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Rankings
#49 of 102 in Division 3
#11 of 26 in Region 12
Strength of schedule #83 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #23 in D3 (+115 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 21-20 H #247 Wilmington (3-3) D4 R16, pick: L by 3 (45%), perf. rating 115
08/28 W 32-0 H #525 Reading (2-4) D4 R16, pick: W by 27 (91%), perf. rating 121
09/04 W 14-12 H #284 Ross (2-4) D2 R8, pick: W by 10 (71%), perf. rating 112
09/11 W 26-0 A #539 Carroll (2-4) D3 R12, pick: W by 31 (97%), perf. rating 113
09/18 W 35-0 H #645 Woodward (Cincy) (1-5) D4 R16, pick: W by 45 (99%), perf. rating 92
09/25 W 40-20 A #346 Mount Healthy (2-4) D3 R12, pick: L by 5 (38%), perf. rating 134
10/02 H #186 Talawanda (5-1) D2 R8, pick: L by 8 (30%)
10/08 A #461 Dunbar (3-2) D4 R16, pick: W by 25 (95%)
10/16 A #458 KIPP Columbus (1-5) D3 R11, pick: W by 25 (95%)
10/23 A #49 Harrison (5-1) D2 R8, pick: L by 33 (1%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
17.28 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#7 seed in R12 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in, 66% home (maybe if 8-2), 5% bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 21.16 (15.06-28.18) 100% in, 99% home, 14% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#11), Monroe (4-2) 34%
Lose: 16.83 (10.73-24.50) 100% in, 52% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#3-#12), Miami Trace (5-1) 23%
Based on eventual number of wins
(28%) 9W: 21.52 (18.44-25.35) 100% in, 99% home, 12% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#9), Monroe (4-2) 36%
(62%) 8W: 17.28 (14.65-22.73) 100% in, 58% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#12), Miami Trace (5-1) 25%
( 8%) 7W: 14.66 (11.88-17.74) 100% in, 9% home, proj. #10 (#6-#12), Indian Hill (4-2) 27%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) LWWW: 22.17 (19.90-24.50) 100% home, 18% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#8), Monroe (4-2) 34%
(27%) WWWL: 21.42 (18.44-23.94) 100% in, 99% home, 12% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#9), Monroe (4-2) 37%
( 1%) WWLL: 19.91 (17.28-21.67) 100% in, 96% home, 4% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#10), Hughes (6-0) 22%
( 1%) WLWL: 18.14 (16.62-19.50) 100% in, 75% home, proj. #8 (#5-#11), Hughes (6-0) 26%
(60%) LWWL: 17.23 (14.65-20.31) 100% in, 57% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#12), Miami Trace (5-1) 25%
( 5%) LWLL: 15.67 (13.55-17.74) 100% in, 15% home, proj. #10 (#6-#12), Indian Hill (4-2) 24%
( 4%) LLWL: 13.95 (11.88-16.33) 100% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#7-#12), Indian Hill (4-2) 31%
Weekly summary info
Week 6 (6-0, 114.7, #255, D3 #49), appears locked in, 66% home (maybe if 8-2), 5% bye, proj. #7 at 8-2
Week 5 (5-0, 105.9, #316, D3 #64), 98% (bubble if 5-5), 27% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. #10 at 7-3
Week 4 (4-0, 108.4, #307, D3 #59), 98% (bubble if 5-5), 35% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. #10 at 7-3
Week 3 (3-0, 107.4, #309, D3 #60), 98% (bubble if 5-5), 31% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. #9 at 8-2
Week 2 (2-0, 110.5, #288, D3 #54), 96% (bubble if 3-7), 46% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. #8 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 100.4, #364, D3 #67), 57% (bubble if 6-4), 13% home (maybe if 9-1), proj. #12 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 99.0, #376, D3 #70), 57% (bubble if 5-5), 28% home (maybe if 7-3), 6% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #9 at 6-4
Last season 101.8