Region 16 home page
Region 16 projections
Region 16 playoff probabilities
Region 16 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 16 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#3 of 101 in Division 4
#1 of 26 in Region 16
Strength of schedule #9 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #94 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 N #35 Kirtland (0-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 4 (43%)
08/28 A #38 Villa Angela-St Joseph (0-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 5 (40%)
09/04 H #64 Archbishop Alter (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 6 (63%)
09/11 A #395 Mount Healthy (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 39 (99%)
09/18 H #39 Trotwood-Madison (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 1 (48%)
09/25 A #168 Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 23 (93%)
10/02 A #425 Hughes (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 40 (99%)
10/09 A #519 Western Hills (0-0) D1 R4, pick: W by 47 (99%)
10/16 H #391 Aiken (0-0) D2 R8, pick: W by 40 (99%)
10/24 H #102 Withrow (0-0) D2 R8, pick: W by 16 (85%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
21.32 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#3 seed in R16 playoffs
Playoff chances now
90% (bubble if 4-6), 78% home (maybe if 5-5), 55% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 28.04 ( 3.68-42.06) 99% in, 95% home, 81% bye, proj. #2 (#1-out), bye 82%
Lose: 18.46 ( 0.00-36.66) 84% in, 66% home, 36% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 43%
Based on eventual number of wins
(12%) 10W: 33.38 (24.29-42.06) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#5), bye 99%
(17%) 9W: 29.19 (19.85-36.92) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#7), bye 99%
(18%) 8W: 25.21 (17.33-32.73) 100% in, 99% home, 89% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#9), bye 89%
(17%) 7W: 21.32 (13.90-28.70) 100% in, 98% home, 51% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#12), bye 51%
(14%) 6W: 17.64 (11.03-24.41) 99% in, 77% home, 11% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 11%
(11%) 5W: 13.91 ( 7.34-20.73) 88% in, 32% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), Meadowdale (0-0) 7%
( 7%) 4W: 10.33 ( 5.33-17.35) 44% in, 4% home, proj. out (#5-out), Clinton-Massie (0-0) 9%
( 3%) 3W: 7.20 ( 3.47-12.51) 8% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
( 1%) 2W: 4.28 ( 2.11- 7.92) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Meadowdale (0-0) 3%
Dunbar (0-0) 2%
Taylor (0-0) 2%
North College Hill (0-0) 2%
Most likely second round opponents
Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 10%
Wyoming (0-0) 10%
Clinton-Massie (0-0) 10%
London (0-0) 10%
Valley View (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 68.7, #565, D4 #90), 25% (bubble if 6-4), 10% home (maybe if 8-2), 2% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 154.3