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Rankings
#11 of 105 in Division 5
#5 of 25 in Region 18
Strength of schedule #3 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #29 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #195 Indian Lake (0-0) D5 R18, pick: W by 8 (64%)
08/28 H #146 St Marys Memorial (0-0) D3 R10, pick: W by 3 (56%)
09/04 H #214 Van Wert (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 15 (80%)
09/11 A #182 Shawnee (Lima) (0-0) D3 R10, pick: W by 6 (64%)
09/18 H #347 Kenton (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 28 (96%)
09/25 A #265 Elida (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 18 (87%)
10/02 H #297 Ottawa-Glandorf (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 25 (95%)
10/09 A #225 Celina (0-0) D3 R10, pick: W by 13 (80%)
10/16 H #242 Defiance (0-0) D3 R10, pick: W by 19 (89%)
10/23 A #43 Wapakoneta (0-0) D3 R10, pick: L by 23 (7%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
16.65 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#8 seed in R18 playoffs
Playoff chances now
62% (bubble if 6-4), 46% home (maybe if 7-3), 26% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 19.35 ( 1.30-31.75) 78% in, 62% home, 38% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 49%
Lose: 9.25 ( 0.00-27.10) 32% in, 17% home, 6% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 17%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 8%) 10W: 28.95 (25.55-31.75) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(15%) 9W: 24.30 (20.15-29.85) 100% in, 99% home, 88% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#9), bye 88%
(16%) 8W: 20.35 (15.95-25.80) 99% in, 94% home, 29% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 29%
(14%) 7W: 16.65 (12.10-23.30) 95% in, 47% home, 3% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), Bluffton (0-0) 8%
(12%) 6W: 13.35 ( 8.80-20.65) 60% in, 8% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#4-out), Bluffton (0-0) 8%
(11%) 5W: 10.35 ( 6.65-16.50) 17% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Archbold (0-0) 8%
( 9%) 4W: 7.55 ( 3.95-14.25) 3% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 7%) 3W: 5.20 ( 2.55-12.15) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 5%) 2W: 3.05 ( 1.50- 8.90) out, proj. out
( 3%) 1W: 1.05 ( 0.50- 5.35) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Bluffton (0-0) 4%
Margaretta (0-0) 4%
Archbold (0-0) 4%
Eastwood (0-0) 4%
Most likely second round opponents
Liberty-Benton (0-0) 11%
Coldwater (0-0) 9%
Triway (0-0) 8%
Galion (0-0) 8%
Bluffton (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 125.7, #169, D5 #15), 52% (bubble if 6-4), 26% home (maybe if 8-2), 7% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 6-4
Last season 134.9