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Rankings
#15 of 104 in Division 2
#5 of 23 in Region 8
Strength of schedule #88 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #29 in D2 (+37 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 35-0 H #218 Milford (1-3) D1 R4, pick: W by 9 (66%), perf. rating 170
08/29 W 36-7 H #371 Chaminade Julienne (0-4) D3 R12, pick: W by 34 (96%), perf. rating 141
09/05 W 42-0 H #316 Northmont (0-4) D1 R2, pick: W by 31 (96%), perf. rating 168
09/11 W 49-12 A #547 Dunbar (0-4) D3 R12, pick: W by 49 (99%), perf. rating 129
09/19 A #40 La Salle (3-1) D2 R8, pick: L by 8 (31%)
09/27 H #46 Taft (4-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 1 (47%)
10/03 H #646 Woodward (Cincy) (0-4) D3 R12, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/10 H #356 Aiken (3-1) D2 R8, pick: W by 37 (99%)
10/17 A #377 Hughes (2-2) D3 R12, pick: W by 37 (99%)
10/24 A #464 Western Hills (1-3) D1 R4, pick: W by 44 (99%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
21.30 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#6 seed in R8 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 82% home (maybe if 8-2), 24% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 24.60 (13.45-30.10) 100% in, 99% home, 53% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#10), bye 53%
Lose: 17.05 ( 7.55-25.80) 99% in, 74% home, 10% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), Butler (3-1) 15%
Based on eventual number of wins
(19%) 10W: 25.55 (21.90-30.10) 100% home, 80% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#6), bye 80%
(38%) 9W: 21.30 (16.75-27.65) 100% in, 99% home, 21% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#9), bye 21%
(41%) 8W: 16.05 (12.60-22.95) 100% in, 61% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#3-#12), Butler (3-1) 19%
( 2%) 7W: 13.10 (10.15-20.70) 92% in, 12% home, proj. #10 (#7-out), Lima Senior (2-2) 23%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(19%) WWWWWW: 25.55 (21.90-30.10) 100% home, 80% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#6), bye 80%
(26%) LWWWWW: 21.65 (18.35-25.80) 100% home, 26% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#8), bye 26%
(11%) WLWWWW: 19.85 (16.75-25.20) 100% in, 99% home, 8% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#9), Aiken (3-1) 16%
(39%) LLWWWW: 16.00 (12.60-20.70) 100% in, 60% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#12), Butler (3-1) 19%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (4-0, 151.0, #49, D2 #15), likely in, 82% home (maybe if 8-2), 24% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #6 at 9-1
Week 3 (3-0, 160.5, #32, D2 #10), likely in, 95% home (maybe if 7-3), 65% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 157.0, #44, D2 #14), likely in, 95% home (maybe if 7-3), 59% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 156.3, #40, D2 #13), likely in, 90% home (maybe if 7-3), 44% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 0 (0-0, 143.0, #87, D2 #19), 91% (bubble if 5-5), 73% home (maybe if 6-4), 38% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 8-2
Last season 137.6