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Rankings
#8 of 102 in Division 3
#2 of 25 in Region 10
Strength of schedule #13 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #1 in D3 (+528 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 38-35 H #52 St Henry (5-3) D6 R24, pick: L by 25 (13%), perf. rating 154
08/28 W 7-6 H #55 Wapakoneta (5-3) D3 R10, pick: L by 13 (26%), perf. rating 151
09/04 W 30-28 A #141 St Marys Memorial (5-3) D3 R10, pick: L by 22 (11%), perf. rating 136
09/11 W 49-28 H #154 Van Wert (4-4) D4 R14, pick: W by 8 (68%), perf. rating 158
09/18 W 28-13 H #203 Shawnee (Lima) (3-5) D3 R10, pick: W by 24 (93%), perf. rating 143
09/25 W 49-14 A #289 Kenton (2-6) D4 R14, pick: W by 29 (97%), perf. rating 165
10/02 W 45-21 A #288 Elida (3-5) D4 R14, pick: W by 29 (97%), perf. rating 149
10/09 W 42-0 H #286 Bath (2-6) D5 R18, pick: W by 29 (97%), perf. rating 172
10/16 A #72 Ottawa-Glandorf (8-0) D4 R14, pick: L by 1 (47%)
10/23 A #403 Defiance (1-7) D3 R10, pick: W by 37 (99%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
23.70 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#1 seed in R10 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and home bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 28.80 (27.20-29.00) 100% bye, #1, bye 100%
Lose: 23.70 (22.05-24.35) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
Based on eventual number of wins
(46%) 10W: 28.80 (28.00-29.00) 100% bye, #1, bye 100%
(54%) 9W: 23.70 (22.85-27.85) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(46%) WW: 28.80 (28.00-29.00) 100% bye, #1, bye 100%
(53%) LW: 23.70 (22.85-24.35) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (7-0, 143.3, #79, D3 #9), appears locked in and home bye, proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 6 (6-0, 142.8, #82, D3 #9), appears locked in and home, likely bye, proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 5 (5-0, 142.4, #87, D3 #12), appears locked in and home, likely bye, proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 4 (4-0, 142.1, #86, D3 #9), appears locked in and home, 98% bye (maybe if 6-4), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 3 (3-0, 135.7, #117, D3 #20), likely in, 93% home (maybe if 6-4), 73% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 127.8, #162, D3 #28), 82% (bubble if 5-5), 59% home (maybe if 6-4), 26% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #4 at 7-3
Week 1 (1-0, 127.7, #168, D3 #27), 69% (bubble if 4-6), 46% home (maybe if 6-4), 19% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 6-4
Week 0 (0-0, 116.8, #225, D3 #45), 40% (bubble if 5-5), 23% home (maybe if 6-4), 9% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 113.8