Region 12 home page
Region 12 projections
Region 12 playoff probabilities
Region 12 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 12 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#62 of 102 in Division 3
#13 of 26 in Region 12
Strength of schedule #4 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #59 in D3 (-168 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 44-14 A #158 Miamisburg (4-3) D1 R2, pick: L by 22 (16%), perf. rating 86
08/28 L 45-12 H #70 Withrow (4-3) D2 R8, pick: L by 32 (5%), perf. rating 94
09/04 W 28-0 H #365 Bishop Hartley (2-5) D3 R11, pick: L by 17 (17%), perf. rating 139
09/11 L 29-7 A #50 Bellbrook (7-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 34 (2%), perf. rating 122
09/18 L 38-22 H #173 Edgewood (Trenton) (4-3) D2 R8, pick: L by 7 (33%), perf. rating 100
09/25 L 34-7 A #120 Badin (5-2) D2 R8, pick: L by 31 (2%), perf. rating 97
10/02 L 37-0 H #78 Archbishop McNicholas (5-2) D3 R12, pick: L by 24 (6%), perf. rating 86
10/09 A #123 Bishop Fenwick (4-3) D5 R20, pick: L by 26 (4%)
10/16 H #536 Carroll (2-5) D3 R12, pick: W by 30 (98%)
10/23 A #71 Archbishop Alter (5-2) D3 R12, pick: L by 32 (2%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
3.22 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R12 playoffs
Playoff chances now
unlikely to contend for playoffs
Depending on the next game
Win: 6.50 ( 4.84-11.39) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Lose: 3.22 ( 1.56- 7.56) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 6%) 3W: 6.50 ( 6.40- 7.71) out, proj. out
(92%) 2W: 3.22 ( 3.22- 5.39) out, proj. out
( 2%) 1W: 1.56 ( 1.56- 2.17) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) LWW: 7.00 ( 6.40- 7.56) out
( 4%) WWL: 6.50 ( 6.40- 7.71) out
(92%) LWL: 3.22 ( 3.22- 4.43) out
( 2%) LLL: 1.56 ( 1.56- 2.17) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (1-6, 107.5, #313, D3 #62), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 2-8
Week 6 (1-5, 111.5, #283, D3 #57), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 5 (1-4, 112.6, #274, D3 #49), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 4 (1-3, 113.9, #270, D3 #48), 7% (likely needs 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 3 (1-2, 111.7, #281, D3 #52), 10% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 2 (0-2, 95.4, #394, D3 #70), 3% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Week 1 (0-1, 99.0, #375, D3 #69), 3% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 0 (0-0, 104.7, #317, D3 #59), 17% (bubble if 4-6), 6% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 95.7