Region 12 home page
Region 12 projections
Region 12 playoff probabilities
Region 12 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 12 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#97 of 104 in Division 3
#23 of 26 in Region 12
Strength of schedule #55 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #98 in D3 (-890 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 31-7 H #282 Fairborn (2-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 20 (18%), perf. rating 74
08/28 L 32-23 H #514 Carroll (1-1) D3 R12, pick: W by 4 (57%), perf. rating 62
09/04 A #518 Shawnee (Springfield) (0-2) D4 R16, pick: L by 9 (31%)
09/11 H #603 Northwestern (Sprfd.) (0-2) D5 R20, pick: W by 11 (74%)
09/18 A #232 Benjamin Logan (1-1) D4 R14, pick: L by 37 (1%)
09/25 A #103 Jonathan Alder (2-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 46 (1%)
10/02 H #276 Kenton Ridge (1-1) D4 R16, pick: L by 32 (2%)
10/09 A #314 Bellefontaine (1-1) D3 R12, pick: L by 31 (2%)
10/16 A #83 London (1-1) D4 R16, pick: L by 47 (1%)
10/23 H #177 Urbana (2-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 39 (1%)
Regular season projections
1-9 record
0.45 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R12 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 1.00 ( 0.50- 3.36) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Lose: 0.45 ( 0.00- 2.68) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 5%) 3W: 1.70 ( 1.58- 2.15) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(27%) 2W: 1.00 ( 1.00- 1.66) out, proj. out
(46%) 1W: 0.45 ( 0.45- 0.94) out, proj. out
(21%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(21%) WWLLLLLL: 0.99 ( 0.99- 1.19) out
( 3%) WLLLLLLL: 0.50 ( 0.50- 0.65) out
(41%) LWLLLLLL: 0.45 ( 0.45- 0.59) out
(21%) LLLLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 2 (0-2, 70.1, #564, D3 #97), 1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 1 (0-1, 72.1, #546, D3 #94), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 0 (0-0, 76.5, #520, D3 #89), 11% (bubble if 6-4), 3% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 82.3