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Rankings
#4 of 105 in Division 4
#1 of 26 in Region 16
Strength of schedule #73 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #6 in D4 (+383 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 37-0 H Jeffersonville IN (2-2) D1
08/29 W 33-27 A #66 Archbishop Alter (2-2) D3 R12, pick: L by 14 (24%), perf. rating 159
09/05 W 56-7 A #371 Chaminade Julienne (0-4) D3 R12, pick: W by 30 (95%), perf. rating 164
09/12 W 69-0 H #408 Mount Healthy (0-4) D2 R8, pick: W by 43 (99%), perf. rating 154
09/20 H #616 Thurgood Marshall (1-3) D4 R16, pick: W by 49 (99%)
09/27 A #49 Withrow (4-0) D2 R8, pick: W by 1 (53%)
10/03 H #377 Hughes (2-2) D3 R12, pick: W by 40 (99%)
10/10 H #464 Western Hills (1-3) D1 R4, pick: W by 47 (99%)
10/17 A #356 Aiken (3-1) D2 R8, pick: W by 37 (99%)
10/24 H #646 Woodward (Cincy) (0-4) D3 R12, pick: W by 49 (99%)
Regular season projections
10-0 record
27.06 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#2 seed in R16 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and likely home, 83% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 25.05 (14.15-31.81) 100% in, 99% home, 83% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#10), bye 83%
Based on eventual number of wins
(51%) 10W: 27.06 (22.97-31.81) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 99%
(46%) 9W: 21.66 (17.62-29.44) 100% in, 99% home, 68% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#9), bye 68%
( 3%) 8W: 19.14 (14.15-23.99) 100% in, 95% home, 17% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#10), bye 17%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(51%) WWWWWW: 27.06 (22.97-31.81) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 99%
(44%) WLWWWW: 21.61 (17.62-26.97) 100% in, 99% home, 66% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#9), bye 66%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (4-0, 153.6, #46, D4 #4), appears locked in and likely home, 83% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #2 at 10-0
Week 3 (3-0, 157.0, #39, D4 #4), appears locked in and likely home, 82% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 152.0, #52, D4 #6), appears locked in and likely home, 88% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 142.6, #87, D4 #8), 97% (bubble if 5-5), 89% home (maybe if 6-4), 48% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 142.6, #92, D4 #9), 90% (bubble if 5-5), 74% home (maybe if 6-4), 46% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 7-3
Last season 147.7