Region 9 home page
Region 9 projections
Region 9 playoff probabilities
Region 9 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 9 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#23 of 107 in Division 3
#8 of 27 in Region 9
Strength of schedule #4 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #5 in D3 (+377 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 35-13 A #92 Jackson (Massillon) (2-2) D1 R1, pick: W by 5 (59%), perf. rating 112
08/29 W 26-24 A #154 Cleveland Heights (0-4) D1 R1, pick: W by 11 (71%), perf. rating 137
09/05 W 26-9 H McDowell PA (1-3) D1
09/12 W 17-13 A #95 Perry (2-2) D4 R13, pick: L by 23 (9%), perf. rating 150
09/20 A #68 Cardinal Mooney (2-2) D5 R17, pick: L by 11 (25%)
09/26 H #103 Riverside (Painesville) (3-1) D2 R5, pick: L by 1 (47%)
10/03 H #232 North (Eastlake) (3-1) D2 R5, pick: W by 22 (92%)
10/10 A #216 Mayfield (2-2) D2 R5, pick: W by 16 (85%)
10/17 A #279 South (Willoughby) (2-2) D2 R5, pick: W by 23 (93%)
10/24 H #143 Kenston (2-2) D3 R9, pick: W by 7 (68%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
22.81 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#6 seed in R9 playoffs
Playoff chances now
89% (bubble if 5-5), 74% home (maybe if 6-4), 44% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 27.58 (11.54-34.19) 99% in, 94% home, 75% bye, proj. #3 (#1-out), bye 76%
Lose: 21.78 ( 6.35-30.96) 86% in, 67% home, 33% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 39%
Based on eventual number of wins
(12%) 9W: 30.35 (26.11-34.19) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 99%
(26%) 8W: 27.02 (20.91-30.96) 100% home, 90% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 90%
(27%) 7W: 22.81 (18.19-28.04) 100% in, 98% home, 31% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#11), bye 31%
(20%) 6W: 19.00 (13.85-23.90) 97% in, 47% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Geneva (3-1) 11%
(10%) 5W: 15.47 (11.08-20.93) 51% in, 3% home, proj. #12 (#5-out), Alliance (3-1) 20%
( 4%) 4W: 12.45 ( 8.76-16.69) 5% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 1%) 3W: 9.58 ( 6.35-12.61) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(12%) WWWWWW: 30.35 (26.11-34.19) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 99%
(18%) LWWWWW: 27.28 (23.54-30.96) 100% home, 95% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 95%
( 4%) WLWWWW: 25.61 (20.91-29.50) 100% home, 78% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 78%
( 6%) LWWWWL: 23.19 (18.95-28.04) 100% in, 97% home, 28% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#10), bye 28%
(13%) LLWWWW: 22.48 (18.80-27.38) 100% in, 99% home, 29% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#9), bye 29%
( 9%) LLWWWL: 18.95 (15.32-22.64) 96% in, 39% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-out), Geneva (3-1) 10%
( 4%) LLWLWL: 15.37 (12.14-20.32) 51% in, 2% home, proj. #12 (#7-out), Alliance (3-1) 15%
( 1%) LLLLLL: 9.58 ( 6.35-12.61) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (3-1, 138.0, #117, D3 #23), 89% (bubble if 5-5), 74% home (maybe if 6-4), 44% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #6 at 7-3
Week 3 (2-1, 129.4, #165, D3 #36), 32% (bubble if 6-4), 16% home (maybe if 7-3), 5% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 2 (1-1, 129.1, #161, D3 #32), 30% (bubble if 5-5), 15% home (maybe if 6-4), 5% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Week 1 (0-1, 140.1, #101, D3 #19), 50% (bubble if 5-5), 32% home (maybe if 6-4), 15% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 152.9, #48, D3 #8), 75% (bubble if 5-5), 59% home (maybe if 6-4), 38% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 7-3
Last season 149.1