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Rankings
#13 of 106 in Division 5
#5 of 27 in Region 19
Strength of schedule #69 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #16 in D5 (+218 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 72-0 H #646 Woodward (Cincy) (0-4) D3 R12, pick: W by 37 (96%), perf. rating 109
08/29 W 48-20 A #206 Minster (3-1) D7 R28, pick: L by 24 (11%), perf. rating 165
09/05 L 35-18 H #77 DeSales (Columbus) (3-1) D2 R7, pick: L by 8 (33%), perf. rating 118
09/12 W 34-0 H #482 Briggs (2-2) D2 R7, pick: W by 40 (99%), perf. rating 130
09/18 A #643 West (0-4) D3 R11, pick: W by 49 (99%)
09/26 H #363 Marion-Franklin (1-3) D4 R15, pick: W by 27 (96%)
10/03 A #497 Independence (Cbus) (2-2) D3 R11, pick: W by 36 (99%)
10/09 H #613 South (Columbus) (1-3) D3 R11, pick: W by 48 (99%)
10/17 A #189 Walnut Ridge (1-3) D2 R7, pick: W by 4 (60%)
10/24 A #536 Eastmoor Academy (2-2) D3 R11, pick: W by 39 (99%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
21.55 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#4 seed in R19 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 98% home (maybe if 7-3), 38% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 21.00 ( 9.95-23.90) 99% in, 98% home, 38% bye, proj. #5 (#2-out), bye 38%
Lose: 17.08 (12.30-22.05) 100% in, 89% home, 11% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#12), Zane Trace (3-1) 14%
Based on eventual number of wins
(55%) 9W: 21.55 (20.75-23.90) 100% home, 65% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#7), bye 65%
(40%) 8W: 17.75 (16.90-22.05) 100% in, 99% home, 6% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#10), Union Local (2-2) 15%
( 5%) 7W: 14.70 (13.20-18.45) 100% in, 56% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#12), Zane Trace (3-1) 16%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(55%) WWWWWW: 21.55 (20.75-23.90) 100% home, 65% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#7), bye 65%
( 2%) WLWWWW: 18.38 (17.15-20.80) 100% home, 6% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#8), Union Local (2-2) 19%
(37%) WWWWLW: 17.75 (16.90-20.15) 100% in, 99% home, 5% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#10), Union Local (2-2) 15%
( 2%) WLWWLW: 14.47 (13.75-16.90) 100% in, 40% home, proj. #9 (#5-#12), Zane Trace (3-1) 17%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (3-1, 130.2, #158, D5 #13), likely in, 98% home (maybe if 7-3), 38% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 3 (2-1, 133.0, #146, D5 #12), likely in, 98% home (maybe if 7-3), 53% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 137.8, #110, D5 #9), likely in, 96% home (maybe if 7-3), 73% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 115.4, #247, D5 #24), 81% (bubble if 5-5), 59% home (maybe if 6-4), 29% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #6 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 112.9, #255, D5 #27), 72% (bubble if 5-5), 51% home (maybe if 7-3), 26% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 7-3
Last season 117.7