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Rankings
#27 of 105 in Division 5
#2 of 26 in Region 20
Strength of schedule #6 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #82 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #168 Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 11 (31%)
08/28 A #370 Monroe (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 12 (73%)
09/04 A #269 Franklin (0-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 1 (48%)
09/11 A #197 Edgewood (Trenton) (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 10 (28%)
09/18 H #395 Mount Healthy (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 19 (88%)
09/25 A #64 Archbishop Alter (0-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 30 (3%)
10/02 H #60 Badin (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 29 (3%)
10/09 H #317 Chaminade Julienne (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 11 (77%)
10/16 A #86 Archbishop McNicholas (0-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 27 (4%)
10/23 A #530 Carroll (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 30 (98%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
9.35 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R20 playoffs
Playoff chances now
44% (bubble if 5-5), 28% home (maybe if 6-4), 13% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 13.90 ( 0.50-35.50) 79% in, 58% home, 32% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 40%
Lose: 6.10 ( 0.00-30.25) 28% in, 14% home, 5% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 17%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 26.00 (18.85-35.50) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 4%) 9W: 22.00 (14.50-30.25) 100% home, 95% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#7), bye 95%
( 7%) 8W: 18.30 (12.10-26.85) 99% in, 97% home, 70% bye, proj. #3 (#1-out), bye 70%
(11%) 7W: 15.05 ( 8.20-24.00) 98% in, 80% home, 27% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 27%
(13%) 6W: 11.95 ( 4.90-20.80) 87% in, 42% home, 6% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), Preble Shawnee (0-0) 6%
(15%) 5W: 9.35 ( 3.80-18.40) 50% in, 11% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Preble Shawnee (0-0) 9%
(15%) 4W: 6.75 ( 2.75-14.55) 16% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out), Preble Shawnee (0-0) 10%
(13%) 3W: 4.75 ( 1.65-11.80) 2% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
(11%) 2W: 2.80 ( 1.05- 9.00) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 7%) 1W: 1.10 ( 0.50- 5.25) out, proj. out
( 3%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Preble Shawnee (0-0) 5%
Williamsburg (0-0) 4%
Purcell Marian (0-0) 4%
Greeneview (0-0) 4%
Most likely second round opponents
Brookville (0-0) 11%
Preble Shawnee (0-0) 10%
Carlisle (0-0) 9%
Graham Local (0-0) 8%
Williamsburg (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 70.7, #551, D5 #83), 38% (bubble if 6-4), 18% home (maybe if 7-3), 6% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 117.0