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Rankings
#30 of 104 in Division 3
#7 of 26 in Region 10
Strength of schedule #19 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #48 in D3 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 A #178 Lima Central Catholic (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 3 (44%)
08/28 H #347 Kenton (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 23 (88%)
09/04 A #265 Elida (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 10 (71%)
09/11 H #138 Bath (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 6 (36%)
09/18 A #225 Celina (0-0) D3 R10, pick: W by 5 (62%)
09/25 H #242 Defiance (0-0) D3 R10, pick: W by 11 (76%)
10/02 A #43 Wapakoneta (0-0) D3 R10, pick: L by 28 (4%)
10/09 H #146 St Marys Memorial (0-0) D3 R10, pick: L by 5 (37%)
10/16 A #214 Van Wert (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 3 (58%)
10/23 H #297 Ottawa-Glandorf (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 19 (89%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
9.80 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#12 seed in R10 playoffs
Playoff chances now
60% (bubble if 5-5), 42% home (maybe if 6-4), 20% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 16.05 ( 1.10-30.90) 82% in, 64% home, 35% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 42%
Lose: 7.55 ( 0.00-26.80) 43% in, 24% home, 8% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 19%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 4%) 10W: 28.05 (24.65-30.90) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 8%) 9W: 23.55 (20.10-28.95) 100% home, 93% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 93%
(11%) 8W: 19.75 (15.85-25.80) 100% in, 99% home, 56% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#10), bye 56%
(13%) 7W: 16.10 (11.55-22.05) 99% in, 87% home, 16% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 16%
(14%) 6W: 12.80 ( 8.40-18.70) 96% in, 46% home, 2% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Buchtel (0-0) 7%
(13%) 5W: 9.80 ( 6.30-16.45) 66% in, 9% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#4-out), Buchtel (0-0) 8%
(12%) 4W: 7.20 ( 3.80-13.95) 21% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Maumee (0-0) 8%
(10%) 3W: 4.75 ( 2.00-11.70) 3% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
( 8%) 2W: 2.90 ( 1.25- 8.70) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 5%) 1W: 1.05 ( 0.45- 5.25) out, proj. out
( 2%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Buchtel (0-0) 5%
Maumee (0-0) 5%
Cloverleaf (0-0) 5%
Midview (0-0) 4%
Most likely second round opponents
Wapakoneta (0-0) 13%
Lexington (0-0) 10%
Ontario (0-0) 9%
Copley (0-0) 8%
St Marys Memorial (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 66.8, #572, D3 #96), 15% (bubble if 5-5), 4% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 130.4