Region 12 home page
Region 12 projections
Region 12 playoff probabilities
Region 12 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 12 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#93 of 107 in Division 3
#22 of 26 in Region 12
Strength of schedule #60 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #83 in D3 (-455 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 41-6 A #287 Fairborn (3-1) D2 R8, pick: L by 26 (12%), perf. rating 60
08/29 W 30-16 A #582 Carroll (1-3) D3 R12, pick: L by 18 (18%), perf. rating 88
09/05 W 14-12 H #551 Shawnee (Springfield) (0-4) D4 R16, pick: W by 12 (75%), perf. rating 73
09/12 L 42-20 A #393 Northwestern (Sprfd.) (3-1) D4 R16, pick: L by 24 (8%), perf. rating 66
09/19 H #275 Benjamin Logan (2-2) D4 R14, pick: L by 30 (3%)
09/26 H #191 Jonathan Alder (4-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 37 (1%)
10/03 A #244 Kenton Ridge (3-1) D4 R16, pick: L by 35 (1%)
10/10 H #220 Bellefontaine (2-2) D3 R12, pick: L by 34 (1%)
10/17 H #45 London (4-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/24 A #345 Urbana (1-3) D4 R16, pick: L by 28 (3%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
1.60 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R12 playoffs
Playoff chances now
unlikely to contend for playoffs
Depending on the next game
Win: 4.90 ( 3.55-12.40) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Lose: 1.60 ( 1.60-13.10) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 4W: 6.57 ( 4.45-11.25) out, proj. out
(11%) 3W: 4.00 ( 2.50- 7.85) out, proj. out
(87%) 2W: 1.60 ( 1.60- 4.25) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) LLWLLL: 4.60 ( 3.60- 6.15) out
( 2%) WLLLLL: 4.50 ( 3.55- 6.40) out
( 1%) LLLWLL: 4.20 ( 3.25- 5.80) out
( 4%) LLLLLW: 2.95 ( 2.50- 5.05) out
(87%) LLLLLL: 1.60 ( 1.60- 4.25) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (2-2, 73.0, #542, D3 #93), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 2-8
Week 3 (2-1, 73.5, #541, D3 #94), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 2-8
Week 2 (1-1, 76.9, #531, D3 #95), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 1 (0-1, 61.6, #599, D3 #101), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 1-9
Week 0 (0-0, 67.0, #572, D3 #97), 2% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Last season 61.1