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Region 12 playoff probabilities
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Team history page
Rankings
#98 of 107 in Division 3
#24 of 26 in Region 12
Strength of schedule #47 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #99 in D3 (-713 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 36-8 H #290 Stebbins (2-2) D2 R8, pick: L by 11 (31%), perf. rating 66
08/29 L 30-16 H #542 Tecumseh (2-2) D3 R12, pick: W by 18 (82%), perf. rating 50
09/04 W 18-12 A #644 Ponitz Tech (0-4) D3 R12, pick: W by 22 (89%), perf. rating 61
09/12 L 40-14 A #383 Northwest (Cincy) (1-3) D2 R8, pick: L by 29 (4%), perf. rating 62
09/19 H #171 Talawanda (4-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 42 (1%)
09/26 A #76 Archbishop McNicholas (2-2) D3 R12, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/03 A #66 Archbishop Alter (2-2) D3 R12, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/10 H #33 Badin (4-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/17 H #371 Chaminade Julienne (0-4) D3 R12, pick: L by 28 (3%)
10/24 A #321 Bishop Fenwick (2-2) D4 R16, pick: L by 34 (1%)
Regular season projections
1-9 record
0.55 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R12 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 5.30 ( 4.15-13.15) out, proj. out
Lose: 1.05 ( 0.55- 9.55) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 9%) 2W: 3.20 ( 1.10- 7.90) out, proj. out
(91%) 1W: 0.55 ( 0.55- 3.25) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) LLLLLW: 2.80 ( 2.20- 4.95) out
( 3%) LLLLWL: 1.60 ( 1.10- 3.35) out
(91%) LLLLLL: 0.55 ( 0.55- 3.25) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (1-3, 65.0, #582, D3 #98), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 1-9
Week 3 (1-2, 65.0, #588, D3 #100), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 1-9
Week 2 (0-2, 68.0, #573, D3 #101), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 1-9
Week 1 (0-1, 77.2, #528, D3 #91), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 0 (0-0, 86.1, #479, D3 #87), 5% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Last season 88.5