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Rankings
#30 of 100 in Division 2
#8 of 25 in Region 8
Strength of schedule #46 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #99 in D2 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #387 Walnut Hills (0-0) D1 R4, pick: W by 34 (94%)
08/28 A #317 Chaminade Julienne (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 28 (92%)
09/04 H #58 Springboro (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 9 (31%)
09/11 A #78 Harrison (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 8 (32%)
09/18 A #86 Archbishop McNicholas (0-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 6 (35%)
09/25 H #519 Western Hills (0-0) D1 R4, pick: W by 43 (99%)
10/02 A #36 La Salle (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 20 (10%)
10/09 H #391 Aiken (0-0) D2 R8, pick: W by 34 (99%)
10/16 H #425 Hughes (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 36 (99%)
10/24 A #50 Taft (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 16 (15%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
14.75 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#11 seed in R8 playoffs
Playoff chances now
63% (bubble if 6-4), 38% home (maybe if 7-3), 16% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 16.25 ( 0.65-39.35) 65% in, 40% home, 17% bye, proj. #10 (#1-out), bye 26%
Lose: 10.15 ( 0.00-31.30) 26% in, 11% home, 3% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 11%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 4%) 10W: 30.25 (19.05-39.35) 100% in, 99% home, 97% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#10), bye 97%
(10%) 9W: 25.95 (17.25-36.35) 100% in, 99% home, 72% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#11), bye 72%
(14%) 8W: 22.00 (12.60-30.65) 99% in, 88% home, 27% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 27%
(18%) 7W: 18.25 ( 9.00-28.05) 94% in, 51% home, 4% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), Talawanda (0-0) 7%
(20%) 6W: 14.75 ( 7.95-23.00) 64% in, 11% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#3-out), Lima Senior (0-0) 8%
(18%) 5W: 11.55 ( 6.20-19.70) 21% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out), Harrison (0-0) 10%
(10%) 4W: 8.85 ( 3.50-14.95) 3% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 4%) 3W: 6.15 ( 1.75-12.90) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 1%) 2W: 3.90 ( 1.20- 9.00) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Lima Senior (0-0) 6%
Talawanda (0-0) 5%
Kings (0-0) 5%
Troy (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Anderson (0-0) 15%
Harrison (0-0) 9%
Xenia (0-0) 9%
Badin (0-0) 8%
Kings (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 135.3, #120, D2 #37), 44% (bubble if 5-5), 26% home (maybe if 7-3), 11% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 139.6