Region 8 home page
Region 8 projections
Region 8 playoff probabilities
Region 8 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 8 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#44 of 100 in Division 2
#11 of 25 in Region 8
Strength of schedule #27 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #29 in D2 (+35 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 49-20 A #76 Oak Hills (3-3) D1 R4, pick: L by 16 (23%), perf. rating 104
08/28 W 32-28 H #119 Miamisburg (4-2) D1 R2, pick: L by 14 (24%), perf. rating 140
09/04 L 31-7 H #69 Badin (5-1) D2 R8, pick: L by 24 (9%), perf. rating 108
09/11 W 28-27 H #157 Bishop Fenwick (3-3) D5 R20, pick: L by 1 (48%), perf. rating 129
09/18 W 38-22 A #283 Chaminade Julienne (1-5) D3 R12, pick: W by 7 (67%), perf. rating 137
09/25 L 27-6 H #51 Bellbrook (6-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 22 (8%), perf. rating 120
10/02 A #284 Ross (2-4) D2 R8, pick: W by 12 (78%)
10/09 A #87 Valley View (4-2) D4 R16, pick: L by 17 (13%)
10/16 H #445 Franklin (0-6) D3 R12, pick: W by 32 (98%)
10/23 A #240 Monroe (4-2) D3 R12, pick: W by 7 (68%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
16.45 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#10 seed in R8 playoffs
Playoff chances now
69% (bubble if 5-5), 13% home (likely needs 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 16.00 (10.30-22.80) 80% in, 16% home, proj. #10 (#5-out), West (6-0) 18%
Lose: 12.45 ( 8.00-19.80) 34% in, 2% home, proj. out (#6-out), Troy (5-1) 21%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 9%) 7W: 20.25 (18.00-22.80) 100% in, 85% home, proj. #7 (#5-#10), Talawanda (5-1) 18%
(46%) 6W: 16.45 (14.15-19.80) 99% in, 10% home, proj. #10 (#6-out), West (6-0) 18%
(33%) 5W: 13.05 (10.30-17.25) 42% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Troy (5-1) 26%
(11%) 4W: 10.40 ( 8.00-14.55) 2% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 9%) WWWW: 20.25 (18.00-22.80) 100% in, 85% home, proj. #7 (#5-#10), Talawanda (5-1) 18%
( 2%) WWWL: 16.55 (14.25-18.70) 99% in, 13% home, proj. #10 (#7-out), West (6-0) 19%
(43%) WLWW: 16.45 (14.15-19.00) 99% in, 10% home, proj. #10 (#6-out), West (6-0) 18%
(10%) LLWW: 13.65 (11.70-16.65) 59% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), Troy (5-1) 23%
(22%) WLWL: 12.70 (10.30-15.50) 31% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Troy (5-1) 30%
(10%) LLWL: 10.35 ( 8.00-12.75) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out), Lima Senior (5-1) 42%
Weekly summary info
Week 6 (3-3, 125.8, #174, D2 #44), 69% (bubble if 5-5), 13% home (likely needs 7-3), proj. #10 at 6-4
Week 5 (3-2, 127.8, #167, D2 #41), 66% (likely needs 6-4), 13% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #12 at 6-4
Week 4 (2-2, 122.8, #198, D2 #49), 49% (bubble if 6-4), 7% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. #12 at 6-4
Week 3 (1-2, 123.6, #189, D2 #49), 43% (bubble if 5-5), 10% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 5-5
Week 2 (1-1, 123.2, #197, D2 #48), 37% (bubble if 6-4), 13% home (maybe if 7-3), 3% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 1 (0-1, 114.4, #253, D2 #56), 16% (bubble if 6-4), 5% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 121.9, #197, D2 #50), 35% (bubble if 6-4), 19% home (maybe if 8-2), 6% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 123.3