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Rankings
#50 of 100 in Division 2
#13 of 25 in Region 8
Strength of schedule #52 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #82 in D2 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #115 Oak Hills (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 16 (23%)
08/28 H #177 Miamisburg (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 1 (48%)
09/04 H #60 Badin (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 24 (9%)
09/11 H #257 Bishop Fenwick (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 10 (72%)
09/18 A #317 Chaminade Julienne (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 15 (83%)
09/25 H #153 Bellbrook (0-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 5 (38%)
10/02 A #299 Ross (0-0) D2 R8, pick: W by 13 (80%)
10/09 A #126 Valley View (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 15 (16%)
10/16 H #269 Franklin (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 12 (79%)
10/23 A #370 Monroe (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 20 (91%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
10.65 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R8 playoffs
Playoff chances now
35% (bubble if 6-4), 19% home (maybe if 7-3), 6% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 17.60 ( 0.65-35.10) 67% in, 45% home, 19% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), bye 28%
Lose: 8.75 ( 0.00-31.60) 26% in, 11% home, 2% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 8%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 10W: 27.20 (18.05-35.10) 100% in, 99% home, 86% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#9), bye 86%
( 6%) 9W: 23.60 (16.75-32.10) 99% in, 95% home, 43% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 43%
( 9%) 8W: 20.20 (13.25-26.90) 98% in, 72% home, 10% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 10%
(12%) 7W: 16.90 (10.00-24.30) 85% in, 28% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), Talawanda (0-0) 8%
(13%) 6W: 13.70 ( 8.15-23.10) 46% in, 4% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Talawanda (0-0) 8%
(14%) 5W: 10.65 ( 5.50-19.80) 10% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Kings (0-0) 9%
(13%) 4W: 7.85 ( 3.90-14.70) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
(12%) 3W: 5.45 ( 1.75-11.45) out, proj. out
( 9%) 2W: 3.25 ( 1.05- 9.00) out, proj. out
( 7%) 1W: 1.55 ( 0.45- 5.85) out, proj. out
( 3%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Talawanda (0-0) 7%
Lima Senior (0-0) 6%
Kings (0-0) 5%
Troy (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Anderson (0-0) 18%
Xenia (0-0) 10%
Harrison (0-0) 9%
Badin (0-0) 7%
Kings (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 63.4, #592, D2 #97), 5% (bubble if 7-3), 2% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 123.3