68) 96% in, 12% home, proj. #10 (#5-out), Beaver Local (4-3) 16%
(21%) 5W: 9.77 ( 9.57-15.63) 7% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), West Muskingum (6-1) 26%
( 2%) 4W: 7.35 ( 6.69-12.05) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(77%) WWW: 14.92 (14.71-16.68) 96% in, 12% home, proj. #10 (#5-out), Beaver Local (4-3) 16%
( 3%) WLW: 12.50 (11.79-13.66) 34% in, proj. out (#9-out), West Muskingum (6-1) 32%
(18%) WWL: 9.67 ( 9.57-11.03) out
( 2%) WLL: 7.30 ( 6.69- 8.46) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (3-4, 104.8, #333, D4 #47), 75% (likely needs 6-4), 9% home, proj. #9 at 6-4
Week 6 (3-3, 106.0, #322, D4 #44), 86% (likely needs 6-4), 52% home (maybe if 6-4), 31% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #8 at 6-4
Week 5 (2-3, 105.7, #319, D4 #46), 81% (likely needs 6-4), 53% home (maybe if 6-4), 26% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #10 at 6-4
Week 4 (1-3, 100.5, #360, D4 #54), 63% (bubble if 5-5), 38% home (maybe if 6-4), 6% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #10 at 5-5
Week 3 (0-3, 90.0, #430, D4 #70), 39% (bubble if 5-5), 18% home (maybe if 6-4), 3% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Week 2 (0-2, 101.3, #353, D4 #52), 54% (bubble if 5-5), 25% home (maybe if 6-4), 3% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #12 at 5-5
Week 1 (0-1, 89.3, #429, D4 #67), 30% (bubble if 5-5), 12% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 91.7, #431, D4 #67), 35% (bubble if 5-5), 15% home (maybe if 6-4), 4% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 92.4